Liechtenstein vs Azerbaijan Prediction

Liechtenstein
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Azerbaijan
Rheinpark Stadion, Vaduz·Kristo Tohver 13/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.19
SignalSTRONGModel84%SurpriseHighGap-4.4%
Liechtenstein Rest
39 days
Azerbaijan Rest
40 days

Liechtenstein vs Azerbaijan: the result in context

Azerbaijan beat Liechtenstein 1-0 in the UEFA Nations League on 13 Nov 2026. It was in line with recent form: Azerbaijan had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Liechtenstein.

Referee Kristo Tohver averages 5.63 cards a game, 1.21 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
5%18.52
X
16%6.03
2
79%1.19
Double Chance
1X
21%4.52
X2
95%1.01
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%3.75
No
69%1.23
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.56 + 1.63 = 2.19
Over 1.5
71%1.36
Over 2.5
45%2.12
Over 3.5
25%3.73
Under 1.5
29%3.00
Under 2.5
55%1.69
Under 3.5
75%1.24
Corners
Projected Corners: 1.4 + 6.5 = 7.9
Over 8.5
40%1.83
Over 9.5
28%2.32
Over 10.5
18%2.95
Under 8.5
60%1.91
Under 9.5
72%1.52
Under 10.5
82%1.30
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.2 = 4.5
Over 3.5
65%-
Over 4.5
46%1.72
Under 3.5
35%-
Under 4.5
54%2.00

Match Events

26'Mahir Emreli
43'Emanuel ZündFoul
47'Marcel BüchelFoul
62'Fabio Luque Notaro INBruno Poitner out
62'Oruc Məmmədov INRufat Abdullazada out
73'Alessandro Lo Russo INLiam Kranz out
74'Alessio Hasler INF. Saglam out
88'S. Schlegel INAndreas Malin out
88'Marcel Büchel INAndrin·Netzer out
89'Tural Bayramov INK. Aliyev out
90+2'Emil BalayevTime wasting
90+5'Rufat Abbasov INTellur Mutallimov out

Lineups

Liechtenstein
3-5-2Coach: K. Fünfstück
Azerbaijan
5-4-1Coach: Aykhan Abbasov
Avg rating6.48
Avg rating7.06
B. Büchel8.81B. Büchel
L. Meier5.914L. Meier
J. Hofer6.923J. Hofer
S. Schlegel6.55S. Schlegel
E. Zünd5.719E. Zünd
A. Sele6.38A. Sele
M. Buchel6.110M. Buchel
A. Hasler6.520A. Hasler
M. Goppel6.03M. Goppel
Fabio Luque Notaro6.37F. Luque Notaro
1111A. Lo Russo
E. Balayev6.61E. Balayev
Q. Alıyev7.421Q. Alıyev
R. Məmmədov7.94R. Məmmədov
B. Hüseynov7.215B. Hüseynov
R. Daşdəmirov7.42R. Daşdəmirov
R. Abbasov6.73R. Abbasov
T. Bayramov7.07T. Bayramov
A. Xaybulayev6.46A. Xaybulayev
A. Isaev7.220A. Isaev
1818O. Məmmədov
M. Emreli8.210M. Emreli

Liechtenstein Substitutes

2N. Beck
17L. Kranz73'replaced by Alessandro Lo Russo6.7
6A. Malin88'for S. Schlegel6.6
18Manuel Mikus
15A. Netzer88'for Marcel Büchel6.7
12J. Ospelt
4Philipp Ospelt
16Bruno Poitner62'replaced by Fabio Luque Notaro
9F. Saglam74'replaced by Alessio Hasler
21T. Öehri
22Florian Allgäuer
13Yonas Abidi

Azerbaijan Substitutes

17T. Mütəllimov90+5'for Rufat Abbasov
9M. Qurbanlı
16E. Mustafaev
8E. Mahmudov
12Ş. Məhəmmədəliyev
23A. Bayramov
14E. Bədəlov
22A. Salyanskiy
11K. Aliyev89'replaced by Tural Bayramov
13E. Ahmadov
19R. Abdullazadə62'for Oruc Məmmədov6.6

Match Stats

LiechtensteinAzerbaijan
35%Ball Possession65%
1Corner Kicks9
2Yellow Cards1
5Total Shots29
0Shots on Goal11
4Shots off Goal12
4Shots Inside Box14
1Shots Outside Box15
1Blocked Shots6
9Fouls7
3Offsides1
10Goalkeeper Saves0
335Total Passes626
255Passes Accurate553
6Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

LiechtensteinLiechtenstein
AzerbaijanAzerbaijan
1085Elo Rating 1332
0.00Attack 0.63
0.45Defense 2.03
0%Hit Rate 27%
3.3Shots per Game 12.3
0.5Shots on Target 4.1
0.5Corners per Game 3.6
1.8Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

LiechtensteinLiechtenstein
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
AzerbaijanAzerbaijan
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

LiechtensteinLiechtenstein0Wins · 0%
Draws1100%
AzerbaijanAzerbaijan0Wins · 0%
0.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Recent Form

LiechtensteinLiechtenstein
0W1D9L
05/10/2026
LiechtensteinGibraltar
02
L
01/10/2026
AzerbaijanLiechtenstein
00
D
27/09/2026
MaltaLiechtenstein
20
L
24/09/2026
LiechtensteinLithuania
02
L
07/06/2026
LiechtensteinCyprus
02
L
04/06/2026
AndorraLiechtenstein
20
L
18/11/2025
BelgiumLiechtenstein
70
L
15/11/2025
LiechtensteinWales
01
L
10/10/2025
KazakhstanLiechtenstein
40
L
07/09/2025
FYR MacedoniaLiechtenstein
50
L
AzerbaijanAzerbaijan
3W2D5L
04/10/2026
AzerbaijanLithuania
10
W
01/10/2026
AzerbaijanLiechtenstein
00
D
27/09/2026
LithuaniaAzerbaijan
11
D
23/09/2026
AzerbaijanTajikistan
10
W
09/06/2026
AzerbaijanSan Marino
21
W
05/06/2026
AzerbaijanMalta
02
L
16/11/2025
AzerbaijanFrance
13
L
13/11/2025
AzerbaijanIceland
02
L
13/10/2025
UkraineAzerbaijan
21
L
10/10/2025
FranceAzerbaijan
30
L

Referee Profile

Kristo Tohver179 matches

5.63Cards per match
5.35Yellow cards per match
0.28Red cards per match
21.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Kristo Tohver5.63
Other referees4.42

5.63 cards a match, 1.21 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.42).

Cards come from 46 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Nations League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AzerbaijanAzerbaijan31202:1+15WDD
2LithuaniaLithuania31113:2+14LDW
3LiechtensteinLiechtenstein20110:2-21DL
#TeamMPGPts
1AzerbaijanAzerbaijan32:15
2LithuaniaLithuania33:24
3LiechtensteinLiechtenstein20:21
Promotion

About the Liechtenstein vs Azerbaijan forecast

This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

About UEFA Nations League

More UEFA Nations League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Nations League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Liechtenstein and Azerbaijan have met only 1 time recently, with 0.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.