Arsenal vs Hull City Prediction

Arsenal
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Hull City
Emirates Stadium, London·Farai Hallam 07/11/2026
ArsenalArsenal
1-0
Finished
Hull CityHull City

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.50
SignalGOODModel69%SurpriseMediumGap+3.4%
Arsenal Rest
2 days
Hull City Rest
7 days

Arsenal vs Hull City: result, form and history

Arsenal beat Hull City 1-0 in the Premier League on 7 Nov 2026. It was in line with recent form: Arsenal had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Hull City.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
82%1.15
X
13%8.15
2
5%20.25
Double Chance
1X
94%1.02
X2
18%5.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%2.45
No
56%1.53
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.74 + 0.91 = 3.65
Over 1.5
83%1.14
Over 2.5
66%1.50
Over 3.5
43%2.29
Under 1.5
17%5.10
Under 2.5
34%2.60
Under 3.5
57%1.62
Corners
Projected Corners: 7.1 + 3 = 10.1
Over 8.5
65%1.36
Over 9.5
54%1.61
Over 10.5
43%2.00
Under 8.5
35%2.88
Under 9.5
46%2.17
Under 10.5
57%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.3 + 2.2 = 3.4
Over 3.5
45%2.20
Over 4.5
26%3.40
Under 3.5
55%1.62
Under 4.5
74%1.29

Match Events

34'Lewie CoyleFoul
43'Penalty cancelledKai Havertz
48'Lucas Gourna-DouathFoul
54'Sergej JakirovićDissent
60'Mohamed Ali Cho INJoe Gelhardt out
61'Lewie Coyle INBrooke Norton-Cuffy out
61'Brooke Norton-CuffyFoul
63'Declan Rice INMikel Merino out
63'Kai Havertz INViktor Gyökeres out
69'Christos Tzolis INEberechi Eze out
69'Riccardo Calafiori INPiero Hincapié out
69'Semi Ajayi INLucas Herrington out
72'Martin Odegaard
75'Elliot StroudFoul
75'Elliot Stroud INRyan Giles out
75'Tim Iroegbunam INChristos Mouzakitis out
87'Nobel MendyFoul
89'Bruno Guimarães INMartín Zubimendi out

Lineups

Arsenal
4-2-3-1Coach: Mikel Arteta
Hull City
5-3-2Coach: S. Jakirović
Avg rating7.12
Avg rating6.51
David Raya7.01D. Raya
J. Timber7.412J. Timber
E. Konsa7.815E. Konsa
Gabriel Magalhães7.36G. Magalhães
R. Calafiori7.533R. Calafiori
Bruno Guimarães7.139B. Guimarães
D. Rice6.541D. Rice
N. Madueke7.220N. Madueke
M. Ødegaard8.28M. Ødegaard
C. Tzolis6.917C. Tzolis
K. Havertz6.429K. Havertz
K. Tzolakis8.219K. Tzolakis
L. Coyle6.12L. Coyle
S. Ajayi7.46S. Ajayi
J. Egan6.815J. Egan
N. Mendy6.332N. Mendy
E. Stroud6.221E. Stroud
T. Iroegbunam6.442T. Iroegbunam
L. Gourna-Douath6.329L. Gourna-Douath
R. Slater6.327R. Slater
M. Cho6.150M. Cho
O. McBurnie6.59O. McBurnie

Arsenal Substitutes

36Martín Zubimendi89'for Bruno Guimarães6.8
23Mikel Merino63'for Declan Rice7.2
14V. Gyökeres63'for Kai Havertz6.6
10E. Eze69'for Christos Tzolis6.9
13Kepa
4B. White
3Cristhian Mosquera
5P. Hincapié69'for Riccardo Calafiori7.1
49M. Lewis-Skelly

Hull City Substitutes

3R. Giles75'for Elliot Stroud6.5
22L. Herrington69'for Semi Ajayi6.7
7S. Thomas
11J. Gelhardt60'for Mohamed Ali Cho6.3
14J. Hjertø-Dahl
18B. Norton-Cuffy61'for Lewie Coyle61'6.0
36C. Mouzakitis75'for Tim Iroegbunam6.4
1J. Butland
47R. Vaz

Match Stats

ArsenalHull City
67%Ball Possession33%
7Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards5
21Total Shots7
10Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal3
14Shots Inside Box6
7Shots Outside Box1
6Blocked Shots2
6Fouls15
4Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves9
590Total Passes279
508Passes Accurate196
15Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

ArsenalArsenal
Hull CityHull City
2057Elo Rating 1700
1.58Attack 1.24
2.25Defense 1.42
66%Hit Rate 0%
15.9Shots per Game 10.7
4.8Shots on Target 2.7
5.1Corners per Game 5.3
2.1Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+357 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.64 goals
📈BTTS Trend
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

ArsenalArsenal
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.5 in second half)
Hull CityHull City
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.2 in first half)

Referee Profile

Farai Hallam133 matches

3.55Cards per match
3.53Yellow cards per match
0.01Red cards per match
23.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Farai Hallam3.55
Other referees3.97

3.55 cards a match, 0.42 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.97).

Cards come from 75 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ArsenalArsenal1090115:5+1027WWWWW
2BrightonBrighton1071226:7+1922WWLWW
3Manchester CityManchester City1070321:13+821LLLWW
4LiverpoolLiverpool1053214:10+418WLWWL
5ChelseaChelsea1051419:16+316LWLWW
6EvertonEverton1044212:10+216WWLLD
7BournemouthBournemouth1043316:14+215WWWWL
8BrentfordBrentford1035216:11+514LWDLD
9LeedsLeeds1035210:8+214WLDDL
10Aston VillaAston Villa1034314:17-313DDWWD
11TottenhamTottenham1033410:11-112LWWWD
12NewcastleNewcastle1033413:16-312DLWLL
13Hull CityHull City1025311:11011LDDLD
14IpswichIpswich1032515:20-511LDDLW
15FulhamFulham1024410:12-210DDWWL
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest102359:13-49WLDLL
17CoventryCoventry1030710:19-99LWLLW
18Manchester UnitedManchester United1015414:19-58DLLDD
19SunderlandSunderland102268:17-98WLDLL
20Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace1021710:24-147LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1ArsenalArsenal1015:527
2BrightonBrighton1026:722
3Manchester CityManchester City1021:1321
4LiverpoolLiverpool1014:1018
5ChelseaChelsea1019:1616
6EvertonEverton1012:1016
7BournemouthBournemouth1016:1415
8BrentfordBrentford1016:1114
9LeedsLeeds1010:814
10Aston VillaAston Villa1014:1713
11TottenhamTottenham1010:1112
12NewcastleNewcastle1013:1612
13Hull CityHull City1011:1111
14IpswichIpswich1015:2011
15FulhamFulham1010:1210
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest109:139
17CoventryCoventry1010:199
18Manchester UnitedManchester United1014:198
19SunderlandSunderland108:178
20Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace1010:247
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Arsenal vs Hull City forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Arsenal and Hull City in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Arsenal are 1st and Hull City 13th, 16 points apart. League goal record so far: Arsenal 15-5, Hull City 11-11. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Arsenal have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Arsenal and Hull City have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.