Frosinone vs Sassuolo Prediction

Frosinone
4-2
Finished
HT 3-2
Sassuolo
PSC Arena, Frosinone·Matteo Marchetti 16/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.44
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-1.6%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.59
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+6.1%
Frosinone Rest
6 days
Sassuolo Rest
5 days

Frosinone vs Sassuolo: result, form and history

Frosinone beat Sassuolo 4-2 in the Serie A on 16 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 5 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them. Frosinone tend to win more corners, 5.8 a game to 3.8 for Sassuolo.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.46
X
26%3.72
2
32%2.70
Double Chance
1X
68%1.44
X2
58%1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%1.36
No
36%2.94
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.37 + 1.19 = 2.56
Over 1.5
79%1.12
Over 2.5
58%1.42
Over 3.5
38%2.12
Under 1.5
21%5.80
Under 2.5
42%2.70
Under 3.5
62%1.77
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.2 + 4.5 = 10.8
Over 8.5
71%1.35
Over 9.5
60%1.65
Over 10.5
50%2.02
Under 8.5
29%2.82
Under 9.5
40%2.13
Under 10.5
50%1.72
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2 = 4.1
Over 3.5
58%1.52
Over 4.5
39%2.02
Under 3.5
42%2.46
Under 4.5
61%1.73

Match Events

9'Giacomo Calò
15'Domenico BerardiAssist: Darryl Bakola
17'Goal cancelledGiorgi Kvernadze
26'Antonio Raimondo
30'Antonio Raimondo
37'Kristian Thorstvedt
57'Antonio Raimondo
58'Kristian Thorstvedt INKieron Bowie out
67'Sebastiano Esposito INBenjamin Dominguez out
68'Josh Doig INRafael Obrador out
68'Nemanja Matić INLuca Lipani out
74'Ilario Monterisi INOmar Fayed Abdelwahab El Rakhawy out
74'Giorgi Kvernadze INAlessio Zerbin out
80'Anthony Oyono INWisdom Amey out
80'Giacomo Calò INMatteo Cichella out
82'Kieron BowieFoul
83'Armand Lauriente INCristian Volpato out
90'Antonio Raimondo INDaniel Birligea out

Lineups

Frosinone
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Alvini
Sassuolo
4-2-3-1Coach: A. Aquilani
Avg rating6.62
Avg rating6.36
L. Palmisani6.322L. Palmisani
A. Oyono6.020A. Oyono
G. Cittadini6.62G. Cittadini
I. Monterisi6.230I. Monterisi
G. Bracaglia6.479G. Bracaglia
P. Masini6.073P. Masini
G. Calò8.214G. Calò
F. Ghedjemis6.47F. Ghedjemis
R. Schmid6.310R. Schmid
G. Kvernadze6.517G. Kvernadze
A. Raimondo9.39A. Raimondo
A. Murić7.349A. Murić
I. Van der Brempt5.420I. Van der Brempt
C. Odenthal6.526C. Odenthal
D. Ćaleta-Car6.615D. Ćaleta-Car
J. Doig6.23J. Doig
N. Matić5.818N. Matić
D. Bakola7.250D. Bakola
D. Berardi7.210D. Berardi
K. Thorstvedt6.942K. Thorstvedt
A. Laurienté6.445A. Laurienté
S. Esposito6.394S. Esposito

Frosinone Substitutes

24A. Zerbin74'for Giorgi Kvernadze6.7
71A. Terzić
90E. Tchato
12M. Pisseri
70L. Hasa
40S. Fini
74Omar Fayed74'for Ilario Monterisi6.1
34A. El Azzouzi
91S. Desplanches
16Matteo Cichella80'for Giacomo Calò6.1
3G. Calvani
89T. Bobček
11D. Bîrligea90'for Antonio Raimondo
5W. Amey80'for Anthony Oyono6.2
25K. Akpoguma

