Flamengo vs Mirassol Prediction

Flamengo
2-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Mirassol
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro· Anderson Daronco, Brazil 03/09/2026
FlamengoFlamengo
2-0
Finished
MirassolMirassol

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.58
SignalSTRONGModel66%RiskMediumGap+8.3%
Flamengo Rest
3 days
Mirassol Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
73%1.18
X
19%7.00
2
8%15.00
Double Chance
1X
92%1.03
X2
27%4.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%2.20
No
44%1.61
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.92 + 0.92 = 2.84
Over 1.5
78%1.15
Over 2.5
60%1.50
Over 3.5
35%2.30
Under 1.5
22%5.07
Under 2.5
40%2.50
Under 3.5
65%1.62
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.5 + 3.7 = 10.2
Over 8.5
67%1.58
Over 9.5
54%1.95
Over 10.5
39%2.50
Under 8.5
33%2.23
Under 9.5
46%1.75
Under 10.5
61%1.47
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.2 + 2.4 = 3.6
Over 3.5
48%1.84
Over 4.5
29%2.66
Under 3.5
52%1.83
Under 4.5
71%1.40

Match Events

14'Jorge CarrascalAssist: Pedro
31'Erick Pulgar INEvertton Araújo out
43'Lucas PaquetáAssist: Jorge Carrascal
45'Evertton Araújo INGiorgian de Arrascaeta out
45'Walter Leandro Capeloza Artune INAlex Muralha out
45'Carlos Eduardo INShaylon Kallyson Cardozo out
62'Rafael Silva GuanaesDissent
66'João Victor Carroll SantanaFoul
66'Igor Formiga INLira Nogueira Elias out
73'Pedro INBruno Henrique out
73'Jorge Carrascal INSaúl Ñíguez out
79'Gustavo Cazonatti INChico Kim out
79'André Luis INBruno Santos de Oliveira out
81'Denilson Alves BorgesFoul
82'Samuel Lino INEverton out

Lineups

Flamengo
4-2-3-1Coach: Leonardo Jardim
Mirassol
5-4-1Coach: Rafael Guanaes
A. Rossi1A. RossiA. Rossi
G. Varela2G. VarelaG. Varela
Léo Ortiz3L. OrtizLéo Ortiz
Léo Pereira4L. PereiraLéo Pereira
Ayrton Lucas6A. LucasAyrton Lucas
E. Pulgar5E. PulgarE. Pulgar
Jorginho21JorginhoJorginho
J. Carrascal15J. CarrascalJ. Carrascal
Lucas Paquetá20L. PaquetáLucas Paquetá
Samuel Lino16S. LinoSamuel Lino
Pedro9PedroPedro
Walter22WalterWalter
Igor Formiga32I. FormigaIgor Formiga
Gabriel44GabrielGabriel
João Victor34J. VictorJoão Victor
Willian Machado3W. MachadoWillian Machado
Reinaldo6ReinaldoReinaldo
Carlos Eduardo96C. EduardoCarlos Eduardo
Denilson27DenilsonDenilson
Gustavo Cazonatti55G. CazonattiGustavo Cazonatti
Fernandinho17FernandinhoFernandinho
André Luís9A. LuísAndré Luís

Flamengo Substitutes

27Bruno HenriqueF
42AndrewG
10G. de ArrascaetaM
13DaniloD
49DyogoG
22Emerson RoyalD
11EvertonF
52Evertton AraújoM
77Johnny GóesD
99LorranM
7Luiz AraújoF
8SaúlM

Mirassol Substitutes

10ChicoM
20Daniel BorgesD
18EliasD
19Gustavo SilvaM
5JapaM
2Lucas OliveiraD
7ShaylonM
12Victor LuísD
80WallissonM
77AlessonF
30Bruno SantosF
23Alex MuralhaG

Match Stats

FlamengoMirassol
56%Ball Possession44%
9Corner Kicks7
0Yellow Cards2
14Total Shots8
4Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal4
12Shots Inside Box5
2Shots Outside Box3
4Blocked Shots2
8Fouls11
0Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves2
632Total Passes480
558Passes Accurate422
11Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

FlamengoFlamengo
MirassolMirassol
1905Elo Rating 1645
1.95Attack 1.30
2.73Defense 1.54
100%Hit Rate 23%
18.5Shots per Game 15.2
5.6Shots on Target 4.9
10.0Corners per Game 7.0
1.7Cards per Game 3.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+260 Elo
High Goal Expectancy2.84 goals
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

FlamengoFlamengo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
MirassolMirassol
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 3 historical meetings

Flamengo 67%Draw 33%0% Mirassol
5.16Avg Goals
100%BTTS Rate
100%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

Anderson Daronco, Brazil · 29 matches analysed

4.3Avg Yellows
4.5Avg Cards
26.4Avg Fouls
Stricter than 49% of referees analysed

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo27176453:22+3157WWWWL
2PalmeirasPalmeiras27168347:21+2656WDDWL
3Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense27137741:31+1046DLDWD
4BahiaBahia271210542:33+946WWWWD
5FluminenseFluminense27129641:35+645LWDWW
6CruzeiroCruzeiro27126939:39042LWLWW
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG26116935:31+439WLWDW
8CoritibaCoritiba27108937:38-138DLWWD
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino261061032:29+336DLLWD
10SantosSantos2698939:39035WWWDW
11BotafogoBotafogo27981041:43-235WDDLL
12Sao PauloSao Paulo26961131:30+133LWWLD
13VitoriaVitoria27961227:39-1233DWLLW
14CorinthiansCorinthians27881128:29-132LLLLL
15MirassolMirassol27781231:42-1129DWLDD
16GremioGremio27771330:38-828LLLWL
17Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama26771229:41-1228WLWLL
18InternacionalInternacional276101130:35-528WLLDD
19RemoRemo27581431:45-1423LLLLD
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc26381528:52-2417LWLWD
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo2753:2257
2PalmeirasPalmeiras2747:2156
3Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense2741:3146
4BahiaBahia2742:3346
5FluminenseFluminense2741:3545
6CruzeiroCruzeiro2739:3942
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG2635:3139
8CoritibaCoritiba2737:3838
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino2632:2936
10SantosSantos2639:3935
11BotafogoBotafogo2741:4335
12Sao PauloSao Paulo2631:3033
13VitoriaVitoria2727:3933
14CorinthiansCorinthians2728:2932
15MirassolMirassol2731:4229
16GremioGremio2730:3828
17Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama2629:4128
18InternacionalInternacional2730:3528
19RemoRemo2731:4523
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc2628:5217
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Flamengo vs Mirassol Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Serie A fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Serie A

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Key Factors for This Match

Flamengo and Mirassol have met 3 times recently, averaging 5.16 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.