Flamengo vs Mirassol Prediction

Flamengo
2-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Mirassol
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro·Anderson Daronco, Brazil 03/09/2026
FlamengoFlamengo
2-0
Finished
MirassolMirassol

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.58
SignalGOODModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+8.3%
Flamengo Rest
3 days
Mirassol Rest
3 days

Flamengo vs Mirassol: result, form and history

Flamengo beat Mirassol 2-0 in the Serie A on 2 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Flamengo had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Mirassol.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 3 previous meetings averaged 5.0 goals, and both sides scored in 3 of them. Referee Anderson Daronco averages 4.49 cards a game, 0.71 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
73%1.18
X
19%7.00
2
8%15.00
Double Chance
1X
92%1.03
X2
27%4.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%2.20
No
44%1.61
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.92 + 0.92 = 2.84
Over 1.5
78%1.15
Over 2.5
60%1.50
Over 3.5
35%2.30
Under 1.5
22%5.07
Under 2.5
40%2.50
Under 3.5
65%1.62
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.5 + 3.7 = 10.2
Over 8.5
67%1.58
Over 9.5
54%1.95
Over 10.5
39%2.50
Under 8.5
33%2.23
Under 9.5
46%1.75
Under 10.5
61%1.47
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.2 + 2.4 = 3.6
Over 3.5
48%1.84
Over 4.5
29%2.66
Under 3.5
52%1.83
Under 4.5
71%1.40

Match Events

14'Jorge CarrascalAssist: Pedro
31'Erick Pulgar INEvertton Araújo out
43'Lucas PaquetáAssist: Jorge Carrascal
45'Evertton Araújo INGiorgian de Arrascaeta out
45'Walter Leandro Capeloza Artune INAlex Muralha out
45'Carlos Eduardo INShaylon Kallyson Cardozo out
62'Rafael Silva GuanaesDissent
66'João Victor Carroll SantanaFoul
66'Igor Formiga INLira Nogueira Elias out
73'Pedro INBruno Henrique out
73'Jorge Carrascal INSaúl Ñíguez out
79'Gustavo Cazonatti INChico Kim out
79'André Luis INBruno Santos de Oliveira out
81'Denilson Alves BorgesFoul
82'Samuel Lino INEverton out

Lineups

Flamengo
4-2-3-1Coach: Leonardo Jardim
Mirassol
5-4-1Coach: Rafael Guanaes
Avg rating7.04
Avg rating6.38
A. Rossi7.01A. Rossi
G. Varela6.72G. Varela
Léo Ortiz6.83L. Ortiz
Léo Pereira7.34L. Pereira
Ayrton Lucas7.16A. Lucas
E. Pulgar7.15E. Pulgar
Jorginho7.021Jorginho
J. Carrascal8.715J. Carrascal
Lucas Paquetá8.020L. Paquetá
Samuel Lino7.216S. Lino
Pedro7.49Pedro
Walter5.722Walter
Igor Formiga6.332I. Formiga
Gabriel6.444Gabriel
João Victor6.134J. Victor
Willian Machado7.33W. Machado
Reinaldo7.16Reinaldo
Carlos Eduardo6.196C. Eduardo
Denilson6.627Denilson
Gustavo Cazonatti6.355G. Cazonatti
Fernandinho6.517Fernandinho
André Luís6.19A. Luís

Flamengo Substitutes

27Bruno Henrique73'for Pedro6.4
42Andrew
10G. de Arrascaeta45'replaced by Evertton Araújo6.4
13Danilo
49Dyogo
22Emerson Royal
11Everton82'for Samuel Lino6.5
52Evertton Araújo31'for Erick Pulgar45'for Giorgian de Arrascaeta6.6
77Johnny Góes
99Lorran
7Luiz Araújo
8Saúl73'for Jorge Carrascal6.5

Mirassol Substitutes

10Chico79'for Gustavo Cazonatti6.2
20Daniel Borges
18Elias66'for Igor Formiga6.2
19Gustavo Silva
5Japa
2Lucas Oliveira
7Shaylon45'for Carlos Eduardo6.5
12Victor Luís
80Wallisson
77Alesson
30Bruno Santos79'for André Luis6.9
23Alex Muralha45'for Walter Leandro Capeloza Artune5.8

Match Stats

FlamengoMirassol
56%Ball Possession44%
9Corner Kicks7
0Yellow Cards2
14Total Shots8
4Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal4
12Shots Inside Box5
2Shots Outside Box3
4Blocked Shots2
8Fouls11
0Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves2
634Total Passes483
558Passes Accurate426
88%Pass Accuracy88%

Team Comparison

FlamengoFlamengo
MirassolMirassol
1940Elo Rating 1661
2.73Attack 1.07
2.11Defense 1.94
83%Hit Rate 44%
18.6Shots per Game 13.2
7.9Shots on Target 3.3
8.5Corners per Game 4.3
1.1Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+279 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.84 goals
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

FlamengoFlamengo
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.7 vs 1.1 in second half)
MirassolMirassol
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

FlamengoFlamengo2Wins · 67%
Draws133%
MirassolMirassol0Wins · 0%
5.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored3 of 3
100%3+ goals3 of 3

Previous meetings

Serie A16/08/2026
MirassolFlamengo
15
Serie A06/12/2025
MirassolFlamengo
33
Serie A09/08/2025
FlamengoMirassol
21

Referee Profile

Anderson Daronco308 matches

4.49Cards per match
4.25Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
27.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Anderson Daronco4.49
Other referees5.20

4.49 cards a match, 0.71 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.20).

Cards come from 240 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo34237471:29+4276WWWWW
2PalmeirasPalmeiras342110362:23+3973WDWWW
3CruzeiroCruzeiro341861055:48+760WWWWL
4FluminenseFluminense34169955:42+1357WWLLL
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense341591051:43+854LLDLW
6BahiaBahia341411950:45+553LWDLW
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG341481244:40+450LLLWW
8RB BragantinoRB Bragantino341381344:39+547WWLDW
9SantosSantos3412111150:49+147LDDWL
10Sao PauloSao Paulo341281439:39044DLDWW
11BotafogoBotafogo341191446:53-742WLLWD
12CoritibaCoritiba341191440:51-1142LWLLD
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama331181443:50-741WLWLD
14MirassolMirassol3410101439:48-940WLDWL
15VitoriaVitoria341081635:51-1638LLDDL
16InternacionalInternacional349111438:42-438WLWLD
17CorinthiansCorinthians349101536:42-637DWLDL
18GremioGremio349101538:47-937LWWLD
19RemoRemo346111737:57-2029LWLDD
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc33492033:68-3521LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo3471:2976
2PalmeirasPalmeiras3462:2373
3CruzeiroCruzeiro3455:4860
4FluminenseFluminense3455:4257
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense3451:4354
6BahiaBahia3450:4553
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG3444:4050
8RB BragantinoRB Bragantino3444:3947
9SantosSantos3450:4947
10Sao PauloSao Paulo3439:3944
11BotafogoBotafogo3446:5342
12CoritibaCoritiba3440:5142
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama3343:5041
14MirassolMirassol3439:4840
15VitoriaVitoria3435:5138
16InternacionalInternacional3438:4238
17CorinthiansCorinthians3436:4237
18GremioGremio3438:4737
19RemoRemo3437:5729
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc3333:6821
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About the Flamengo vs Mirassol forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Flamengo and Mirassol in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Flamengo are 1st and Mirassol 14th, 36 points apart. League goal record so far: Flamengo 71-29, Mirassol 39-48. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Flamengo have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.