Sunderland vs Chelsea Prediction
England · Regular Season - 10
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Sunderland vs Chelsea: the result in context
Sunderland beat Chelsea 1-0 in the Premier League on 8 Nov 2026. That went against recent form: Chelsea had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Sunderland.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Sunderland
Avg ratingAvg rating
22R. Roefs
12T. Meunier
20N. Mukiele
13L. O'Nien
17Reinildo
34G. Xhaka
27N. Sadiki
32T. Hume
28E. Le Fée
7C. Talbi
9B. Brobbey
39M. Penders
2M. Palestra
3W. Fofana
6L. Colwill
29P. Chavarría
25M. Caicedo
45R. Lavia
14J. Henderson
10C. Palmer
17M. Rogers
7P. NetoSunderland Substitutes
Chelsea Substitutes
Match Stats
SunderlandChelsea Team Comparison
SunderlandChelseaAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Sunderland- Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.2 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Chelsea- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Head to Head
Last 2 meetings, all competitions
Sunderland2Wins · 100%0Wins · 0%Previous meetings
24/05/2026SunderlandChelsea25/10/2025ChelseaSunderlandRecent Form
SunderlandSunderland
Dinamo Zagreb
CoventrySunderlandSunderland
BrentfordSunderland
Leeds
Lech PoznanSunderland
BournemouthSunderland
TorreenseSunderlandSunderland
Brighton
Manchester CitySunderlandSunderland
AZ AlkmaarChelseaReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
3.73 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.79).
Cards come from 171 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 15:5 | +10 | 27 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Brighton | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 26:7 | +19 | 22 | WWLWW |
| 3 | Manchester City | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21:13 | +8 | 21 | LLLWW |
| 4 |  Liverpool | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:10 | +4 | 18 | WLWWL |
| 5 | Chelsea | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:16 | +3 | 16 | LWLWW |
| 6 |  Everton | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | +2 | 16 | WWLLD |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:14 | +2 | 15 | WWWWL |
| 8 | Brentford | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 16:11 | +5 | 14 | LWDLD |
| 9 | Leeds | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:8 | +2 | 14 | WLDDL |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14:17 | -3 | 13 | DDWWD |
| 11 |  Tottenham | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 | LWWWD |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 12 | DLWLL |
| 13 |  Hull City | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 11 | LDDLD |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:20 | -5 | 11 | LDDLW |
| 15 |  Fulham | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 | DDWWL |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 9 | WLDLL |
| 17 | Coventry | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 | LWLLW |
| 18 |  Manchester United | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 14:19 | -5 | 8 | DLLDD |
| 19 | Sunderland | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 | WLDLL |
| 20 |  Crystal Palace | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10:24 | -14 | 7 | LLLLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 10 | 15:5 | 27 |
| 2 | Brighton | 10 | 26:7 | 22 |
| 3 | Manchester City | 10 | 21:13 | 21 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 10 | 14:10 | 18 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 10 | 19:16 | 16 |
| 6 | Everton | 10 | 12:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 10 | 16:14 | 15 |
| 8 | Brentford | 10 | 16:11 | 14 |
| 9 | Leeds | 10 | 10:8 | 14 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 10 | 14:17 | 13 |
| 11 | Tottenham | 10 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 10 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 13 | Hull City | 10 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 14 | Ipswich | 10 | 15:20 | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham | 10 | 10:12 | 10 |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest | 10 | 9:13 | 9 |
| 17 | Coventry | 10 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 18 | Manchester United | 10 | 14:19 | 8 |
| 19 | Sunderland | 10 | 8:17 | 8 |
| 20 | Crystal Palace | 10 | 10:24 | 7 |
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About the Sunderland vs Chelsea forecast
The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Sunderland and Chelsea in the Premier League table
In the Premier League table, Chelsea are 5th and Sunderland 19th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Sunderland 8-17, Chelsea 19-16. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Sunderland and Chelsea have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.