Sassuolo Substitutes

46S. Cinquegrano
6S. Walukiewicz
25B. Domínguez67'for Sebastiano Esposito6.4
8A. Ghion
35L. Lipani68'for Nemanja Matić5.9
33Rafael Obrador68'for Josh Doig5.6
70E. Pieragnolo
12G. Satalino
19L. Skjellerup
55I. Sulemana
80S. Turati
7C. Volpato83'for Armand Lauriente6.0
5Fali Candé
9K. Bowie58'for Kristian Thorstvedt82'6.1
17Vasilije Adžić

Match Stats

FrosinoneSassuolo
42%Ball Possession58%
5Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards1
21Total Shots14
10Shots on Goal6
7Shots off Goal5
11Shots Inside Box11
10Shots Outside Box3
4Blocked Shots3
13Fouls11
3Offsides3
4Goalkeeper Saves6
333Total Passes467
248Passes Accurate376
11Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

FrosinoneFrosinone
SassuoloSassuolo
1803Elo Rating 1725
2.06Attack 1.24
1.33Defense 0.74
61%Hit Rate 14%
20.0Shots per Game 11.8
6.2Shots on Target 4.3
5.8Corners per Game 3.8
1.2Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

FrosinoneFrosinone
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
SassuoloSassuolo
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

FrosinoneFrosinone2Wins · 40%
Draws120%
SassuoloSassuolo2Wins · 40%
2.6Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored3 of 5
40%3+ goals2 of 5

Previous meetings

Coppa Italia02/09/2026
SassuoloFrosinone
4131
Serie B13/05/2025
SassuoloFrosinone
01
Serie B14/12/2024
FrosinoneSassuolo
12
Serie A09/03/2024
SassuoloFrosinone
10
Serie A17/09/2023
FrosinoneSassuolo
42

Referee Profile

Matteo Marchetti119 matches

4.32Cards per match
4.13Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
28.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Matteo Marchetti4.32
Other referees4.67

4.32 cards a match, 0.35 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.67).

Cards come from 111 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1InterInter761021:9+1219WWDWW
2LazioLazio761014:4+1019WWWDW
3AS RomaAS Roma853019:6+1318DWDDW
4ComoComo852114:7+717WWDLW
5AC MilanAC Milan743014:7+715WDWDD
6FrosinoneFrosinone741213:9+413WLWDW
7TorinoTorino841313:11+213WWWDL
8CagliariCagliari84136:9-313LLDWW
9NapoliNapoli832313:10+311DLWDW
10JuventusJuventus73229:8+111LDWLD
11AtalantaAtalanta730410:11-19LWLLL
12LecceLecce73049:12-39WLLWL
13BolognaBologna82248:10-28WLWDL
14SassuoloSassuolo822412:16-48LLDLW
15MonzaMonza821515:18-37LWLWL
16UdineseUdinese71159:16-74LLLLL
17GenoaGenoa71155:13-84LWLDL
18FiorentinaFiorentina71158:17-94LLDWL
19ParmaParma71154:13-94LLWLD
20VeneziaVenezia71066:16-103WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1InterInter721:919
2LazioLazio714:419
3AS RomaAS Roma819:618
4ComoComo814:717
5AC MilanAC Milan714:715
6FrosinoneFrosinone713:913
7TorinoTorino813:1113
8CagliariCagliari86:913
9NapoliNapoli813:1011
10JuventusJuventus79:811
11AtalantaAtalanta710:119
12LecceLecce79:129
13BolognaBologna88:108
14SassuoloSassuolo812:168
15MonzaMonza815:187
16UdineseUdinese79:164
17GenoaGenoa75:134
18FiorentinaFiorentina78:174
19ParmaParma74:134
20VeneziaVenezia76:163
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Frosinone vs Sassuolo forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Frosinone and Sassuolo in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Frosinone are 6th and Sassuolo 14th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Frosinone 13-9, Sassuolo 12-16. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Frosinone have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.