Excelsior vs Utrecht Prediction

Excelsior
1-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Utrecht
Stadion Woudestein, Rotterdam· S. van der Eijk 13/09/2026
ExcelsiorExcelsior
1-2
Finished
UtrechtUtrecht

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 1.5
1.78
SignalHIGHModel58%RiskMediumGap+5.0%
Excelsior Rest
4 days
Utrecht Rest
4 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%2.10
X
25%3.72
2
31%3.13
Double Chance
1X
69%1.35
X2
56%1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.50
No
46%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.68 + 1.06 = 2.74
Over 1.5
79%1.17
Over 2.5
53%1.57
Over 3.5
33%2.40
Under 1.5
21%4.80
Under 2.5
47%2.32
Under 3.5
67%1.57
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 4.2 = 10.3
Over 8.5
65%1.46
Over 9.5
56%1.80
Over 10.5
44%2.22
Under 8.5
35%2.50
Under 9.5
44%1.93
Under 10.5
56%1.57
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 1.9 = 3.4
Over 3.5
44%2.05
Over 4.5
25%3.00
Under 3.5
56%1.72
Under 4.5
75%1.36

Match Events

36'Artem Stepanov
62'Ángel Alarcón INMarius Broholm out
62'Artem Stepanov INYoann Cathline out
62'Adrian Blake INS. van Duijn out
70'David Garden INMario Domínguez Franco out
70'Kasey Bos INSimon Janssen out
70'Eric da Silva Moreira INValentin Sulzbacher out
71'Valentin SulzbacherFoul
77'Aymen slitiAssist: Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson
80'Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson INAlireza Jahanbakhsh out
81'Niklas Vesterlund INJoris van Overeem out
85'Lennard Hartjes INGiulliano Cairo out
85'Mario Domínguez FrancoFoul
90+2'Dani De Wit
90+4'Arthur Zagre INJakov Medic out

Lineups

Excelsior
4-1-4-1Coach: R. den Uil
Utrecht
3-4-3Coach: A. Correia
S. van Gassel1S. van GasselS. van Gassel
Eric Emanuel da Silva Moreira2E. Emanuel da Silva MoreiraEric Emanuel da Silva Moreira
C. Widell4C. WidellC. Widell
J. Plug14J. PlugJ. Plug
K. Bos12K. BosK. Bos
R. Meissen3R. MeissenR. Meissen
A. Sliti7A. SlitiA. Sliti
I. Yegoian8I. YegoianI. Yegoian
L. Hartjes20L. HartjesL. Hartjes
Á. Þorsteinsson30Á. ÞorsteinssonÁ. Þorsteinsson
D. Garden19D. GardenD. Garden
V. Barkas1V. BarkasV. Barkas
S. Horemans2S. HoremansS. Horemans
M. Didden3M. DiddenM. Didden
N. Panagiotou5N. PanagiotouN. Panagiotou
N. Vesterlund23N. VesterlundN. Vesterlund
D. de Wit20D. de WitD. de Wit
D. van den Berg34D. van den BergD. van den Berg
A. Zagré92A. ZagréA. Zagré
Ángel Alarcón11Á. AlarcónÁngel Alarcón
Artem Stepanov9A. StepanovArtem Stepanov
A. Blake15A. BlakeA. Blake

Excelsior Substitutes

16Celton BiaiG
24Giulliano CairoM
9Mario DomínguezF
23Y. FineyM
28N. GroenF
11A. JahanbakhshF
15S. JanssenD
21I. Silva TimasF
18V. SulzbacherM
22O. TurayD
6D. van VianenM

Utrecht Substitutes

39N. AmrabatF
10Y. CathlineF
33K. GadellaaG
32P. KloosterboerD
18J. MedićD
6G. OfferhausD
21N. Ogidi NwankwoD
22S. PadtG
17S. van DuijnF
8J. van OvereemM
80M. BroholmF

Match Stats

ExcelsiorUtrecht
56%Ball Possession44%
5Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards0
10Total Shots12
4Shots on Goal6
3Shots off Goal4
8Shots Inside Box8
2Shots Outside Box4
3Blocked Shots2
9Fouls8
1Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves3
532Total Passes436
439Passes Accurate339
8Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

ExcelsiorExcelsior
UtrechtUtrecht
1693Elo Rating 1694
1.78Attack 2.06
1.56Defense 0.00
36%Hit Rate 27%
11.5Shots per Game 11.6
4.3Shots on Target 4.1
4.6Corners per Game 3.7
1.9Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend59% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

ExcelsiorExcelsior
  • No tendency data available
UtrechtUtrecht
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Excelsior 27%Draw 36%37% Utrecht
3.69Avg Goals
59%BTTS Rate
66%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

S. van der Eijk · 88 matches analysed

3.6Avg Yellows
3.9Avg Cards
21.0Avg Fouls
Stricter than 10% of referees analysed

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar761018:6+1219WDWWW
2FeyenoordFeyenoord752025:7+1817WWWDW
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven751124:10+1416LWWWW
4TwenteTwente751115:7+816WWWDW
5AjaxAjax742121:9+1214DWWLW
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard741213:14-113WLWWL
7ExcelsiorExcelsior732215:9+611DLDWW
8GroningenGroningen732215:13+211WDDLL
9GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles724116:14+210DDDLW
10HeerenveenHeerenveen723211:9+29WDLDL
11NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen722312:13-18DLDLW
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam712410:17-75LLDLD
13TelstarTelstar71245:12-75LDLDL
14CambuurCambuur712410:19-95DWDLL
15UtrechtUtrecht712411:24-135LWDLD
16PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle71156:20-144LLDLW
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag70257:17-102DLLDL
18Willem IIWillem II70256:20-142LLDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar718:619
2FeyenoordFeyenoord725:717
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven724:1016
4TwenteTwente715:716
5AjaxAjax721:914
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard713:1413
7ExcelsiorExcelsior715:911
8GroningenGroningen715:1311
9GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles716:1410
10HeerenveenHeerenveen711:99
11NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen712:138
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam710:175
13TelstarTelstar75:125
14CambuurCambuur710:195
15UtrechtUtrecht711:245
16PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle76:204
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag77:172
18Willem IIWillem II76:202
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

Excelsior vs Utrecht Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Eredivisie fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Eredivisie

ScorePredicts covers Netherlands football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Excelsior and Utrecht have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.69 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.