Lens vs Lorient Prediction

Lens
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Lorient
Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens·E. Wattellier 05/09/2026
LensLens
0-1
Finished
LorientLorient

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.47
SignalHIGHModel74%SurpriseMediumGap+9.7%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.75
SignalSOLIDModel74%SurpriseMediumGap+12.7%
Lens Rest
7 days
Lorient Rest
6 days

Lens vs Lorient: result, form and history

Lorient beat Lens 1-0 in the Ligue 1 on 5 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Lens had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Lorient.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.2 goals, and both sides scored in 6 of them. Referee E. Wattellier averages 3.06 cards a game, 0.90 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
82%1.47
X
7%4.55
2
11%6.50
Double Chance
1X
89%1.12
X2
18%2.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%1.75
No
35%1.97
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.21 + 1.08 = 3.29
Over 1.5
83%1.20
Over 2.5
60%1.63
Over 3.5
37%2.58
Under 1.5
17%4.50
Under 2.5
40%2.29
Under 3.5
63%1.49
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 3.8 = 9.2
Over 8.5
57%1.41
Over 9.5
47%1.74
Over 10.5
31%2.13
Under 8.5
43%2.60
Under 9.5
53%2.02
Under 10.5
69%1.64
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.3 + 1.8 = 3.1
Over 3.5
37%2.00
Over 4.5
20%2.85
Under 3.5
63%1.73
Under 4.5
80%1.35

Match Events

14'Nathaniel AdjeiDissent
24'Matthieu Udol INSouleymane Sagnan out
26'Yassine TitraouiFoul
54'Mamadou KoneAssist: Panos Katseris
60'Yassine Titraoui INAndrija Bulatović out
61'Amadou Haidara INMichaël Cuisance out
67'Panos Katseris INThéo Le Bris out
67'Mamadou Kone INIbrahima Balde out
67'Noah Mbamba INArthur Avom out
70'Ruben Aguilar INFlorian Sotoca out
70'Thorgan Hazard INOdsonne Édouard out
75'Gabin Bernardeau INIsak Jensen out
77'Michał SkóraśFoul
85'Souleymane SagnanFoul

Lineups

Lens
3-4-2-1Coach: D. Toppmöller
Lorient
3-4-2-1Coach: A. Dujeux
Avg rating6.71
Avg rating7.01
R. Risser6.940R. Risser
K. Antonio7.132K. Antonio
I. Ganiou7.325I. Ganiou
M. Udol6.714M. Udol
R. Aguilar6.82R. Aguilar
A. Haidara6.721A. Haidara
Y. Titraoui6.88Y. Titraoui
M. Skóraś6.422M. Skóraś
F. Thauvin7.210F. Thauvin
T. Hazard6.39T. Hazard
A. Sima6.319A. Sima
Y. Mvogo7.938Y. Mvogo
D. Sylla7.120D. Sylla
M. Talbi7.63M. Talbi
N. Adjei7.432N. Adjei
P. Katseris7.677P. Katseris
N. Mbamba6.672N. Mbamba
N. Cadiou6.78N. Cadiou
K. Kouassi6.243K. Kouassi
G. Bernardeau6.533G. Bernardeau
J. Makengo6.717J. Makengo
4242M. Kone

Lens Substitutes

5A. Bulatović60'for Yassine Titraoui6.9
38Mezian Mesloub
31S. Sagnan24'for Matthieu Udol85'6.1
7F. Sotoca70'for Ruben Aguilar6.5
11O. Édouard70'for Thorgan Hazard6.2
29F. Ivanović
24J. Gradit
16M. Gorgelin
27M. Cuisance61'for Amadou Haidara7.2

Lorient Substitutes

11T. Le Bris67'for Panos Katseris6.9
21B. Kamara
2A. Georgen
19S. Faye
18I. Baldé67'replaced by Mamadou Kone6.8
62A. Avom67'for Noah Mbamba6.8
15A. Tosin
55N. Obaretin
10I. Jensen75'for Gabin Bernardeau6.6

