New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC Prediction

Citi Field, Flushing·Tori Penso

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick Free pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalHIGHModel50%SurpriseHighGap-4.5%
Value Analysis
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New York City FC Rest
4 days
Atlanta United FC Rest
4 days

New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC in numbers

Both New York City FC and Atlanta United FC have struggled lately, winning once at most in their last five. They meet in the Major League Soccer on 28 Oct 2026.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.6 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 8.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
1.73
X
4.10
2
4.20
Double Chance
1X
79%1.22
X2
45%2.05
Both Teams to Score
Yes
1.53
No
2.37
Goals
Over 1.5
1.14
Over 2.5
1.53
Over 3.5
2.35
Under 1.5
5.08
Under 2.5
2.44
Under 3.5
1.57
Corners
Over 8.5
1.47
Over 9.5
1.82
Over 10.5
2.27
Under 8.5
2.55
Under 9.5
1.98
Under 10.5
1.56
Cards
Over 3.5
1.54
Over 4.5
2.13
Under 3.5
2.41
Under 4.5
1.69
Predictions for this match are lockedA free account opens the match result market. Pro opens every goal market.

Team Comparison

New York City FCNew York City FC
Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
1571Elo Rating 1520
0.80Attack 1.62
1.41Defense 1.28
0%Hit Rate 37%
12.8Shots per Game 15.5
4.2Shots on Target 4.6
5.7Corners per Game 4.8
1.3Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

New York City FCNew York City FC
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

New York City FCNew York City FC3Wins · 30%
Draws660%
Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC1Wins · 10%
3.6Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer27/09/2026
Atlanta United FCNew York City FC
22
Major League Soccer13/06/2025
New York City FCAtlanta United FC
40
Major League Soccer30/03/2025
Atlanta United FCNew York City FC
43
Major League Soccer18/07/2024
Atlanta United FCNew York City FC
22
Major League Soccer07/04/2024
New York City FCAtlanta United FC
11
Major League Soccer22/06/2023
Atlanta United FCNew York City FC
22
Major League Soccer09/04/2023
New York City FCAtlanta United FC
11
Major League Soccer09/10/2022
Atlanta United FCNew York City FC
12
Major League Soccer03/07/2022
New York City FCAtlanta United FC
22
Major League Soccer21/11/2021
New York City FCAtlanta United FC
20

Referee Profile

Tori Penso83 matches

3.86Cards per match
3.76Yellow cards per match
0.10Red cards per match
21.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Tori Penso3.86
Other referees4.21

3.86 cards a match, 0.35 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.21).

Cards come from 79 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC31217366:23+4370WDWWW
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution311741051:42+955WWWLL
3Inter MiamiInter Miami311510673:53+2055LWWWL
4Chicago FireChicago Fire311561055:46+951WLLWW
5CharlotteCharlotte311381055:48+747LDLWL
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union311371162:50+1246LDWWW
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC311261360:72-1242DWDWL
8FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati311191164:71-742WWLLW
9New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls311161441:56-1539WLLWL
10Columbus CrewColumbus Crew311151550:49+138WWWLW
11Toronto FCToronto FC318121148:59-1136LWDWL
12New York City FCNew York City FC318111245:43+235DDLLD
13DC UnitedDC United317121238:55-1733LLLWL
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC31861739:54-1530LLWLD
15CF MontrealCF Montreal31671836:62-2625LDLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC3166:2370
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution3151:4255
3Inter MiamiInter Miami3173:5355
4Chicago FireChicago Fire3155:4651
5CharlotteCharlotte3155:4847
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union3162:5046
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC3160:7242
8FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3164:7142
9New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls3141:5639
10Columbus CrewColumbus Crew3150:4938
11Toronto FCToronto FC3148:5936
12New York City FCNew York City FC3145:4335
13DC UnitedDC United3138:5533
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC3139:5430
15CF MontrealCF Montreal3136:6225
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About the New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC forecast

The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

New York City FC and Atlanta United FC in the Major League Soccer table

New York City FC and Atlanta United FC are close in the Major League Soccer table, 12th and 14th, with 5 points between them. League goal record so far: New York City FC 45-43, Atlanta United FC 39-54. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.