Serbia vs Germany Prediction

Serbia
1-3
Finished
HT 0-2
Germany
Rajko Mitić Stadion, Belgrade·Javier Alberola Rojas 13/11/2026
SerbiaSerbia
1-3
Finished
GermanyGermany

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.25
SignalGOODModel70%SurpriseMediumGap-9.1%
Serbia Rest
40 days
Germany Rest
40 days

Serbia vs Germany: result, form and history

Germany beat Serbia 3-1 in the UEFA Nations League on 13 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Javier Alberola Rojas averages 3.69 cards a game, 1.21 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
12%10.39
X
18%6.50
2
70%1.25
Double Chance
1X
30%3.89
X2
88%1.06
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.80
No
49%1.92
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.92 + 1.49 = 2.41
Over 1.5
82%1.10
Over 2.5
61%1.42
Over 3.5
40%2.10
Under 1.5
18%5.85
Under 2.5
39%2.77
Under 3.5
60%1.75
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.4 + 5 = 9.3
Over 8.5
58%1.61
Over 9.5
45%2.00
Over 10.5
33%2.49
Under 8.5
42%2.22
Under 9.5
55%1.76
Under 10.5
67%1.45
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 1.4 = 3.6
Over 3.5
47%1.89
Over 4.5
28%3.10
Under 3.5
53%1.85
Under 4.5
72%1.34

Match Events

3'Srdjan BabicOG
14'Florian Wirtz
41'Brajan GrudaFoul
45'Lazar Samardzic INAndrija Živković out
45'Stefan Džodić INVanja Dragojević out
50'Brajan GrudaAssist: Joshua Kimmich
56'Srdjan Babic
62'Srdjan BabicFoul
64'Dušan Tadić INVladimir Lucic out
71'Mihajlo Cvetkovic INAleksandar Mitrović out
73'Philipp Treu INRidle Baku out
74'Aleksandar Pavlović INTom Bischof out
74'Kai Havertz INNiclas Füllkrug out
75'Card upgrade confirmedVanja Dragojević
76'Vanja DragojevićSerious foul
81'Florian Wirtz INFelix Nmecha out
86'Brajan Gruda INSaid El Mala out
86'Sergej Milinković-Savić INVasilije Kostov out
87'Petar SukacevFoul
89'Andrija ŽivkovićDissent
89'Andrija ŽivkovićAbusive Language

Lineups

Serbia
5-3-2Coach: V. Paunovic
Germany
4-2-3-1Coach: J. Klopp
Avg rating5.86
Avg rating6.90
V. Milinković-Savić6.423V. Milinković-Savić
K. Nedeljković6.22K. Nedeljković
N. Milenković5.64N. Milenković
S. Babić5.515S. Babić
S. Gudelj6.16S. Gudelj
P. Sukacev5.721P. Sukacev
L. Samardžić5.911L. Samardžić
S. Džodić6.017S. Džodić
S. Milinković-Savić5.220S. Milinković-Savić
M. Cvetković6.07M. Cvetković
D. Tadić6.710D. Tadić
M. ter Stegen6.81M. ter Stegen
P. Treu6.313P. Treu
M. Thiaw7.02M. Thiaw
J. Tah6.84J. Tah
M. Mittelstädt7.518M. Mittelstädt
J. Kimmich7.76J. Kimmich
A. Pavlović7.25A. Pavlović
B. Gruda8.210B. Gruda
F. Wirtz8.217F. Wirtz
D. Scherhant6.419D. Scherhant
K. Havertz6.27K. Havertz

Serbia Substitutes

14A. Živković45'for Lazar Samardzic89'89'5.7
13N. Simić
12D. Rosić
1Đ. Petrović
9A. Mitrović71'for Mihajlo Cvetkovic6.2
19V. Lučić64'for Dušan Tadić5.8
18M. Krpić
22V. Kostov86'for Sergej Milinković-Savić5.8
8L. Jović
16S. Eraković
5V. Dragojević45'for Stefan Džodić76'5.1
3S. Bukinac

Germany Substitutes

11N. Brown
14T. Bischof74'for Aleksandar Pavlović6.3
12J. Urbig
23Y. Ebnoutalib
20S. El Mala86'for Brajan Gruda6.0
9N. Füllkrug74'for Kai Havertz6.6
16Finn Jeltsch
22L. Karl
8F. Nmecha81'for Florian Wirtz6.4
21A. Nübel
15N. Schlotterbeck
3R. Baku73'for Philipp Treu6.7

Match Stats

SerbiaGermany
20%Ball Possession80%
0Corner Kicks6
3Yellow Cards1
2Red Cards0
5Total Shots22
3Shots on Goal6
1Shots off Goal10
5Shots Inside Box15
0Shots Outside Box7
1Blocked Shots6
15Fouls11
1Offsides3
3Goalkeeper Saves2
217Total Passes841
144Passes Accurate785
11Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

SerbiaSerbia
GermanyGermany
1599Elo Rating 1760
0.91Attack 0.76
1.14Defense 2.50
14%Hit Rate 23%
10.3Shots per Game 19.7
4.1Shots on Target 4.8
4.1Corners per Game 6.7
2.1Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

SerbiaSerbia
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
GermanyGermany
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

SerbiaSerbia1Wins · 50%
Draws00%
GermanyGermany1Wins · 50%
1.5Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 2
0%3+ goals0 of 2

Previous meetings

UEFA Nations League01/10/2026
GermanySerbia
20
World Cup18/06/2010
GermanySerbia
01

Recent Form

SerbiaSerbia
2W0D8L
04/10/2026
NetherlandsSerbia
21
L
01/10/2026
GermanySerbia
20
L
27/09/2026
SerbiaNetherlands
12
L
24/09/2026
SerbiaGreece
12
L
05/06/2026
MexicoSerbia
51
L
31/05/2026
Cape Verde IslandsSerbia
30
L
16/11/2025
SerbiaLatvia
21
W
13/11/2025
EnglandSerbia
20
L
14/10/2025
AndorraSerbia
13
W
11/10/2025
SerbiaAlbania
01
L

Referee Profile

Javier Alberola Rojas154 matches

3.69Cards per match
3.52Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
26.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Javier Alberola Rojas3.69
Other referees4.90

3.69 cards a match, 1.21 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.90).

Cards come from 149 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Nations League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NetherlandsNetherlands42207:5+28WDWD
2GreeceGreece42205:3+28DDWW
3GermanyGermany41213:2+15DWLD
4SerbiaSerbia40043:8-50LLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NetherlandsNetherlands47:58
2GreeceGreece45:38
3GermanyGermany43:25
4SerbiaSerbia43:80
Relegation

About the Serbia vs Germany forecast

This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Serbia and Germany in the UEFA Nations League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Germany are 3rd in the UEFA Nations League, 5 points ahead of Serbia in 4th. League goal record so far: Serbia 3-8, Germany 3-2. The full standings are on the UEFA Nations League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Serbia and Germany have met only 2 times recently, averaging 1.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.