Lincoln vs Swansea Prediction

Lincoln
1-2
Finished
HT 1-0
Swansea
Sincil Bank, Lincoln·Anthony Backhouse 19/09/2026
LincolnLincoln
1-2
Finished
SwanseaSwansea

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.62
SignalGOODModel69%SurpriseMediumGap+8.4%
Lincoln Rest
3 days
Swansea Rest
7 days

Lincoln vs Swansea: result, form and history

Swansea beat Lincoln 2-1 in the Championship on 19 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.94
X
30%3.20
2
30%2.38
Double Chance
1X
70%1.53
X2
60%1.37
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.78
No
44%1.92
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.47 + 1.13 = 2.60
Over 1.5
75%1.33
Over 2.5
53%2.04
Over 3.5
29%3.42
Under 1.5
25%3.30
Under 2.5
47%1.75
Under 3.5
71%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.7 = 9.8
Over 8.5
63%1.46
Over 9.5
54%1.79
Over 10.5
41%2.26
Under 8.5
37%2.51
Under 9.5
46%2.02
Under 10.5
59%1.59
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 1.9 = 3.7
Over 3.5
51%1.57
Over 4.5
31%2.20
Under 3.5
49%2.32
Under 4.5
69%1.62

Match Events

6'Ben HouseFoul
25'Ryley TowlerFoul
39'Reeco Hackett-Fairchild(Penalty)
47'Moussa Kounfolo YeoAssist: melker widell
51'Stephen EustáquioAssist: Filip Lissah
60'Moussa Kounfolo Yeo INRonald Pereira Martins out
60'Elijah Just INJoseph Amankwaah Opoku out
60'Adam Idah INZan Vipotnik out
64'Ben House INMikkel Ladefoged out
64'Conor McGrandles INYunus Konak out
64'Adam Reach INChiedozie Ogbene out
77'Stephen Eustáquio INGoncalo Franco out
77'Ryley Towler INRobert Nicholas Street out
82'Stephen Welsh INJenson Seelt out
84'C. CohenDissent
90'Filip LissahFoul

Lineups

Lincoln
3-4-2-1Coach: Chris Cohen
Swansea
4-3-3Coach: Vítor Matos
Avg rating6.27
Avg rating6.72
G. Wickens5.91G. Wickens
D. Elerewe6.325D. Elerewe
S. Bradley6.115S. Bradley
R. Towler5.46R. Towler
A. Coubiș6.44A. Coubiș
T. Bayliss6.48T. Bayliss
C. McGrandles6.214C. McGrandles
A. Reach6.13A. Reach
R. Hackett6.97R. Hackett
B. House5.918B. House
F. Draper6.534F. Draper
L. Vigouroux7.322L. Vigouroux
F. Lissah6.126F. Lissah
B. Cabango6.95B. Cabango
S. Welsh6.423S. Welsh
J. Tymon6.114J. Tymon
E. Just6.58E. Just
M. Stamenić6.76M. Stamenić
S. Eustáquio8.046S. Eustáquio
M. Yeo7.849M. Yeo
A. Idah6.233A. Idah
M. Widell7.17M. Widell

Lincoln Substitutes

29E. Wheatley
24I. Varfolomeev
17R. Street77'for Ryley Towler6.3
33D. Oyegoke
27C. Ogbene64'for Adam Reach6.6
11M. Ladefoged64'for Ben House6.8
26Y. Konak64'for Conor McGrandles6.5
16D. Jefferies
46J. Gauci

Swansea Substitutes

9Z. Vipotnik60'for Adam Idah6.6
3J. Seelt82'for Stephen Welsh6.3
35Ronald60'for Moussa Kounfolo Yeo6.7
20Tiago Parente
30Joseph Okopu60'for Elijah Just6.6
16Tom Iorpenda
4J. Fulton
17Gonçalo Franco77'for Stephen Eustáquio6.3
1A. Fisher

