Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P. Prediction

CONMEBOL Libertadores

World · Semi-finals

CupKnockout

Flamengo

0-0

After Penalties

HT 0-0AET 0-0PEN 2-3

Estudiantes L.P.

Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro·Gustavo Tejera 23/10/2026

Flamengo

0-0

After Penalties

Estudiantes L.P.

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality

Complete

Match Importance

8.1 / 10

AI Best Pick

70%Trust

1X2

Home Win

1.32

SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap-5.2%

Flamengo Rest

4 days

Estudiantes L.P. Rest

4 days

Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P.: the result in context

Estudiantes L.P. beat Flamengo on penalties (3-2) after a 0-0 draw in the CONMEBOL Libertadores on 23 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Flamengo had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Estudiantes L.P..

Their history points to a close game: 5 previous meetings produced 1.4 goals a game. Flamengo tend to win more corners, 7.0 a game to 4.8 for Estudiantes L.P..

Match Forecasts

Match Result

71%1.32

22%4.63

7%10.64

Double Chance

93%1.05

29%3.23

Both Teams to Score

Yes

37%2.64

63%1.41

Goals

Projected Goals: 1.89 + 0.88 = 2.77

Over 1.5

72%1.35

Over 2.5

46%2.16

Over 3.5

25%3.90

Under 1.5

28%3.02

Under 2.5

54%1.69

Under 3.5

75%1.24

Corners

Projected Corners: 7.1 + 3 = 10.1

Over 8.5

67%1.71

Over 9.5

54%2.18

Over 10.5

42%2.88

Under 8.5

33%2.02

Under 9.5

46%1.58

Under 10.5

58%1.32

Cards

Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.5 = 4.7

Over 3.5

69%1.20

Over 4.5

51%1.42

Under 3.5

31%4.20

Under 4.5

49%2.72

Match Events

35'Baltasar Gallego RodriguezPersistent infringement

38'Joaquín Correa INTiago Palacios out

49'Leandro Gonzalez PirezFoul

50'Baltasar Gallego Rodriguez

54'Santiago NúñezFoul

64'Lucas PioviDissent

64'Jorge Carrascal INGiorgian de Arrascaeta out

65'Alexander Jesús Medina ReobascoDissent

77'Marcos Rojo INTiago Tomas Palacios out

77'Joaquín Tobio Burgos INEdwuin Cetre out

77'Guido Carrillo INAdolfo Gaich out

82'Erick Pulgar INBruno Henrique out

82'Samuel Lino INGonzalo Plata out

82'Alex Sandro INAyrton Lucas out

88'Pedro INJoaquín Freitas out

90'Alexis Castro INJosé Sosa out

Penalty Shootout2 - 3

1Giorgian de Arrascaeta(Penalty)

1José Sosa(Penalty)

2Jorginho(Penalty missed)

2Edwuin Cetre(Penalty missed)

3Lucas Paquetá(Penalty missed)

3Eros Nazareno Mancuso(Penalty)

4Léo Pereira(Penalty)

4Tiago Palacios(Penalty)

5Bruno Henrique(Penalty missed)

Lineups

Flamengo

4-2-3-1Coach: Leonardo Jardim

Estudiantes L.P.

