Rennes vs Le Mans Prediction

Rennes
3-2
Finished
HT 2-1
Le Mans
Roazhon Park, Rennes·Romain Lissorgue, France 30/08/2026
RennesRennes
3-2
Finished
Le MansLe Mans

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 9.5
2.04
SignalSOLIDModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+12.5%
Rennes Rest
6 days
Le Mans Rest
7 days

Rennes vs Le Mans: the result in context

Rennes beat Le Mans 3-2 in the Ligue 1 on 30 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Le Mans had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Rennes.

Rennes tend to win more corners, 4.2 a game to 2.0 for Le Mans.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
63%1.43
X
23%4.80
2
14%7.00
Double Chance
1X
86%1.11
X2
37%2.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.72
No
43%2.02
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.87 + 1.02 = 2.89
Over 1.5
79%1.17
Over 2.5
58%1.55
Over 3.5
36%2.41
Under 1.5
21%4.90
Under 2.5
42%2.39
Under 3.5
64%1.57
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 3.7 = 8.6
Over 8.5
58%1.41
Over 9.5
41%1.73
Over 10.5
27%2.15
Under 8.5
42%2.60
Under 9.5
59%2.04
Under 10.5
73%1.63
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.1 = 4
Over 3.5
57%1.56
Over 4.5
35%2.02
Under 3.5
43%2.38
Under 4.5
65%1.72

Match Events

5'E. LepaulAssist: A. Thomasson
26'V. RongierAssist: I. Soumare
30'L. MafoutaAssist: L. Calodat
48'Issa SoumaréFoul
51'Penalty confirmedHarold Voyer
54'L. Mafouta(Penalty)
60'S. Szymanski INM. Camara out
60'I. Soumare INA. Nordin out
60'L. Bretelle INJ. Vercruysse out
66'Alexandre LaurayTime wasting
68'D. Gueye INA. Rabillard out
68'Djibril SidibéFoul
68'L. Calodat IND. Sidibe out
74'V. Rongier INL. Blas out
74'M. Tamari INE. Mayenda out
78'Q. Merlin INM. Nagida out
81'A. Bourabaa INM. Robin out
81'N. Kocik INE. Hatfout out
90'E. Lepaul(Penalty)
90'
90+2'Penalty confirmedArnaud Nordin
90+6'Esteban Lepaul
90+12'Harold VoyerArgument
90+12'Abdelhamid Ait BoudlalFoul
90+13'Penalty cancelledLouis Mafouta

Lineups

Rennes
4-3-3Coach: Franck Haise
Le Mans
3-1-4-2Coach: Patrick Videira
Avg rating6.93
Avg rating6.67
N. Lemaitre7.216N. Lemaitre
P. Frankowski6.395P. Frankowski
C. Cresswell6.64C. Cresswell
A. Ait Boudlal7.248A. Ait Boudlal
Q. Merlin6.626Q. Merlin
S. Szymanski6.517S. Szymanski
V. RongierC7.321V. Rongier
A. Thomasson7.228A. Thomasson
M. Tamari6.611M. Tamari
E. Lepaul8.29E. Lepaul
I. Soumare7.090I. Soumare
N. Kocik7.598N. Kocik
N. Boisse5.915N. Boisse
T. Eyoum6.321T. Eyoum
H. Voyer6.35H. Voyer
A. LaurayC6.38A. Lauray
L. Buades6.318L. Buades
L. Bretelle29L. Bretelle
A. Bourabaa6.611A. Bourabaa
L. Calodat8.022L. Calodat
D. Gueye6.225D. Gueye
L. Mafouta7.914L. Mafouta

Rennes Substitutes

60K. Belazzoug
14B. Reynolds
24A. Rouault
18M. Nagida78'for Q. Merlin6.9
45M. Camara60'for S. Szymanski6.9
10L. Blas74'for V. Rongier7.2
70A. Nordin60'for I. Soumare6.3
12E. Mayenda74'for M. Tamari6.9
65H. Do Marcolino