Match Stats

LincolnSwansea
58%Ball Possession42%
2Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards1
13Total Shots10
4Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal2
7Shots Inside Box3
6Shots Outside Box7
4Blocked Shots4
12Fouls11
4Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves3
243Total Passes568
146Passes Accurate463
11Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

LincolnLincoln
SwanseaSwansea
1657Elo Rating 1671
1.34Attack 1.33
0.67Defense 1.05
19%Hit Rate 37%
12.3Shots per Game 12.4
3.5Shots on Target 3.7
3.4Corners per Game 4.3
2.5Cards per Game 0.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

LincolnLincoln
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
SwanseaSwansea
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Recent Form

SwanseaSwansea
5W2D3L
12/09/2026
SwanseaBurnley
31
W
08/09/2026
SouthamptonSwansea
31
L
05/09/2026
SwanseaWrexham
00
D
01/09/2026
SwanseaWatford
20
W
29/08/2026
DerbySwansea
03
W
22/08/2026
SwanseaSheffield Utd
00
D
15/08/2026
Stoke CitySwansea
12
W
08/08/2026
SwanseaBirmingham
01
L
01/08/2026
SwanseaLeganes
10
W
28/07/2026
Merthyr TownSwansea
30
L

Referee Profile

Anthony Backhouse188 matches

3.89Cards per match
3.81Yellow cards per match
0.08Red cards per match
21.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Anthony Backhouse3.89
Other referees3.70

3.89 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.70).

Cards come from 180 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BirminghamBirmingham1585228:14+1429WWWLW
2MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1585230:19+1129DLWWD
3Stoke CityStoke City1592424:18+629WWWDW
4WolvesWolves1584326:18+828DWWWD
5West BromWest Brom1584323:15+828WDWDW
6SwanseaSwansea1582522:18+426LLWLL
7SouthamptonSouthampton1584329:15+1424LDWWD
8QPRQPR1566324:18+624WDLWL
9West HamWest Ham1565437:23+1423LDLLW
10Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1564521:19+222LWWDW
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1564520:18+222LWDWD
12NorwichNorwich1570832:24+821WWWWL
13BlackburnBlackburn1563622:23-121WLLWL
14CardiffCardiff1546527:27018WDLWD
15WrexhamWrexham1546518:20-218DWLLW
16MillwallMillwall1553723:27-418LLWLD
17Bristol CityBristol City1553716:24-818LLWDL
18BoltonBolton1552820:29-917LWLLD
19CharltonCharlton1545613:23-1017WLLLL
20WatfordWatford1543813:23-1015DWLLW
21LincolnLincoln1543815:26-1115LLLWD
22BurnleyBurnley1517722:31-910LDDLL
23DerbyDerby1524914:30-1610WLLDL
24PrestonPreston15221113:30-178WLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1BirminghamBirmingham1528:1429
2MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1530:1929
3Stoke CityStoke City1524:1829
4WolvesWolves1526:1828
5West BromWest Brom1523:1528
6SwanseaSwansea1522:1826
7SouthamptonSouthampton1529:1524
8QPRQPR1524:1824
9West HamWest Ham1537:2323
10Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1521:1922
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1520:1822
12NorwichNorwich1532:2421
13BlackburnBlackburn1522:2321
14CardiffCardiff1527:2718
15WrexhamWrexham1518:2018
16MillwallMillwall1523:2718
17Bristol CityBristol City1516:2418
18BoltonBolton1520:2917
19CharltonCharlton1513:2317
20WatfordWatford1513:2315
21LincolnLincoln1515:2615
22BurnleyBurnley1522:3110
23DerbyDerby1514:3010
24PrestonPreston1513:308
PromotionRelegation

About the Lincoln vs Swansea forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Lincoln and Swansea in the Championship table

In the Championship table, Swansea are 6th and Lincoln 21st, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Lincoln 15-26, Swansea 22-18. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Lincoln and Swansea have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.