4-2-3-1Coach: Alexander Medina

Avg rating6.75

Avg rating6.41

7.21A. Rossi

6.122E. Royal

6.73L. Ortiz

7.24L. Pereira

6.726A. Sandro

6.65E. Pulgar

7.421Jorginho

6.815J. Carrascal

7.511L. Paquetá

6.916S. Lino

6.49Pedro

6.616F. Muslera

6.440E. Mancuso

6.24S. Núñez

6.35M. Rojo

6.814L. González

6.421L. Ezequiel Piovi

6.122A. Castro

6.231B. Gallego

6.732J. Correa

6.517J. Burgos

6.39G. Carrillo

Flamengo Substitutes

27Bruno Henrique82'for Erick Pulgar6.4

30J. Freitas88'for Pedro6.3

19G. Plata82'for Samuel Lino6.5

2G. Varela

44Vitão

42Andrew

7Luiz Araújo

10G. de Arrascaeta64'for Jorge Carrascal6.6

61João Victor Cunha

18N. de la Cruz

8Saúl

6Ayrton Lucas82'for Alex Sandro6.5

Estudiantes L.P. Substitutes

27L. Alario

13G. Benedetti

18E. Cetré77'for Joaquín Tobio Burgos6.5

19A. Gaich77'for Guido Carrillo6.6

1F. Iacovich

52B. Kociubinski

20E. Meza

34M. Monsalve

10T. Palacios38'for Joaquín Correa6.7

24T. Palacios77'for Marcos Rojo6.0

29F. Pérez Escudero

7J. Sosa90'for Alexis Castro

Match Stats

FlamengoEstudiantes L.P.

76%Ball Possession24%

6Corner Kicks5

0Yellow Cards3

0Red Cards1

13Total Shots8

3Shots on Goal3

3Shots off Goal3

8Shots Inside Box4

5Shots Outside Box4

7Blocked Shots2

10Fouls14

3Goalkeeper Saves3

649Total Passes207

578Passes Accurate135

14Free Kicks10

Flamengo

Estudiantes L.P.

1908Elo Rating 1691

1.13Attack 0.98

2.72Defense 2.21

39%Hit Rate 14%

13.8Shots per Game 13.6

6.1Shots on Target 4.1

7.0Corners per Game 4.8

2.2Cards per Game 2.9

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+217 Elo

📉Home Underperforming

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Flamengo

Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)
Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Estudiantes L.P.

Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

Flamengo2Wins · 40%

Draws240%

Estudiantes L.P.

1Wins · 20%

1.4Avg Goals

40%Both teams scored2 of 5

20%3+ goals1 of 5

Previous meetings

16/10/2026

Estudiantes L.P.

Flamengo

21/05/2026

Flamengo

Estudiantes L.P.

30/04/2026

Estudiantes L.P.

Flamengo

26/09/2025

Estudiantes L.P.

Flamengo

2140

19/09/2025

Flamengo

Estudiantes L.P.

Recent Form

09/10/2026

Santos

Flamengo

20/09/2026

Flamengo

RB Bragantino

18/09/2026

Flamengo

Independiente del Valle

Independiente del Valle

10/10/2026

Central Cordoba de Santiago

Estudiantes L.P.

26/09/2026

Estudiantes L.P.

Rosario Central

Referee Profile

Gustavo Tejera158 matches

4.94Cards per match

4.74Yellow cards per match

0.20Red cards per match

25.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Gustavo Tejera4.94

Other referees5.32

4.94 cards a match, 0.38 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.32).

Cards come from 82 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Round of 16

Quarter-finals

Semi-finals

League Table

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	Pts	Form
1	Flamengo	6	5	1	0	14:2	+12	16	WWWDW
2	Estudiantes L.P.	6	2	3	1	6:5	+1	9	WLDDW
3	Independiente Medellin	6	2	1	3	6:11	-5	7	LWLWL
4	Cusco	6	0	1	5	4:12	-8	1	LLDLL

#	Team	MP	G	Pts
1	Flamengo	6	14:2	16
2	Estudiantes L.P.	6	6:5	9
3	Independiente Medellin	6	6:11	7
4	Cusco	6	4:12	1

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About the Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P. forecast

As a knockout tie in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Flamengo and Estudiantes L.P. in the CONMEBOL Libertadores table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Flamengo are 1st in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, 7 points ahead of Estudiantes L.P. in 2nd. League goal record so far: Flamengo 14-2, Estudiantes L.P. 6-5. The full standings are on the CONMEBOL Libertadores Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 8.1 out of 10 by our context model. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.

Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P. Prediction

AI Best Pick

Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P.: the result in context

Match Forecasts

Match Events

Penalty Shootout2 - 3

Lineups

Flamengo Substitutes

Estudiantes L.P. Substitutes

Match Stats

Team Comparison

AI Insights

Game State Tendencies

Head to Head

Previous meetings

Recent Form

Referee Profile

Compared with other referees

Bracket

League Table

Explore more predictions

This match

More CONMEBOL Libertadores matches

All predictions

About the Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P. forecast

How to Read These Forecasts

Flamengo and Estudiantes L.P. in the CONMEBOL Libertadores table

Key Factors for This Match