Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus Prediction
Japan · Regular Season - 10
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.20
SignalSTRONGModel69%SurpriseMediumGap-2.7%
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.67
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap+2.2%
Kashiwa Reysol Rest
3 days
Nagoya Grampus Rest
3 days
Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus: the result in context
Nagoya Grampus beat Kashiwa Reysol 3-1 in the J1 League on 17 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Kashiwa Reysol had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 3 for Nagoya Grampus.
Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
160%1.65
X23%4.13
217%4.58
Double Chance
1X83%1.20
X240%2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes57%1.62
No43%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.95 + 1.02 = 2.97
Over 1.581%1.17
Over 2.560%1.57
Over 3.538%2.38
Under 1.519%4.80
Under 2.540%2.35
Under 3.562%1.53
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 3.9 = 9.5
Over 8.560%1.35
Over 9.548%1.68
Over 10.536%2.03
Under 8.540%2.68
Under 9.552%2.09
Under 10.564%1.67
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 1.8 = 3.1
Over 3.538%-
Over 4.521%-
Under 3.562%-
Under 4.579%-
Match Events
6'Takuya UchidaAssist: Yudai Kimura
13'Tomoya Wakahara INKengo Nagai out
16'Yoshio KoizumiDissent
23'Keita EndoAssist: Shota Fujio
36'Yudai KimuraAssist: Kensuke Nagai
45'Hinata Yamauchi INYusuke Segawa out
45'Sachiro Toshima INWataru Harada out
52'Daiki SugiokaFoul
57'Kensuke Nagai INHidemasa Koda out
63'Yudai Kimura INYuya Yamagishi out
68'Keita Endo INKenshin Yuba out
68'Yudai Konishi INRiki Harakawa out
73'Shota Fujio INMao Hosoya out
77'Tsukasa Morishima INMasahito Ono out
77'Yuki Nogami INTomoya Koyamatsu out
77'Ryuji Izumi INShuhei Tokumoto out
79'Yuya YamagishiAssist: Hidemasa Koda
86'Tomoki Takamine INYota Sato out
Lineups
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
3-4-2-1Coach: Michael PetrovicAvg ratingAvg rating
77T. Wakahara
28S. Toshima
4T. Koga
26D. Sugioka
24T. Kubo
21Y. Konishi
39N. Nakagawa
5K. Endo
8Y. Koizumi
87H. Yamauchi
15S. Fujio
1D. Schmidt
70T. Hara
13H. Fujii
31T. Takamine
17T. Uchida
15S. Inagaki
14T. Morishima
7R. Izumi
2Y. Nogami
22Y. Kimura
18K. NagaiKashiwa Reysol Substitutes
20Y. Segawa45'for Hinata Yamauchi
44K. Yuba68'for Keita Endo
30Shusuke Furuya
42W. Harada45'for Sachiro Toshima
40R. Harakawa68'for Yudai Konishi
9M. Hosoya73'for Shota Fujio
2H. Mitsumaru
29K. Nagai13'for Tomoya Wakahara
19H. Nakama
Nagoya Grampus Substitutes
58T. Koyamatsu77'for Yuki Nogami
10Mateus
27K. Nakayama
41M. Ono77'for Tsukasa Morishima
35A. Pisano
3Y. Sato86'for Tomoki Takamine
55S. Tokumoto77'for Ryuji Izumi
11Y. Yamagishi63'for Yudai Kimura79'
19H. Koda57'for Kensuke Nagai
Match Stats
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus 59%Ball Possession41%
7Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards0
15Total Shots9
3Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal5
7Shots Inside Box6
8Shots Outside Box3
6Blocked Shots0
11Fouls10
1Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves2
609Total Passes422
507Passes Accurate327
9Free Kicks11
Team Comparison
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus1661Elo Rating 1561
2.39Attack 2.30
1.43Defense 1.61
58%Hit Rate 54%
13.0Shots per Game 12.5
4.9Shots on Target 3.8
4.3Corners per Game 3.0
1.9Cards per Game 0.9
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.97 goals
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Kashiwa Reysol- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.7 vs 0.7 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Nagoya Grampus- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 0.9 in second half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Kashiwa Reysol3Wins · 30%Draws220%
Nagoya Grampus5Wins · 50%
5Wins · 50%2.0Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10
Previous meetings
08/11/2025Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus10
29/04/2025Nagoya GrampusKashiwa Reysol12
14/07/2024Nagoya GrampusKashiwa Reysol21
09/06/2024Nagoya GrampusKashiwa Reysol10
05/06/2024Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus11
16/03/2024Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus02
03/12/2023Nagoya GrampusKashiwa Reysol11
30/08/2023Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus20
12/03/2023Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus03
06/07/2022Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus01
Recent Form
Kashiwa Reysol7W0D3L
14/10/2026Kashiwa Reysol
Port FC
Machida ZelviaKashiwa Reysol
Jeonbuk MotorsKashiwa Reysol
Kyoto SangaKashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol
Yokohama F. Marinos
Cerezo OsakaKashiwa Reysol
Shimizu S-pulseKashiwa Reysol
Kashiwa ReysolPort FC51
W09/10/2026Kashiwa Reysol
Vissel Kobe
Kashiwa ReysolVissel Kobe42
W03/10/2026Kashiwa Reysol
Gamba Osaka
Kashiwa ReysolGamba Osaka5343
W23/09/2026Kashiwa Reysol
Imabari
20/09/2026Kashiwa ReysolImabari40
WMachida ZelviaKashiwa Reysol24
W16/09/2026Jeonbuk MotorsKashiwa Reysol21
