Ipswich vs Bournemouth Prediction

Ipswich
1-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Bournemouth
Portman Road Stadium, Ipswich·Simon Hooper 08/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.25
SignalHIGHModel53%SurpriseMediumGap-3.9%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.62
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap+11.8%
Ipswich Rest
7 days
Bournemouth Rest
2 days

Ipswich vs Bournemouth: the result in context

Bournemouth beat Ipswich 2-1 in the Premier League on 8 Nov 2026. It was in line with recent form: Bournemouth had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Ipswich.

Bournemouth tend to win more corners, 6.3 a game to 2.3 for Ipswich.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
24%3.90
X
27%3.77
2
49%1.91
Double Chance
1X
51%1.88
X2
76%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.60
No
44%2.21
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.09 + 1.44 = 2.53
Over 1.5
75%1.20
Over 2.5
53%1.71
Over 3.5
32%2.75
Under 1.5
25%4.25
Under 2.5
47%2.15
Under 3.5
68%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.8 + 5.8 = 9.6
Over 8.5
59%1.65
Over 9.5
48%2.08
Over 10.5
37%2.64
Under 8.5
41%2.17
Under 9.5
52%1.69
Under 10.5
63%1.40
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 1.8 = 3.7
Over 3.5
50%1.50
Over 4.5
31%2.10
Under 3.5
50%2.53
Under 4.5
69%1.67

Match Events

5'Francisco Evanilson
43'Adam SmithFoul
43'Julio EncisoArgument
43'Marcus TavernierArgument
46'Leif DavisOG
54'Jaden Philogene-Bidace INJack Clarke out
54'Emersonn INZian Flemming out
65'Daizen Maeda INAbdul Fatawu Issahaku out
67'Ryan Christie INLewis Cook out
68'Justin Kluivert INEli Kroupi out
73'Jack Clarke(Penalty)
79'Adam Smith INBafode Diakite out
85'Rayan Vitor Simplício Rocha INAmine Adli out
85'Florentino Luís INChuba Akpom out
85'Francisco Evanilson INÁlvaro Rodríguez out
90+3'Antonio SilvaFoul
90+9'Zian FlemmingFoul

Lineups

Ipswich
4-2-3-1Coach: G. O'Neil
Bournemouth
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Rose
Avg rating6.34
Avg rating6.42
C. Walton5.928C. Walton
A. Ouattara6.542A. Ouattara
I. Diop6.96I. Diop
D. O'Shea6.826D. O'Shea
L. Davis5.73L. Davis
E. Palacios6.425E. Palacios
Florentino6.212Florentino
D. Maeda6.238D. Maeda
J. Enciso5.810J. Enciso
J. Philogene6.511J. Philogene
Emersonn6.119Emersonn
Đ. Petrović5.81Đ. Petrović
A. Smith6.015A. Smith
J. Hill6.25J. Hill
António Silva6.814A. Silva
A. Truffert6.73A. Truffert
T. Adams5.912T. Adams
R. Christie6.610R. Christie
Rayan6.137Rayan
J. Kluivert6.019J. Kluivert
M. Tavernier6.316M. Tavernier
Evanilson8.29Evanilson

Ipswich Substitutes

29C. Akpom85'for Florentino Luís6.3
9Z. Flemming54'for Emersonn90+9'5.8
37K. Scherpen
2D. Furlong
24J. Greaves
7A. Fatawu65'for Daizen Maeda6.7
5A. Matusiwa
23S. Lukić
47J. Clarke54'for Jaden Philogene-Bidace73'7.4

Bournemouth Substitutes

6J. Soler
18B. Diakité79'for Adam Smith6.5
4L. Cook67'for Ryan Christie6.3
8A. Scott
11B. Doak
21A. Adli85'for Rayan Vitor Simplício Rocha6.5
22E. Kroupi68'for Justin Kluivert6.4
30Á. Rodríguez85'for Francisco Evanilson6.4
20M. Di Gregorio

Match Stats

IpswichBournemouth
56%Ball Possession44%
2Corner Kicks7
2Yellow Cards3
10Total Shots15
2Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal6
4Shots Inside Box8
6Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots5
6Fouls20
2Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves1
507Total Passes397
399Passes Accurate299
20Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

IpswichIpswich
BournemouthBournemouth
1716Elo Rating 1966
1.49Attack 2.77
1.34Defense 2.73
17%Hit Rate 100%
10.9Shots per Game 16.1
3.5Shots on Target 6.6
2.3Corners per Game 6.3
2.0Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

IpswichIpswich
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
BournemouthBournemouth
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

IpswichIpswich1Wins · 50%
Draws00%
BournemouthBournemouth1Wins · 50%
3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

Premier League02/04/2025
BournemouthIpswich
12
Premier League08/12/2024
IpswichBournemouth
12

Referee Profile

Simon Hooper180 matches

3.70Cards per match
3.63Yellow cards per match
0.07Red cards per match
21.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Simon Hooper3.70
Other referees3.83

3.70 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.83).

Cards come from 179 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ArsenalArsenal1090115:5+1027WWWWW
2Manchester CityManchester City1070321:13+821LLLWW
3BrightonBrighton961224:7+1719WLWWW
4ChelseaChelsea951319:15+416WLWWL
5EvertonEverton1044212:10+216WWLLD
6LiverpoolLiverpool943211:9+215LWWLW
7BrentfordBrentford935116:9+714WDLDW
8LeedsLeeds1035210:8+214WLDDL
9BournemouthBournemouth933314:13+112WWWLL
10TottenhamTottenham1033410:11-112LWWWD
11NewcastleNewcastle1033413:16-312DLWLL
12Aston VillaAston Villa933310:13-312DWWDW
13Hull CityHull City1025311:11011LDDLD
14IpswichIpswich932414:18-411DDLWL
15FulhamFulham1024410:12-210DDWWL
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest102359:13-49WLDLL
17CoventryCoventry1030710:19-99LWLLW
18Manchester UnitedManchester United914410:15-57LLDDD
19Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace92169:21-127LLLWD
20SunderlandSunderland91267:17-105LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ArsenalArsenal1015:527
2Manchester CityManchester City1021:1321
3BrightonBrighton924:719
4ChelseaChelsea919:1516
5EvertonEverton1012:1016
6LiverpoolLiverpool911:915
7BrentfordBrentford916:914
8LeedsLeeds1010:814
9BournemouthBournemouth914:1312
10TottenhamTottenham1010:1112
11NewcastleNewcastle1013:1612
12Aston VillaAston Villa910:1312
13Hull CityHull City1011:1111
14IpswichIpswich914:1811
15FulhamFulham1010:1210
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest109:139
17CoventryCoventry1010:199
18Manchester UnitedManchester United910:157
19Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace99:217
20SunderlandSunderland97:175
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Ipswich vs Bournemouth forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ipswich and Bournemouth in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Bournemouth are 9th and Ipswich 14th, 1 point apart. League goal record so far: Ipswich 14-18, Bournemouth 14-13. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Bournemouth have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Ipswich and Bournemouth have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.