Netherlands vs Greece Prediction

Netherlands
7-0
Finished
HT 5-0
Greece
Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam·Rohit Saggi 13/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.17
SignalSTRONGModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-3.5%
Netherlands Rest
40 days
Greece Rest
40 days

Netherlands vs Greece: the result in context

Netherlands beat Greece 7-0 in the UEFA Nations League on 13 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 3 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 1 of them. Netherlands tend to win more corners, 6.9 a game to 4.1 for Greece.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
61%1.58
X
19%4.50
2
20%5.22
Double Chance
1X
80%1.17
X2
39%2.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.61
No
45%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.04 + 0.6 = 2.64
Over 1.5
79%1.16
Over 2.5
57%1.55
Over 3.5
37%2.42
Under 1.5
21%4.71
Under 2.5
43%2.42
Under 3.5
63%1.57
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 3.2 = 9
Over 8.5
54%1.62
Over 9.5
41%2.01
Over 10.5
29%2.63
Under 8.5
46%2.21
Under 9.5
59%1.74
Under 10.5
71%1.42
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 1.7 = 3.1
Over 3.5
38%1.44
Over 4.5
21%2.00
Under 3.5
62%2.69
Under 4.5
79%1.77

Match Events

6'Crysencio Summerville
12'Tijjani ReijndersAssist: Joey Veerman
18'Tijjani ReijndersAssist: Donyell Malen
25'Goal cancelledFotis Ioannidis
33'Tijjani ReijndersAssist: Denzel Dumfries
40'Jurriën TimberAssist: Donyell Malen
45'Frenkie de Jong INTeun Koopmeiners out
59'Jurriën Timber
61'Donyell MalenAssist: Denzel Dumfries
62'Cody Gakpo INRuben van Bommel out
63'Tijjani Reijnders INGjivai Zechiel out
64'Fotis Ioannidis INAnastasios Douvikas out
64'Vangelis Pavlidis INAnastasios Bakasetas out
67'Konstantinos Karetsas INGeorgios Masouras out
73'Christos Tzolis INGeorgios Vagiannidis out
73'Nectarios Triantis INIlias Koutsoupias out
74'Jurriën Timber INIan Maatsen out
75'Crysencio Summerville INNoa Lang out

Lineups

Netherlands
4-3-3Coach: Xavi
Greece
4-4-2Coach: I. Jovanović
Avg rating7.43
Avg rating6.05
B. Verbruggen6.61B. Verbruggen
D. Dumfries8.022D. Dumfries
J. van Hecke7.26J. van Hecke
M. van de Ven6.815M. van de Ven
J. Timber8.612J. Timber
J. Veerman7.78J. Veerman
T. Reijnders9.714T. Reijnders
F. de Jong7.221F. de Jong
C. Summerville8.210C. Summerville
D. Malen9.818D. Malen
C. Gakpo6.111C. Gakpo
K. Tzolakis6.612K. Tzolakis
L. Rota5.515L. Rota
K. Mavropanos5.74K. Mavropanos
P. Retsos5.75P. Retsos
K. Tsimikas5.921K. Tsimikas
K. Karetsas6.019K. Karetsas
N. Triantis6.523N. Triantis
T. Androutsos6.516T. Androutsos
C. Tzolis5.810C. Tzolis
V. Pavlidis6.314V. Pavlidis
F. Ioannidis6.28F. Ioannidis

Netherlands Substitutes

7J. Kluivert
2L. Geertruida
20T. Koopmeiners45'for Frenkie de Jong6.4
17N. Lang75'for Crysencio Summerville6.7
3I. Maatsen74'for Jurriën Timber6.6
9M. Meerdink
13R. Roefs
16G. Til
5Q. Timber
4G. Zechiël63'for Tijjani Reijnders6.4
19R. van Bommel62'for Cody Gakpo6.8
23M. Flekken

Greece Substitutes

17P. Hatzidiakos
3K. Koulierakis
13C. Mandas
7G. Masouras67'for Konstantinos Karetsas6.3
18A. Tetteh
2G. Vagiannidis73'for Christos Tzolis5.6
1O. Vlachodimos
11A. Bakasetas64'for Vangelis Pavlidis5.9
9T. Douvikas64'for Fotis Ioannidis6.4
20I. Koutsoupias73'for Nectarios Triantis5.8
22D. Giannoulis

Match Stats

NetherlandsGreece
53%Ball Possession47%
5Corner Kicks4
17Total Shots9
13Shots on Goal1
2Shots off Goal4
15Shots Inside Box7
2Shots Outside Box2
2Blocked Shots4
5Fouls9
2Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves6
541Total Passes479
488Passes Accurate418
7Free Kicks5

Team Comparison

NetherlandsNetherlands
GreeceGreece
1820Elo Rating 1652
1.69Attack 0.98
1.77Defense 2.38
46%Hit Rate 36%
19.6Shots per Game 10.9
6.5Shots on Target 3.6
6.9Corners per Game 4.1
1.0Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+169 Elo

Game State Tendencies

NetherlandsNetherlands
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
GreeceGreece
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

NetherlandsNetherlands2Wins · 67%
Draws133%
GreeceGreece0Wins · 0%
2.7Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored1 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3

Previous meetings

UEFA Nations League01/10/2026
GreeceNetherlands
22
Euro Championship - Qualification16/10/2023
GreeceNetherlands
01
Euro Championship - Qualification07/09/2023
NetherlandsGreece
30

Recent Form

NetherlandsNetherlands
5W3D2L
04/10/2026
NetherlandsSerbia
21
W
01/10/2026
GreeceNetherlands
22
D
27/09/2026
SerbiaNetherlands
12
W
24/09/2026
NetherlandsGermany
11
D
30/06/2026
NetherlandsMorocco
2131
L
26/06/2026
TunisiaNetherlands
13
W
20/06/2026
NetherlandsSweden
51
W
14/06/2026
NetherlandsJapan
22
D
08/06/2026
NetherlandsUzbekistan
21
W
03/06/2026
NetherlandsAlgeria
01
L
GreeceGreece
3W4D3L
04/10/2026
GreeceGermany
00
D
01/10/2026
GreeceNetherlands
22
D
27/09/2026
GermanyGreece
01
W
24/09/2026
SerbiaGreece
12
W
07/06/2026
GreeceItaly
01
L
04/06/2026
SwedenGreece
22
D
18/11/2025
BelarusGreece
00
D
15/11/2025
GreeceScotland
32
W
12/10/2025
DenmarkGreece
31
L
09/10/2025
ScotlandGreece
31
L

Referee Profile

Rohit Saggi169 matches

3.97Cards per match
3.75Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
23.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Rohit Saggi3.97
Other referees3.50

3.97 cards a match, 0.47 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.50).

Cards come from 144 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Nations League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NetherlandsNetherlands42207:5+28WDWD
2GreeceGreece42205:3+28DDWW
3GermanyGermany41213:2+15DWLD
4SerbiaSerbia40043:8-50LLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NetherlandsNetherlands47:58
2GreeceGreece45:38
3GermanyGermany43:25
4SerbiaSerbia43:80
Relegation

About the Netherlands vs Greece forecast

This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Netherlands and Greece in the UEFA Nations League table

In the UEFA Nations League table, Netherlands (1st) and Greece (2nd) are level on 8 points. League goal record so far: Netherlands 7-5, Greece 5-3. The full standings are on the UEFA Nations League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.