Brighton vs Brentford Prediction
England · Regular Season - 10
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
83%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.27
SignalSTRONGModel53%SurpriseMediumGap+3.9%
Brighton Rest
2 days
Brentford Rest
7 days
Brighton vs Brentford: the result in context
Brighton beat Brentford 2-0 in the Premier League on 8 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
153%1.92
X24%3.90
223%3.75
Double Chance
1X77%1.27
X247%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes59%1.53
No41%2.41
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.82 + 1.1 = 2.92
Over 1.581%1.16
Over 2.562%1.57
Over 3.540%2.39
Under 1.519%4.84
Under 2.538%2.38
Under 3.560%1.57
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 3.9 = 9.5
Over 8.558%1.35
Over 9.547%1.65
Over 10.536%2.06
Under 8.542%2.87
Under 9.553%2.15
Under 10.564%1.71
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.3 = 4.3
Over 3.562%1.81
Over 4.543%2.69
Under 3.538%1.92
Under 4.557%1.44
Match Events
5'Kristoffer AjerFoul
15'Diego Gomez
22'Chema AndrésArgument
23'Card upgrade confirmedIgor Thiago
23'Igor ThiagoViolent conduct
27'Olivier BoscagliFoul
42'Pascal Groß(Penalty)
45'Dango Ouattara INYehor Yarmoliuk out
45'Chema Andrés INMats Wieffer out
45'Aaron Hickey INNathan Collins out
51'Mats WiefferFoul
59'Keane Lewis-Potter INEl Hadji Malick Diouf out
59'Mamadou Sangare INMathias Jensen out
61'Lewis DunkFoul
69'Kevin SchadeArgument
70'Sepp van den Berg INCallum Wilson out
78'Yasin Ayari INJack Hinshelwood out
82'Maxim De Cuyper INYankuba Minteh out
82'Charalampos Kostoulas INGeorginio Rutter out
90+3'Diego Gomez INMalick Yalcouyé out
Lineups
BrightonBrentford
4-2-3-1Coach: Keith AndrewsAvg ratingAvg rating
1B. Verbruggen
20Costinha
44L. Vušković
5L. Dunk
21O. Boscagli
13P. Groß
14J. María Andrés Baixauli
25D. Gómez
26Y. Ayari
29M. De Cuyper
19C. Kostoulas
1C. Kelleher
33M. Kayode
20K. Ajer
4S. van den Berg
2A. Hickey
18M. Sangaré
27V. Janelt
11D. Ouattara
7K. Schade
23K. Lewis-Potter
9ThiagoBrighton Substitutes
11Y. Minteh82'for Maxim De Cuyper
35M. Yalcouyé90+3'for Diego Gomez
27M. Wieffer45'for Chema Andrés51'
8J. Hinshelwood78'for Yasin Ayari
30M. Svoboda
23J. Steele
3J. Hadjam
24F. Kadıoğlu
10G. Rutter82'for Charalampos Kostoulas
Brentford Substitutes
22N. Collins45'for Aaron Hickey
25E. Diouf59'for Keane Lewis-Potter
44Jannik Schuster
6Y. Yarmolyuk45'for Dango Ouattara
8M. Jensen59'for Mamadou Sangare
19J. Anthony
24M. Damsgaard
13C. Wilson70'for Sepp van den Berg
12H. Valdimarsson
Match Stats
BrightonBrentford 75%Ball Possession25%
7Corner Kicks3
4Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
20Total Shots5
6Shots on Goal0
9Shots off Goal3
13Shots Inside Box2
7Shots Outside Box3
5Blocked Shots2
11Fouls7
1Offsides3
0Goalkeeper Saves4
657Total Passes223
593Passes Accurate151
7Free Kicks11
Team Comparison
BrightonBrentford1966Elo Rating 1866
0.89Attack 1.64
2.28Defense 1.50
50%Hit Rate 27%
14.9Shots per Game 11.9
3.4Shots on Target 3.9
4.5Corners per Game 3.9
2.8Cards per Game 2.5
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+100 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.92 goals
💎Value Analysis Identified
Game State Tendencies
Brighton- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Brentford- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Brighton5Wins · 50%Draws330%
Brentford2Wins · 20%
2Wins · 20%2.5Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10
Previous meetings
21/02/2026BrentfordBrighton02
22/11/2025BrightonBrentford21
19/04/2025BrentfordBrighton42
27/12/2024BrightonBrentford00
03/04/2024BrentfordBrighton00
06/12/2023BrightonBrentford21
01/04/2023BrightonBrentford33
14/10/2022BrentfordBrighton20
26/12/2021BrightonBrentford20
11/09/2021BrentfordBrighton01
Recent Form
Brighton7W1D2L
05/11/2026
GetafeBrighton
Manchester CityBrightonManchester CityBrighton
LiverpoolBrighton
FK JablonecBrightonBrighton
Crystal PalaceBrighton
Kauno Žalgiris
SunderlandBrightonBrighton
Arsenal
Manchester UnitedBrighton
GetafeBrighton01
W31/10/2026Manchester CityBrighton01
W28/10/2026Manchester CityBrighton4232
L25/10/2026LiverpoolBrighton20
L22/10/2026FK JablonecBrighton00
