Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima Prediction

Kyoto Sanga
2-2
Finished
HT 1-0
Kashima
Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kyoto·Fu Ming 21/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.57
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+2.5%
Kyoto Sanga Rest
4 days
Kashima Rest
4 days

Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima: the result in context

Kyoto Sanga and Kashima drew 2-2 in the J1 League on 21 Oct 2026. Kashima had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 2 for Kyoto Sanga.

Their history points to a close game: 8 previous meetings produced 1.9 goals a game. Referee Fu Ming averages 3.33 cards a game, 0.58 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
26%3.67
X
25%3.60
2
49%1.95
Double Chance
1X
51%1.81
X2
74%1.27
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.67
No
45%2.07
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.04 + 1.42 = 2.46
Over 1.5
75%1.25
Over 2.5
52%1.80
Over 3.5
31%3.00
Under 1.5
25%3.75
Under 2.5
48%2.00
Under 3.5
69%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.4 + 5 = 9.4
Over 8.5
58%1.46
Over 9.5
46%1.80
Over 10.5
35%2.21
Under 8.5
42%2.54
Under 9.5
54%1.94
Under 10.5
65%1.57
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.3 = 2.9
Over 3.5
33%-
Over 4.5
17%-
Under 3.5
67%-
Under 4.5
83%-

Match Events

16'Haruki AraiAssist: Sung-jun Yoon
22'Hiroto MorookaFoul
45'Minato Yoshida INAleksandar Čavrić out
59'Goal cancelledAleksandar Čavrić
64'Léo Ceará INJosé Élber Pimentel da Silva out
64'Takaaki Shichi INTakumi Kato out
64'Hiroto Morooka INJoão Pedro out
64'Sung-jun Yoon INWeverton Silva de Andrade out
73'Kento Misao INGaku Shibasaki out
73'Keisuke Tsukui INRyuta Koike out
75'Alex Souza INMarco Túlio out
78'José Élber Pimentel da SilvaAssist: Yuma Suzuki
85'Takumi KatoFoul
87'Ryuma Nakano INHisashi Appiah Tawiah out
89'Yuma Suzuki INHomare Tokuda out
90+5'Yuta Matsumura
90+7'Haruki AraiAssist: Takumi Kato

Lineups

Kyoto Sanga
3-4-2-1Coach: R. Popović
Kashima
4-4-2Coach: T. Oniki
Avg rating6.41
Avg rating6.79
Halls7.490Halls
Y. Ishida6.240Y. Ishida
Y. Suzuki6.150Y. Suzuki
K. Nagata6.415K. Nagata
K. Sato5.944K. Sato
Yoon Sung-Jun6.425Y. Sung-Jun
H. Morooka6.024H. Morooka
T. Shichi6.062T. Shichi
R. Nakano6.348R. Nakano
H. Arai8.777H. Arai
Alex Negueba6.217A. Negueba
T. Hayakawa6.11T. Hayakawa
K. Tsukui6.523K. Tsukui
N. Ueda6.955N. Ueda
Kim Tae-Hyeon7.23K. Tae-Hyeon
R. Ogawa6.87R. Ogawa
M. Yoshida6.230M. Yoshida
K. Misao6.56K. Misao
Matheus Bueno7.18M. Bueno
Y. Matsumura7.727Y. Matsumura
Y. Suzuki6.940Y. Suzuki
Léo Ceará6.49L. Ceará

Kyoto Sanga Substitutes

16T. Hiraoka
99F. Honda
6João Pedro64'for Hiroto Morooka6.1
23T. Kato64'for Takaaki Shichi85'6.8
11Marco Túlio75'for Alex Souza6.5
1G. Ota
5H. Tawiah87'for Ryuma Nakano5.7
43Weverton64'for Sung-jun Yoon5.8
60R. Yamanaka

Kashima Substitutes

77A. Čavrić45'for Minato Yoshida7.0
17Élber64'for Léo Ceará78'8.1
24H. Hayashu
14Y. Higuchi
25R. Koike73'for Keisuke Tsukui6.4
5I. Sekigawa
10G. Shibasaki73'for Kento Misao6.3
34H. Tokuda89'for Yuma Suzuki6.6
21T. Yamada

Match Stats

Kyoto SangaKashima
27%Ball Possession73%
2Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards0
3Total Shots19
3Shots on Goal11
0Shots off Goal6
2Shots Inside Box16
1Shots Outside Box3
0Blocked Shots2
20Fouls11
1Offsides1
9Goalkeeper Saves1
241Total Passes663
158Passes Accurate568
9Free Kicks18

Team Comparison

Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga
KashimaKashima
1520Elo Rating 1696
1.16Attack 1.83
1.28Defense 1.73
17%Hit Rate 50%
10.2Shots per Game 15.4
3.3Shots on Target 4.5
3.5Corners per Game 4.3
1.1Cards per Game 0.4

Game State Tendencies

Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
KashimaKashima
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1Wins · 13%
Draws450%
KashimaKashima3Wins · 37%
1.9Avg Goals
38%Both teams scored3 of 8
13%3+ goals1 of 8

Previous meetings

J1 League25/10/2025
Kyoto SangaKashima
11
J1 League06/04/2025
KashimaKyoto Sanga
34
J1 League17/11/2024
Kyoto SangaKashima
00
J1 League13/04/2024
KashimaKyoto Sanga
10
J1 League01/07/2023
KashimaKyoto Sanga
00
J1 League18/02/2023
Kyoto SangaKashima
02
J1 League10/09/2022
Kyoto SangaKashima
11
J1 League18/06/2022
KashimaKyoto Sanga
10

Referee Profile

Fu Ming53 matches

3.33Cards per match
3.24Yellow cards per match
0.09Red cards per match
26.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Fu Ming3.33
Other referees3.91

3.33 cards a match, 0.58 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.91).

Cards come from 45 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

J1 League 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1283130:10+2027DWWWL
2FC TokyoFC Tokyo1283127:8+1927WDWWW
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1282229:10+1926WLWWW
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1281325:19+625WDLWW
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1272318:11+723DLWLW
6Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1264225:18+722WWWLD
7UrawaUrawa1270521:23-221WWWLW
8KashimaKashima1262425:21+420LDWWD
9Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1246216:12+418DDDDW
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1251615:17-216LWLLL
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1242614:18-414DDWWL
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1235412:19-714DDLDD
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1242610:20-1014LLDWW
14V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1233615:19-412LWLDD
15Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1225514:21-711DWDLL
16Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1224615:23-810DDLLW
17Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1223712:22-109LLLLL
18Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy121569:21-128WDLLL
19Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1221913:21-87LLLWL
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1214712:24-127DLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1230:1027
2FC TokyoFC Tokyo1227:827
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1229:1026
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1225:1925
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1218:1123
6Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1225:1822
7UrawaUrawa1221:2321
8KashimaKashima1225:2120
9Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1216:1218
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1215:1716
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1214:1814
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1212:1914
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1210:2014
14V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1215:1912
15Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1214:2111
16Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1215:2310
17Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1212:229
18Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy129:218
19Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1213:217
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1212:247
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima forecast

The forecasts for this J1 League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Kyoto Sanga and Kashima in the J1 League table

In the J1 League table, Kashima are 8th and Kyoto Sanga 16th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Kyoto Sanga 15-23, Kashima 25-21. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.