Swansea vs Birmingham Prediction

Swansea
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Birmingham
Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea· Ruebyn Ricardo, England 08/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.36
SignalSOLIDModel49%RiskMediumGap+1.0%
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.36
SignalGOODModel36%RiskHighGap+7.0%
Swansea Rest
7 days
Birmingham Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
26%2.92
X
27%3.40
2
47%2.30
Double Chance
1X
52%1.57
X2
74%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%1.66
No
54%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.21 + 1.52 = 2.73
Over 1.5
82%1.25
Over 2.5
47%1.83
Over 3.5
30%3.00
Under 1.5
18%3.60
Under 2.5
53%1.92
Under 3.5
70%1.33
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

21'Melker WidellFoul
44'August PriskeAssist: Carlos Vicente
46'Alex Cochrane INLee Buchanan out
62'Cameron BurgessFoul
63'Melker Widell INJay Fulton out
63'Adam Idah INŽan Vipotnik out
63'Moussa Kounfolo Yeo INLeo Walta out
65'Filip Lissah INJosh Key out
65'Seung Ho Paik INDemarai Gray out
72'August Priske INLuis Vázquez out
72'Jay Stansfield INEthan Laird out
82'Marko Stamenić INJi-sung Eom out
90'Carlos Vicente INScott Wright out

Lineups

Swansea
Coach: Vitor Emanuel Soares Matos
Birmingham
Coach: Chris Davies

Swansea Starting XI

22Lawrence VigourouxG
26Filip LissahD
5Ben CabangoD
15Cameron BurgessD
14Josh TymonD
7Melker WidellM
6Marko StamenićM
8Elijah JustM
49Moussa Kounfolo YeoF
33Adam IdahF
30Joseph OpokuF

Birmingham Starting XI

1James BeadleG
26Bright Osayi-SamuelD
5Phil NeumannD
4Christoph KlarerD
20Alex CochraneD
7Carlos VicenteM
24Tomoki IwataM
14Jhon SolísM
28Jay StansfieldM
8Seung Ho PaikF
9August PriskeF

Swansea Substitutes

21Leo WaltaM
4Jay FultonM
9Žan VipotnikF
2Josh KeyD
10Ji-sung EomF
1Andrew FisherG
23Stephen WelshD
20Tiago ParenteD
35RonaldF

Birmingham Substitutes

3Lee BuchananD
10Demarai GrayF
2Ethan LairdD
32Luis VázquezF
11Scott WrightF
21Ryan AllsopG
23Dael FryD
25Kristoffer LundD
16Patrick RobertsM

Match Stats

SwanseaBirmingham
61%Ball Possession39%
6Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards0
14Total Shots6
2Shots on Goal1
9Shots off Goal4
10Shots Inside Box3
4Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots1
12Fouls18
1Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves2
467Total Passes296
351Passes Accurate192
75%Pass Accuracy65%

Team Comparison

SwanseaSwansea
BirminghamBirmingham
1670Elo Rating 1661
1.79Attack 1.61
2.04Defense 1.58
58%Hit Rate 41%
12.6Shots per Game 15.1
5.5Shots on Target 6.0
4.0Corners per Game 6.1
2.0Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend77% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

SwanseaSwansea
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.6 in second half)
BirminghamBirmingham
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Swansea 0%Draw 63%37% Birmingham
2.86Avg Goals
77%BTTS Rate
34%Over 2.5

Recent Form

SwanseaSwansea
2W1D2L
01/08/2026
SwanseaLeganes
10
W
28/07/2026
Merthyr TownSwansea
30
L
24/07/2026
SwanseaUdinese
20
W
21/07/2026
SwanseaVfL Bochum
02
L
18/07/2026
SwanseaHolstein Kiel
22
D
BirminghamBirmingham
5W0D0L
31/07/2026
BirminghamBarcelona
3222
W
25/07/2026
CreweBirmingham
12
W
22/07/2026
Burton AlbionBirmingham
01
W
15/07/2026
Solihull MoorsBirmingham
03
W
10/07/2026
BirminghamHuddersfield
31
W

Referee Profile

Ruebyn Ricardo, England · 3 matches analysed

3.2Avg Yellows
3.4Avg Cards
21.8Avg Fouls
Stricter than 16% of referees analysed

Bracket

Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Cambridge United0
Millwall1
Nottingham Forest0
Leeds2
Bradford04
Burnley02
On penalties
Chelsea2
Luton0
Fulham3
AFC Wimbledon0
Bournemouth
Seeded
Crystal Palace
Seeded
Sunderland
Seeded
Liverpool
Seeded
Arsenal
Seeded
Aston Villa
Seeded
Manchester United
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
Manchester City
Seeded

Swansea vs Birmingham Prediction

As a knockout-stage League Cup fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About League Cup

ScorePredicts covers League Cup across every knockout round. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Swansea have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Swansea and Birmingham have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.86 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.