New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls Prediction

Boston Stadium, Boston·Christopher Penso

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
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New England Revolution Rest
4 days
New York Red Bulls Rest
4 days

New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls preview: form and head-to-head

There is little to separate the two on recent form: New England Revolution have won 3 of their last five and New York Red Bulls 2. The match is played in the Major League Soccer on 28 Oct 2026.

New York Red Bulls have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.2 goals a game. Referee Christopher Penso averages 4.88 cards a game, 0.54 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
1.93
X
4.05
2
3.32
Double Chance
1X
1.30
X2
1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
1.40
No
2.83
Goals
Over 1.5
1.10
Over 2.5
1.40
Over 3.5
1.95
Under 1.5
6.50
Under 2.5
2.88
Under 3.5
1.80
Corners
Over 8.5
1.36
Over 9.5
1.59
Over 10.5
2.00
Under 8.5
2.97
Under 9.5
2.23
Under 10.5
1.75
Cards
Over 3.5
1.70
Over 4.5
2.43
Under 3.5
2.12
Under 4.5
1.52
Predictions for this match are lockedA free account opens the match result market. Pro opens every goal market.

Team Comparison

New England RevolutionNew England Revolution
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
1615Elo Rating 1501
1.52Attack 1.15
1.18Defense 1.31
64%Hit Rate 34%
11.2Shots per Game 18.1
5.1Shots on Target 5.8
5.9Corners per Game 6.8
1.6Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+114 Elo
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

New England RevolutionNew England Revolution
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
  • No tendency data available

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

New England RevolutionNew England Revolution4Wins · 40%
Draws00%
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls6Wins · 60%
3.2Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer28/02/2026
New York Red BullsNew England Revolution
10
Major League Soccer17/07/2025
New York Red BullsNew England Revolution
53
Major League Soccer29/03/2025
New England RevolutionNew York Red Bulls
21
Major League Soccer09/06/2024
New England RevolutionNew York Red Bulls
10
Major League Soccer12/05/2024
New York Red BullsNew England Revolution
42
Major League Soccer31/08/2023
New England RevolutionNew York Red Bulls
10
Major League Soccer09/07/2023
New York Red BullsNew England Revolution
21
Major League Soccer11/09/2022
New York Red BullsNew England Revolution
21
Major League Soccer04/04/2022
New England RevolutionNew York Red Bulls
01
Major League Soccer01/08/2021
New York Red BullsNew England Revolution
23

Referee Profile

Christopher Penso113 matches

4.88Cards per match
4.67Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
22.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Christopher Penso4.88
Other referees4.34

4.88 cards a match, 0.54 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.34).

Cards come from 112 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC31217366:23+4370WDWWW
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution311741051:42+955WWWLL
3Inter MiamiInter Miami311510673:53+2055LWWWL
4Chicago FireChicago Fire311561055:46+951WLLWW
5CharlotteCharlotte311381055:48+747LDLWL
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union311371162:50+1246LDWWW
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC311261360:72-1242DWDWL
8FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati311191164:71-742WWLLW
9New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls311161441:56-1539WLLWL
10Columbus CrewColumbus Crew311151550:49+138WWWLW
11Toronto FCToronto FC318121148:59-1136LWDWL
12New York City FCNew York City FC318111245:43+235DDLLD
13DC UnitedDC United317121238:55-1733LLLWL
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC31861739:54-1530LLWLD
15CF MontrealCF Montreal31671836:62-2625LDLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC3166:2370
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution3151:4255
3Inter MiamiInter Miami3173:5355
4Chicago FireChicago Fire3155:4651
5CharlotteCharlotte3155:4847
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union3162:5046
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC3160:7242
8FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3164:7142
9New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls3141:5639
10Columbus CrewColumbus Crew3150:4938
11Toronto FCToronto FC3148:5936
12New York City FCNew York City FC3145:4335
13DC UnitedDC United3138:5533
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC3139:5430
15CF MontrealCF Montreal3136:6225
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About the New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

New England Revolution and New York Red Bulls in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, New England Revolution are 2nd and New York Red Bulls 9th, 16 points apart. League goal record so far: New England Revolution 51-42, New York Red Bulls 41-56. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

New England Revolution have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.