Le Mans Substitutes

1E. Hatfout81'for N. Kocik6.3
16R. Torrente
19D. Sidibe68'68'for L. Calodat
23D. Traore
10J. Vercruysse60'for L. Bretelle6.9
24M. Robin81'for A. Bourabaa6.5
20W. Harhouz
9A. Rabillard68'for D. Gueye6.9
7B. Brahimi

Match Stats

RennesLe Mans
64%Ball Possession36%
8Corner Kicks6
3Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
22Total Shots12
8Shots on Goal5
8Shots off Goal4
17Shots Inside Box8
5Shots Outside Box4
6Blocked Shots3
15Fouls15
2Offsides3
3Goalkeeper Saves5
501Total Passes282
424Passes Accurate195
85%Pass Accuracy69%

Team Comparison

RennesRennes
Le MansLe Mans
1813Elo Rating 1640
1.80Attack 0.68
0.96Defense 1.01
19%Hit Rate 14%
13.8Shots per Game 8.8
5.9Shots on Target 2.2
4.2Corners per Game 2.0
1.9Cards per Game 3.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+172 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.89 goals

Game State Tendencies

RennesRennes
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.7 in second half)
Le MansLe Mans
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

RennesRennes
2W2D6L
23/08/2026
RennesParis Saint Germain
22
D
15/08/2026
SunderlandRennes
21
L
08/08/2026
RennesBrentford
24
L
08/08/2026
RennesBrentford U21
12
L
02/08/2026
GalatasarayRennes
33
D
25/07/2026
RennesClub Brugge KV
21
W
17/07/2026
RennesGuingamp
31
W
09/07/2026
RennesCaen
12
L
20/06/2026
RennesLausanne
09
L
17/05/2026
MarseilleRennes
31
L
Le MansLe Mans
4W4D2L
22/08/2026
Le MansStade Brestois 29
22
D
15/08/2026
Le MansLe Havre
01
L
08/08/2026
Le MansUNFP
11
D
01/08/2026
AngersLe Mans
23
W
25/07/2026
Le MansNantes
10
W
22/07/2026
Le MansVersailles
31
W
18/07/2026
Le MansLa Roche VF
23
L
09/05/2026
BastiaLe Mans
02
W
02/05/2026
Le MansReims
11
D
25/04/2026
GrenobleLe Mans
11
D

Referee Profile

Romain Lissorgue139 matches

3.93Cards per match
3.70Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
27.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Romain Lissorgue3.93
Other referees4.02

3.93 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.02).

Cards come from 127 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ligue 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain1072122:10+1223WWWWW
2LilleLille1063114:7+721WWDDW
3Paris FCParis FC1062217:10+720WWLWL
4MarseilleMarseille1060422:14+818WWWWW
5LyonLyon1052315:9+617LWLWL
6NiceNice1052315:12+317WWWLW
7MonacoMonaco1044213:11+216DLDLD
8RennesRennes1051421:21016LLWLW
9Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 291043318:12+615WWLDW
10LorientLorient104339:8+115WLDWW
11LensLens1041517:15+213LLWWW
12ToulouseToulouse1034315:14+113WLDWD
13StrasbourgStrasbourg1031618:22-410LWLLL
14AuxerreAuxerre1031613:24-1110LLDWL
15Le MansLe Mans1015412:19-78DLDLL
16AngersAngers102269:19-108LLDLL
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes102267:17-108LWDLL
18Le HavreLe Havre100289:22-132LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain1022:1023
2LilleLille1014:721
3Paris FCParis FC1017:1020
4MarseilleMarseille1022:1418
5LyonLyon1015:917
6NiceNice1015:1217
7MonacoMonaco1013:1116
8RennesRennes1021:2116
9Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 291018:1215
10LorientLorient109:815
11LensLens1017:1513
12ToulouseToulouse1015:1413
13StrasbourgStrasbourg1018:2210
14AuxerreAuxerre1013:2410
15Le MansLe Mans1012:198
16AngersAngers109:198
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes107:178
18Le HavreLe Havre109:222
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Rennes vs Le Mans forecast

The forecasts for this Ligue 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Rennes and Le Mans in the Ligue 1 table

In the Ligue 1 table, Rennes are 8th and Le Mans 15th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Rennes 21-21, Le Mans 12-19. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Rennes and Le Mans have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.