FS Jelgava vs Rīgas FS Prediction

FS Jelgava
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Rīgas FS
Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs, Jelgava 20/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.26
SignalHIGHModel70%SurpriseMediumGap-2.8%
FS Jelgava Rest
7 days
Rīgas FS Rest
3 days

FS Jelgava vs Rīgas FS: result, form and history

Rīgas FS beat FS Jelgava 1-0 in the Virsliga on 20 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Rīgas FS have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.8 goals a game. Rīgas FS tend to win more corners, 7.7 a game to 1.9 for FS Jelgava.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
8%8.30
X
15%5.20
2
77%1.26
Double Chance
1X
23%3.26
X2
92%1.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.83
No
56%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.12
Over 2.5
39%1.47
Over 3.5
19%2.23
Under 1.5
37%4.70
Under 2.5
61%2.40
Under 3.5
81%1.57
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

39'M. SyllaAssist: L. Odisharia
42'F. HasekUnsportsmanlike conduct
56'M. Sylla ING. Mankenda out
56'S. Rakic INM. Saidy out
70'T. Rataj ING. Patika out
71'F. Hasek INA. Petersons out
71'M. Pudil INR. Becers out
78'R. Savalnieks INA. Filipovic out
78'L. Odisharia INR. Ndjiki out
84'R. Melkis INA. Janovskis out
88'M. SaidyHandling
90+3'M. SemeskoFoul

Team Comparison

FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
Rīgas FSRīgas FS
1376Elo Rating 1719
1.14Attack 3.11
0.30Defense 2.72
0%Hit Rate 100%
10.8Shots per Game 18.5
7.5Shots on Target 6.7
1.9Corners per Game 7.7
0.5Cards per Game 0.6

AI Insights

📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Rīgas FSRīgas FS
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.1 vs 1 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FS JelgavaFS Jelgava1Wins · 10%
Draws110%
Rīgas FSRīgas FS8Wins · 80%
2.8Avg Goals
20%Both teams scored2 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Cup12/07/2026
Rīgas FSFS Jelgava
20
Virsliga21/05/2026
Rīgas FSFS Jelgava
40
Virsliga08/04/2026
FS JelgavaRīgas FS
01
Virsliga13/09/2025
Rīgas FSFS Jelgava
14
Cup12/07/2025
FS JelgavaRīgas FS
01
Virsliga26/06/2025
FS JelgavaRīgas FS
01
Virsliga05/05/2025
FS JelgavaRīgas FS
22
Virsliga11/03/2025
Rīgas FSFS Jelgava
10
Virsliga30/09/2024
FS JelgavaRīgas FS
02
Virsliga05/07/2024
Rīgas FSFS Jelgava
70

Recent Form

FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
3W3D4L
12/07/2026
Rīgas FSFS Jelgava
20
L
03/07/2026
RigaFS Jelgava
30
L
29/06/2026
FS JelgavaGrobiņa
20
W
25/06/2026
Super NovaFS Jelgava
15
W
21/06/2026
FS JelgavaTukums
41
W
17/06/2026
FS JelgavaOgre United
02
L
13/06/2026
AudaFS Jelgava
11
D
31/05/2026
FS JelgavaBFC Daugavpils
11
D
26/05/2026
FS JelgavaFK Liepaja
11
D
21/05/2026
Rīgas FSFS Jelgava
40
L
Rīgas FSRīgas FS
8W1D1L
16/07/2026
Rīgas FSGlentoran
20
W
12/07/2026
Rīgas FSFS Jelgava
20
W
09/07/2026
GlentoranRīgas FS
12
W
04/07/2026
Rīgas FSAuda
11
D
30/06/2026
Rīgas FSBFC Daugavpils
31
W
26/06/2026
FK LiepajaRīgas FS
02
W
22/06/2026
Rīgas FSOgre United
60
W
17/06/2026
RigaRīgas FS
21
L
13/06/2026
GrobiņaRīgas FS
13
W
29/05/2026
Super NovaRīgas FS
12
W

League Table

Virsliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS35285287:24+6389WWWWW
2RigaRiga35258295:33+6283DWWWW
3AudaAuda36227763:39+2473WWWLW
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3614101243:38+552DWWWW
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja361491351:50+151WDDWL
6Super NovaSuper Nova361171836:54-1840DDLLL
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava36981941:61-2035WLLLL
8GrobiņaGrobiņa366111928:66-3829LLLWL
9TukumsTukums365102145:69-2425LLDLL
10Ogre UnitedOgre United36472534:89-5519LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS3587:2489
2RigaRiga3595:3383
3AudaAuda3663:3973
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3643:3852
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja3651:5051
6Super NovaSuper Nova3636:5440
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava3641:6135
8GrobiņaGrobiņa3628:6629
9TukumsTukums3645:6925
10Ogre UnitedOgre United3634:8919

About the FS Jelgava vs Rīgas FS forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

FS Jelgava and Rīgas FS in the Virsliga table

The table shows a wide gap: Rīgas FS are 1st in the Virsliga, while FS Jelgava sit 7th, 54 points behind. League goal record so far: FS Jelgava 41-61, Rīgas FS 87-24. The full standings are on the Virsliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.