L11/09/2026Kyoto SangaKashiwa Reysol23
W06/09/2026Kashiwa ReysolYokohama F. Marinos02
L02/09/2026Cerezo OsakaKashiwa Reysol20
L29/08/2026Shimizu S-pulseKashiwa Reysol01
WNagoya Grampus5W0D5L
14/10/2026Nagoya Grampus
Fagiano Okayama
11/10/2026Nagoya GrampusFagiano Okayama4333
W
Kawasaki FrontaleNagoya Grampus12
W29/09/2026
KitakyushuNagoya Grampus
19/09/2026KitakyushuNagoya Grampus13
W
FC TokyoNagoya Grampus10
L12/09/2026
V-varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus20
L06/09/2026Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia13
L02/09/2026
Sanfrecce HiroshimaNagoya Grampus30
L29/08/2026Nagoya GrampusFagiano Okayama21
W26/08/2026Nagoya Grampus
Gainare Tottori
22/08/2026Nagoya GrampusGainare Tottori13
LNagoya GrampusGamba Osaka31
WReferee Profile
2.76Cards per match
2.63Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
21.1Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
2.76 cards a match, 0.26 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (2.50).
Cards come from 126 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 30:10 | +20 | 27 | DWWWL |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 27:8 | +19 | 27 | WDWWW |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 29:10 | +19 | 26 | WLWWW |
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25:19 | +6 | 25 | WDLWW |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 18:11 | +7 | 23 | DLWLW |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 25:18 | +7 | 22 | WWWLD |
| 7 |  Urawa | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 21:23 | -2 | 21 | WWWLW |
| 8 |  Kashima | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 25:21 | +4 | 20 | LDWWD |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:12 | +4 | 18 | DDDDW |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15:17 | -2 | 16 | LWLLL |
| 11 | Nagoya Grampus | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 14 | DDWWL |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 14 | DDLDD |
| 13 | Shimizu S-pulse | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10:20 | -10 | 14 | LLDWW |
| 14 | V-varen Nagasaki | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 12 | LWLDD |
| 15 | Gamba Osaka | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 11 | DWDLL |
| 16 | Kyoto Sanga | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15:23 | -8 | 10 | DDLLW |
| 17 |  Mito Hollyhock | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12:22 | -10 | 9 | LLLLL |
| 18 |  Tokyo Verdy | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9:21 | -12 | 8 | WDLLL |
| 19 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13:21 | -8 | 7 | LLLWL |
| 20 |  JEF United Chiba | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12:24 | -12 | 7 | DLDDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 12 | 30:10 | 27 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 12 | 27:8 | 27 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 29:10 | 26 |
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | 25:19 | 25 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 12 | 18:11 | 23 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 12 | 25:18 | 22 |
| 7 | Urawa | 12 | 21:23 | 21 |
| 8 | Kashima | 12 | 25:21 | 20 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 12 | 16:12 | 18 |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 12 | 15:17 | 16 |
| 11 | Nagoya Grampus | 12 | 14:18 | 14 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 12 | 12:19 | 14 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-pulse | 12 | 10:20 | 14 |
| 14 | V-varen Nagasaki | 12 | 15:19 | 12 |
| 15 | Gamba Osaka | 12 | 14:21 | 11 |
| 16 | Kyoto Sanga | 12 | 15:23 | 10 |
| 17 | Mito Hollyhock | 12 | 12:22 | 9 |
| 18 | Tokyo Verdy | 12 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 19 | Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | 13:21 | 7 |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 12 | 12:24 | 7 |
Champions LeagueRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More J1 League matches
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga 17/10/26
- Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo 17/10/26
- Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale 17/10/26
- Kashima vs V-varen Nagasaki 17/10/26
- Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka 18/10/26
- FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol 21/10/26
- Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe 21/10/26
- Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima 21/10/26
About the Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus forecast
The forecasts for this J1 League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Kashiwa Reysol and Nagoya Grampus in the J1 League table
In the J1 League table, Kashiwa Reysol are 4th and Nagoya Grampus 11th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Kashiwa Reysol 25-19, Nagoya Grampus 14-18. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Kashiwa Reysol have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Nagoya Grampus have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.