Match Stats

LensLorient
57%Ball Possession43%
8Corner Kicks0
3Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
17Total Shots8
6Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal5
10Shots Inside Box5
7Shots Outside Box3
4Blocked Shots0
18Fouls6
2Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves6
578Total Passes458
510Passes Accurate386
6Free Kicks18

Team Comparison

LensLens
LorientLorient
1832Elo Rating 1772
0.96Attack 0.87
1.47Defense 2.39
39%Hit Rate 42%
12.2Shots per Game 8.9
4.2Shots on Target 2.7
4.4Corners per Game 4.2
2.0Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.29 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

LensLens
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
LorientLorient
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

LensLens5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
LorientLorient2Wins · 20%
3.2Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Ligue 114/03/2026
LorientLens
21
Ligue 102/11/2025
LensLorient
30
Ligue 103/05/2024
LensLorient
20
Ligue 104/11/2023
LorientLens
00
Ligue 121/05/2023
LorientLens
13
Coupe de France09/02/2023
LorientLens
2141
Ligue 131/08/2022
LensLorient
52
Ligue 106/02/2022
LorientLens
20
Ligue 129/08/2021
LensLorient
22
Ligue 111/04/2021
LensLorient
41

Recent Form

LensLens
6W1D3L
29/08/2026
StrasbourgLens
21
L
22/08/2026
LensAuxerre
52
W
16/08/2026
LensParis Saint Germain
10
W
08/08/2026
LensSunderland
02
L
01/08/2026
LensVillarreal
31
W
25/07/2026
LensCharleroi
22
D
18/07/2026
LensBoulogne
41
W
22/05/2026
LensNice
31
W
17/05/2026
LyonLens
04
W
13/05/2026
LensParis Saint Germain
02
L
LorientLorient
5W1D4L
29/08/2026
LorientEstac Troyes
12
L
22/08/2026
NiceLorient
00
D
15/08/2026
SV ElversbergLorient
41
L
08/08/2026
AngersLorient
21
L
04/08/2026
LorientUNFP
51
W
25/07/2026
GuingampLorient
02
W
18/07/2026
LorientNantes
10
W
11/07/2026
ConcarneauLorient
12
W
17/05/2026
LorientLe Havre
02
L
10/05/2026
MetzLorient
04
W

Referee Profile

E. Wattellier153 matches

3.06Cards per match
2.89Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
20.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

E. Wattellier3.06
Other referees3.96

3.06 cards a match, 0.90 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.96).

Cards come from 149 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ligue 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain962121:10+1120WWWWW
2LilleLille953112:6+618WDDWL
3LyonLyon952215:7+817WLWLW
4Paris FCParis FC952216:10+617WLWLW
5RennesRennes951320:19+116LWLWL
6MarseilleMarseille950420:13+715WWWWL
7MonacoMonaco943212:10+215LDLDW
8NiceNice942313:12+114WWLWW
9LensLens941416:13+313LWWWL
10Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29933316:12+412WLDWL
11LorientLorient93337:8-112LDWWL
12ToulouseToulouse924312:13-110LDWDW
13StrasbourgStrasbourg931517:19-210WLLLL
14AuxerreAuxerre931513:23-1010LDWLW
15AngersAngers92259:17-88LDLLW
16Estac TroyesEstac Troyes92257:16-98WDLLL
17Le MansLe Mans914411:18-77LDLLW
18Le HavreLe Havre90279:20-112LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain921:1020
2LilleLille912:618
3LyonLyon915:717
4Paris FCParis FC916:1017
5RennesRennes920:1916
6MarseilleMarseille920:1315
7MonacoMonaco912:1015
8NiceNice913:1214
9LensLens916:1313
10Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29916:1212
11LorientLorient97:812
12ToulouseToulouse912:1310
13StrasbourgStrasbourg917:1910
14AuxerreAuxerre913:2310
15AngersAngers99:178
16Estac TroyesEstac Troyes97:168
17Le MansLe Mans911:187
18Le HavreLe Havre99:202
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Lens vs Lorient forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Lens and Lorient in the Ligue 1 table

Lens and Lorient are close in the Ligue 1 table, 9th and 11th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Lens 16-13, Lorient 7-8. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.