Palmeiras vs Fluminense Prediction
World · Semi-finals
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Palmeiras vs Fluminense: result, form and history
Palmeiras beat Fluminense on penalties (5-3) after a 0-1 draw in the CONMEBOL Libertadores on 22 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Palmeiras had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Fluminense.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. Referee Esteban Ostojich averages 6.61 cards a game, 1.43 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Penalty Shootout5 - 3
Lineups
Palmeiras
Avg ratingAvg rating
1C. Miguel
26Murilo
15G. Gómez
2A. Barboza
4A. Giay
30L. Evangelista
17M. Freitas
22J. Piquerez
11J. Arias
8A. Pereira
42J. López
1Fábio
23Guga
3T. Silva
29J. Millán
13G. Arana
35Hércules
16Nonato
11J. Savarino
10P. Ganso
17A. Canobbio
7HulkPalmeiras Substitutes
Fluminense Substitutes
Match Stats
PalmeirasFluminense Team Comparison
PalmeirasFluminenseAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Palmeiras- Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.6 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Fluminense- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.6 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Palmeiras4Wins · 40%4Wins · 40%Previous meetings
15/10/2026FluminensePalmeiras
15/08/2026FluminensePalmeiras26/02/2026PalmeirasFluminense23/11/2025PalmeirasFluminense24/07/2025FluminensePalmeiras08/12/2024PalmeirasFluminense25/07/2024FluminensePalmeiras03/12/2023PalmeirasFluminense06/08/2023FluminensePalmeiras28/08/2022FluminensePalmeirasRecent Form
Palmeiras
Atletico ParanaensePalmeirasFluminensePalmeirasPalmeiras
CorinthiansPalmeiras
Bahia
GremioPalmeiras
LDU de QuitoPalmeirasPalmeiras
Sao PauloPalmeirasLDU de Quito
BotafogoPalmeiras
SantosPalmeirasFluminenseFluminenseSantosFluminensePalmeiras
FlamengoFluminenseFluminense
CoritibaCorinthiansFluminense
PlatenseFluminense
Atletico-MGFluminenseFluminensePlatenseFluminense
Vasco DA GamaAtletico ParanaenseFluminenseReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
6.61 cards a match, 1.43 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.18).
Cards come from 109 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsBracket
League Table
Group C
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15:6 | +9 | 16 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Fluminense | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 | WWDLL |
| 3 |  Bolívar | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 | LLDWD |
| 4 |  Deportivo La Guaira | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:13 | -7 | 3 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independ. Rivadavia | 6 | 15:6 | 16 |
| 2 | Fluminense | 6 | 7:7 | 8 |
| 3 | Bolívar | 6 | 6:8 | 5 |
| 4 | Deportivo La Guaira | 6 | 6:13 | 3 |
Group F
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cerro Porteno | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | +4 | 13 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:5 | +5 | 11 | WLWDW |
| 3 |  Sporting Cristal | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 | LLLWL |
| 4 |  Junior | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 4 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 6 | 6:2 | 13 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 6 | 10:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 4 | Junior | 6 | 5:11 | 4 |
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This match
About the Palmeiras vs Fluminense forecast
As a knockout tie in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About CONMEBOL Libertadores
More CONMEBOL Libertadores fixtures and forecasts are on the CONMEBOL Libertadores Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 8.1 out of 10 by our context model. Palmeiras have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Fluminense have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.