D18/10/2026BrightonCrystal Palace50
W15/10/2026BrightonKauno Žalgiris40
W10/10/2026SunderlandBrighton02
W19/09/2026BrightonArsenal30
W16/09/2026Manchester UnitedBrighton23
WBrentford3W5D2L
31/10/2026Brentford
Nottingham ForestSunderlandBrentford
Hull CityBrentfordBrentfordLiverpoolBrentford
Chelsea
BournemouthBrentfordBrentfordSunderland
LeedsBrentford
BrentfordNottingham Forest20
W28/10/2026SunderlandBrentford32
L25/10/2026Hull CityBrentford11
D17/10/2026BrentfordLiverpool12
L10/10/2026
Aston VillaBrentford
18/09/2026Aston VillaBrentford22
DBrentfordChelsea30
W15/09/2026
ReadingBrentford
12/09/2026ReadingBrentford12
WBournemouthBrentford22
D05/09/2026BrentfordSunderland11
D30/08/2026LeedsBrentford11
DReferee Profile
3.93Cards per match
3.79Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
23.3Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
3.94 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.94).
Cards come from 308 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 15:5 | +10 | 27 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Brighton | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 26:7 | +19 | 22 | WWLWW |
| 3 | Manchester City | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21:13 | +8 | 21 | LLLWW |
| 4 | Liverpool | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:10 | +4 | 18 | WLWWL |
| 5 | Chelsea | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:16 | +3 | 16 | LWLWW |
| 6 |  Everton | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | +2 | 16 | WWLLD |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:14 | +2 | 15 | WWWWL |
| 8 | Brentford | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 16:11 | +5 | 14 | LWDLD |
| 9 | Leeds | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:8 | +2 | 14 | WLDDL |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14:17 | -3 | 13 | DDWWD |
| 11 |  Tottenham | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 | LWWWD |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 12 | DLWLL |
| 13 | Hull City | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 11 | LDDLD |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:20 | -5 | 11 | LDDLW |
| 15 |  Fulham | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 | DDWWL |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 9 | WLDLL |
| 17 |  Coventry | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 | LWLLW |
| 18 | Manchester United | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 14:19 | -5 | 8 | DLLDD |
| 19 | Sunderland | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 | WLDLL |
| 20 | Crystal Palace | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10:24 | -14 | 7 | LLLLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 10 | 15:5 | 27 |
| 2 | Brighton | 10 | 26:7 | 22 |
| 3 | Manchester City | 10 | 21:13 | 21 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 10 | 14:10 | 18 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 10 | 19:16 | 16 |
| 6 | Everton | 10 | 12:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 10 | 16:14 | 15 |
| 8 | Brentford | 10 | 16:11 | 14 |
| 9 | Leeds | 10 | 10:8 | 14 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 10 | 14:17 | 13 |
| 11 | Tottenham | 10 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 10 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 13 | Hull City | 10 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 14 | Ipswich | 10 | 15:20 | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham | 10 | 10:12 | 10 |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest | 10 | 9:13 | 9 |
| 17 | Coventry | 10 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 18 | Manchester United | 10 | 14:19 | 8 |
| 19 | Sunderland | 10 | 8:17 | 8 |
| 20 | Crystal Palace | 10 | 10:24 | 7 |
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About the Brighton vs Brentford forecast
The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Brighton and Brentford in the Premier League table
In the Premier League table, Brighton are 2nd and Brentford 8th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Brighton 26-7, Brentford 16-11. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.