Excelsior vs Utrecht Prediction

Excelsior
1-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Utrecht
Stadion Woudestein, Rotterdam·S. van der Eijk 13/09/2026
ExcelsiorExcelsior
1-2
Finished
UtrechtUtrecht

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 1.5
1.78
SignalSOLIDModel58%SurpriseMediumGap+5.0%
Excelsior Rest
4 days
Utrecht Rest
4 days

Excelsior vs Utrecht: result, form and history

Utrecht beat Excelsior 2-1 in the Eredivisie on 13 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Excelsior had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Utrecht.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 6 previous meetings averaged 3.0 goals, and both sides scored in 3 of them. Utrecht tend to win more corners, 7.3 a game to 1.6 for Excelsior.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%2.10
X
25%3.72
2
31%3.13
Double Chance
1X
69%1.35
X2
56%1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.50
No
46%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.68 + 1.06 = 2.74
Over 1.5
79%1.17
Over 2.5
53%1.57
Over 3.5
33%2.40
Under 1.5
21%4.80
Under 2.5
47%2.32
Under 3.5
67%1.57
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 4.2 = 10.3
Over 8.5
65%1.46
Over 9.5
56%1.80
Over 10.5
44%2.22
Under 8.5
35%2.50
Under 9.5
44%1.93
Under 10.5
56%1.57
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 1.9 = 3.4
Over 3.5
44%2.05
Over 4.5
25%3.00
Under 3.5
56%1.72
Under 4.5
75%1.36

Match Events

36'Artem Stepanov
62'Ángel Alarcón INMarius Broholm out
62'Artem Stepanov INYoann Cathline out
62'Adrian Blake INS. van Duijn out
70'David Garden INMario Domínguez Franco out
70'Kasey Bos INSimon Janssen out
70'Eric da Silva Moreira INValentin Sulzbacher out
71'Valentin SulzbacherFoul
77'Aymen slitiAssist: Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson
80'Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson INAlireza Jahanbakhsh out
81'Niklas Vesterlund INJoris van Overeem out
85'Lennard Hartjes INGiulliano Cairo out
85'Mario Domínguez FrancoFoul
90+2'Dani De Wit
90+4'Arthur Zagre INJakov Medic out

Lineups

Excelsior
4-1-4-1Coach: R. den Uil
Utrecht
3-4-3Coach: A. Correia
Avg rating6.43
Avg rating6.67
S. van Gassel6.71S. van Gassel
Eric Emanuel da Silva Moreira6.52E. Emanuel da Silva Moreira
C. Widell6.84C. Widell
J. Plug7.214J. Plug
K. Bos6.312K. Bos
R. Meissen6.43R. Meissen
A. Sliti7.67A. Sliti
I. Yegoian5.98I. Yegoian
L. Hartjes6.220L. Hartjes
Á. Þorsteinsson6.930Á. Þorsteinsson
D. Garden6.119D. Garden
V. Barkas6.11V. Barkas
S. Horemans6.52S. Horemans
M. Didden6.93M. Didden
N. Panagiotou6.35N. Panagiotou
N. Vesterlund6.023N. Vesterlund
D. de Wit8.020D. de Wit
D. van den Berg6.634D. van den Berg
A. Zagré6.492A. Zagré
Ángel Alarcón6.711Á. Alarcón
Artem Stepanov7.99A. Stepanov
A. Blake6.615A. Blake

Excelsior Substitutes

16Celton Biai
24Giulliano Cairo85'for Lennard Hartjes6.0
9Mario Domínguez70'for David Garden85'6.0
23Y. Finey
28N. Groen
11A. Jahanbakhsh80'for Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson6.4
15S. Janssen70'for Kasey Bos6.2
21I. Silva Timas
18V. Sulzbacher70'for Eric da Silva Moreira71'5.8
22O. Turay
6D. van Vianen

Utrecht Substitutes

39N. Amrabat
10Y. Cathline62'for Artem Stepanov6.8
33K. Gadellaa
32P. Kloosterboer
18J. Medić90+4'for Arthur Zagre
6G. Offerhaus
21N. Ogidi Nwankwo
22S. Padt
17S. van Duijn62'for Adrian Blake6.4
8J. van Overeem81'for Niklas Vesterlund6.2
80M. Broholm62'for Ángel Alarcón6.6

