Sassuolo vs AC Milan Prediction

Serie AItaly Italy · Regular Season - 6
Sassuolo
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
AC Milan
Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia·Francesco Fourneau 11/10/2026
SassuoloSassuolo
1-1
Finished
AC MilanAC Milan

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.22
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-6.5%
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.51
SignalGOODModel69%SurpriseMediumGap+4.1%
Sassuolo Rest
22 days
AC Milan Rest
20 days

Sassuolo vs AC Milan: result, form and history

Sassuolo and AC Milan drew 1-1 in the Serie A on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.7 goals, and both sides scored in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
24%4.21
X
26%3.80
2
50%1.84
Double Chance
1X
50%1.98
X2
76%1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.60
No
43%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.14 + 1.54 = 2.68
Over 1.5
78%1.19
Over 2.5
55%1.68
Over 3.5
35%2.62
Under 1.5
22%4.38
Under 2.5
45%2.21
Under 3.5
65%1.47
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.7 = 9.6
Over 8.5
61%1.69
Over 9.5
51%2.12
Over 10.5
35%2.77
Under 8.5
39%2.12
Under 9.5
49%1.67
Under 10.5
65%1.38
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.3 = 4.2
Over 3.5
61%1.70
Over 4.5
41%2.20
Under 3.5
39%2.10
Under 4.5
59%1.62

Match Events

20'Matteo Gabbia INKoni De Winter out
26'Fedde Leysen INCas Odenthal out
41'Pervis EstupinanFoul
45'Pervis Estupinan INLuka Modrić out
45+3'Koni De WinterFoul
60'Sebastiano Esposito INKieron Bowie out
60'Vasilije Adzic INKristian Thorstvedt out
63'Adrien RabiotAssist: Luka Modrić
68'Cas Odenthal
78'Yunus Musah INArdon Jashari out
78'Christian Pulisic INAlphadjo Cissè out
79'Ignace Van der Brempt INSimone Cinquegrano out
79'Nemanja Matić INLuca Lipani out
85'Samuel Chukwueze INOmari Hutchinson out
87'Gonçalo RamosTime wasting
90+1'Strahinja PavlovicFoul
90+4'Kristian ThorstvedtFoul

Lineups

Sassuolo
4-3-3Coach: A. Aquilani
AC Milan
4-4-1-1Coach: Ruben Amorim
Avg rating6.73
Avg rating6.70
A. Murić7.849A. Murić
I. Van der Brempt7.120I. Van der Brempt
D. Ćaleta-Car7.015D. Ćaleta-Car
F. Leysen6.516F. Leysen
J. Doig6.73J. Doig
Vasilije Adžić5.917V. Adžić
N. Matić6.318N. Matić
D. Bakola6.750D. Bakola
D. Berardi6.310D. Berardi
S. Esposito6.994S. Esposito
A. Laurienté6.545A. Laurienté
M. Maignan6.916M. Maignan
Mario Gila7.134M. Gila
M. Gabbia6.546M. Gabbia
S. Pavlović6.531S. Pavlović
P. Estupiñán6.42P. Estupiñán
S. Chukwueze6.121S. Chukwueze
Y. Musah6.780Y. Musah
A. Rabiot7.912A. Rabiot
Diego Moreira7.222D. Moreira
C. Pulišić6.811C. Pulišić
Gonçalo Ramos6.29G. Ramos

Sassuolo Substitutes

6S. Walukiewicz
7C. Volpato
80S. Turati
42K. Thorstvedt60'for Vasilije Adzic90+4'6.0
55I. Sulemana
19L. Skjellerup
12G. Satalino
26C. Odenthal26'for Fedde Leysen68'8.4
33Rafael Obrador
35L. Lipani79'for Nemanja Matić6.4
8A. Ghion
25B. Domínguez
46S. Cinquegrano79'for Ignace Van der Brempt6.4
5Fali Candé
9K. Bowie60'for Sebastiano Esposito6.8

AC Milan Substitutes

73F. Camarda
41L. P. Bouyer
33D. Bartesaghi
96L. Torriani
70A. Cissè78'for Christian Pulisic6.4
23F. Tomori
42F. Terracciano
14L. Modrić45'for Pervis Estupinan6.9
8R. Loftus-Cheek
30A. Jashari78'for Yunus Musah6.4
20O. Hutchinson85'for Samuel Chukwueze6.6
13S. Bocoum
5K. De Winter20'for Matteo Gabbia45+3'6.8
28C. Comotto

