San Diego vs Seattle Sounders Prediction

Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego·Allen Chapman

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
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San Diego Rest
7 days
Seattle Sounders Rest
7 days

San Diego vs Seattle Sounders: what the numbers say

The form lines could hardly be further apart: 3 wins from five for Seattle Sounders, none for San Diego. They meet in the Major League Soccer on 25 Oct 2026.

Their history points to a close game: 3 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game. Referee Allen Chapman averages 3.55 cards a game, 0.85 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
2.16
X
3.90
2
2.88
Double Chance
1X
1.36
X2
1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes
1.36
No
2.85
Goals
Over 1.5
1.11
Over 2.5
1.40
Over 3.5
2.02
Under 1.5
6.26
Under 2.5
2.88
Under 3.5
1.76
Corners
Over 8.5
1.52
Over 9.5
1.86
Over 10.5
2.45
Under 8.5
2.45
Under 9.5
1.91
Under 10.5
1.52
Cards
Over 3.5
1.83
Over 4.5
-
Under 3.5
1.83
Under 4.5
-
Predictions for this match are lockedA free account opens the match result market. Pro opens every goal market.

Team Comparison

San DiegoSan Diego
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
1572Elo Rating 1619
2.20Attack 1.61
0.22Defense 2.19
0%Hit Rate 50%
14.3Shots per Game 15.8
5.5Shots on Target 6.2
4.8Corners per Game 7.4
1.7Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend33% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

San DiegoSan Diego
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.5 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

San DiegoSan Diego1Wins · 34%
Draws133%
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders1Wins · 33%
2.0Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored1 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer10/05/2026
Seattle SoundersSan Diego
11
Major League Soccer29/05/2025
Seattle SoundersSan Diego
10
Major League Soccer06/04/2025
San DiegoSeattle Sounders
30

Referee Profile

Allen Chapman138 matches

3.55Cards per match
3.46Yellow cards per match
0.10Red cards per match
21.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Allen Chapman3.55
Other referees4.40

3.55 cards a match, 0.85 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.40).

Cards come from 134 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps30167763:31+3255WDDLD
2St. Louis CitySt. Louis City30149756:41+1551LDWWW
3FC DallasFC Dallas30149755:47+851DWLWD
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes30139852:42+1048DDDWD
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo30138941:39+247DDDLD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC311210948:33+1546DWDLD
7Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders301191039:37+242DLWWW
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3110101143:52-940DWLWW
9Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids301161341:41039DDDLD
10Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake301061445:48-336WDLWL
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers30971451:56-534DLDLL
12San DiegoSan Diego308101253:56-334DDLDD
13Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC308101247:55-834WDDLL
14AustinAustin307101338:56-1831LLLDD
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City30642036:75-3922LLDLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3063:3155
2St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3056:4151
3FC DallasFC Dallas3055:4751
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3052:4248
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3041:3947
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3148:3346
7Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3039:3742
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3143:5240
9Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3041:4139
10Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3045:4836
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3051:5634
12San DiegoSan Diego3053:5634
13Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3047:5534
14AustinAustin3038:5631
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3036:7522
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About the San Diego vs Seattle Sounders forecast

The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

San Diego and Seattle Sounders in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, Seattle Sounders are 7th and San Diego 12th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: San Diego 53-56, Seattle Sounders 39-37. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.