Match Stats

ExcelsiorUtrecht
56%Ball Possession44%
5Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards0
10Total Shots12
4Shots on Goal6
3Shots off Goal4
8Shots Inside Box8
2Shots Outside Box4
3Blocked Shots2
9Fouls8
1Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves3
530Total Passes430
440Passes Accurate335
8Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

ExcelsiorExcelsior
UtrechtUtrecht
1624Elo Rating 1685
0.83Attack 1.72
0.00Defense 1.42
23%Hit Rate 54%
6.3Shots per Game 16.4
2.2Shots on Target 4.7
1.6Corners per Game 7.3
0.9Cards per Game 2.0

Game State Tendencies

ExcelsiorExcelsior
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
UtrechtUtrecht
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

ExcelsiorExcelsior1Wins · 17%
Draws233%
UtrechtUtrecht3Wins · 50%
3.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored3 of 6
50%3+ goals3 of 6

Previous meetings

Eredivisie26/04/2026
ExcelsiorUtrecht
50
Eredivisie24/08/2025
UtrechtExcelsior
41
Eredivisie27/01/2024
ExcelsiorUtrecht
11
Eredivisie12/11/2023
UtrechtExcelsior
22
Eredivisie25/01/2023
UtrechtExcelsior
10
Eredivisie02/10/2022
ExcelsiorUtrecht
01

Recent Form

ExcelsiorExcelsior
8W1D1L
08/09/2026
NEC NijmegenExcelsior
22
D
05/09/2026
Willem IIExcelsior
03
W
29/08/2026
ExcelsiorSparta Rotterdam
21
W
15/08/2026
ExcelsiorPSV Eindhoven
12
L
07/08/2026
CambuurExcelsior
04
W
01/08/2026
De GraafschapExcelsior
15
W
24/07/2026
HeraclesExcelsior
35
W
18/07/2026
NAC BredaExcelsior
13
W
11/07/2026
DordrechtExcelsior
02
W
04/07/2026
ExcelsiorCambuur
32
W
UtrechtUtrecht
0W2D8L
08/09/2026
UtrechtGO Ahead Eagles
33
D
30/08/2026
UtrechtPSV Eindhoven
16
L
22/08/2026
Sparta RotterdamUtrecht
33
D
15/08/2026
UtrechtAZ Alkmaar
14
L
09/08/2026
GroningenUtrecht
21
L
02/08/2026
UtrechtSevilla
01
L
24/07/2026
CambuurUtrecht
10
L
17/07/2026
UtrechtV-varen Nagasaki
02
L
27/06/2026
UtrechtDe Graafschap
12
L
24/05/2026
AjaxUtrecht
4030
L

Referee Profile

S. van der Eijk182 matches

3.57Cards per match
3.31Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
21.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

S. van der Eijk3.57
Other referees3.31

3.57 cards a match, 0.26 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.31).

Cards come from 175 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1282240:15+2526WWDLW
2FeyenoordFeyenoord1274136:17+1925LDDWW
3AjaxAjax1274132:15+1725DWWWD
4TwenteTwente1273230:12+1824DWWLD
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1272324:16+823WLLDL
6HeerenveenHeerenveen1263324:16+821WWWWL
7Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1255220:20020DDWDD
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1245324:27-317WLWLD
9GroningenGroningen1243529:28+115LLDLW
10CambuurCambuur1243525:27-215LWWDW
11NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1235420:21-114WLDDD
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1233621:29-812LWLWD
13PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1233613:24-1112DWDWL
14UtrechtUtrecht1233621:34-1312LLDWW
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1232716:29-1311LLLLL
16TelstarTelstar1224618:25-710DWLLD
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1223716:25-99WLLWD
18Willem IIWillem II1203911:40-293DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1240:1526
2FeyenoordFeyenoord1236:1725
3AjaxAjax1232:1525
4TwenteTwente1230:1224
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1224:1623
6HeerenveenHeerenveen1224:1621
7Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1220:2020
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1224:2717
9GroningenGroningen1229:2815
10CambuurCambuur1225:2715
11NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1220:2114
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1221:2912
13PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1213:2412
14UtrechtUtrecht1221:3412
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1216:2911
16TelstarTelstar1218:2510
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1216:259
18Willem IIWillem II1211:403
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Excelsior vs Utrecht forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Excelsior and Utrecht in the Eredivisie table

Utrecht and Excelsior are close in the Eredivisie table, 14th and 15th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Excelsior 16-29, Utrecht 21-34. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.