Match Stats

SassuoloAC Milan
41%Ball Possession59%
3Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards4
10Total Shots11
4Shots on Goal6
4Shots off Goal2
4Shots Inside Box10
6Shots Outside Box1
2Blocked Shots3
13Fouls11
1Offsides0
5Goalkeeper Saves3
438Total Passes627
380Passes Accurate566
11Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

SassuoloSassuolo
AC MilanAC Milan
1735Elo Rating 1882
1.74Attack 2.42
0.69Defense 1.98
17%Hit Rate 66%
13.7Shots per Game 12.6
5.9Shots on Target 6.3
4.2Corners per Game 3.7
1.4Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

SassuoloSassuolo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
AC MilanAC Milan
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

SassuoloSassuolo4Wins · 40%
Draws330%
AC MilanAC Milan3Wins · 30%
3.7Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Serie A03/05/2026
SassuoloAC Milan
20
Serie A14/12/2025
AC MilanSassuolo
22
Coppa Italia03/12/2024
AC MilanSassuolo
61
Serie A14/04/2024
SassuoloAC Milan
33
Serie A30/12/2023
AC MilanSassuolo
10
Serie A29/01/2023
AC MilanSassuolo
25
Serie A30/08/2022
SassuoloAC Milan
00
Serie A22/05/2022
SassuoloAC Milan
03
Serie A28/11/2021
AC MilanSassuolo
13
Serie A21/04/2021
AC MilanSassuolo
12

Recent Form

SassuoloSassuolo
4W2D4L
18/09/2026
MonzaSassuolo
21
L13/09/2026
SassuoloJuventus
32
W06/09/2026
BolognaSassuolo
22
D02/09/2026
SassuoloFrosinone
4131
W29/08/2026
SassuoloTorino
21
W23/08/2026
AtalantaSassuolo
21
L17/08/2026
SassuoloCesena
30
W
08/08/2026
FC AugsburgSassuolo
32
L
05/08/2026
SassuoloCelta Vigo
14
L
31/07/2026
SassuoloFolgore Caratese
00
D
AC MilanAC Milan
4W4D2L
20/09/2026
AC MilanLecce
30
W16/09/2026
AC MilanBenfica
02
L12/09/2026
LazioAC Milan
22
D06/09/2026
JuventusAC Milan
11
D28/08/2026
AC MilanVenezia
20
W23/08/2026
TorinoAC Milan
12
W
15/08/2026
Manchester UnitedAC Milan
24
W
08/08/2026
ChelseaAC Milan
30
L
05/08/2026
AC MilanInter
11
D
25/07/2026
CelticAC Milan
22
D

Referee Profile

Francesco Fourneau115 matches

4.91Cards per match
4.75Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
27.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Francesco Fourneau4.91
Other referees4.67

4.91 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.67).

Cards come from 109 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1InterInter761021:9+1219WWDWW
2LazioLazio761014:4+1019WWWDW
3AS RomaAS Roma752016:3+1317WDDWW
4AC MilanAC Milan743014:7+715WDWDD
5ComoComo742112:7+514WDLWW
6FrosinoneFrosinone741213:9+413WLWDW
7CagliariCagliari74126:7-113LDWWW
8JuventusJuventus73229:8+111LDWLD
9NapoliNapoli731310:7+310LWDWL
10TorinoTorino731310:9+110WWDLW
11AtalantaAtalanta730410:11-19LWLLL
12LecceLecce73049:12-39WLLWL
13SassuoloSassuolo722312:14-28LDLWD
14MonzaMonza721413:15-27WLWLD
15BolognaBologna71246:10-45LWDLD
16UdineseUdinese71159:16-74LLLLL
17GenoaGenoa71155:13-84LWLDL
18FiorentinaFiorentina71158:17-94LLDWL
19ParmaParma71154:13-94LLWLD
20VeneziaVenezia71066:16-103WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1InterInter721:919
2LazioLazio714:419
3AS RomaAS Roma716:317
4AC MilanAC Milan714:715
5ComoComo712:714
6FrosinoneFrosinone713:913
7CagliariCagliari76:713
8JuventusJuventus79:811
9NapoliNapoli710:710
10TorinoTorino710:910
11AtalantaAtalanta710:119
12LecceLecce79:129
13SassuoloSassuolo712:148
14MonzaMonza713:157
15BolognaBologna76:105
16UdineseUdinese79:164
17GenoaGenoa75:134
18FiorentinaFiorentina78:174
19ParmaParma74:134
20VeneziaVenezia76:163
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

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About the Sassuolo vs AC Milan forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sassuolo and AC Milan in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, AC Milan are 4th and Sassuolo 13th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Sassuolo 12-14, AC Milan 14-7. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

AC Milan have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.