Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29 Prediction

Le Havre
1-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Stade Brestois 29
M. Bollengier 05/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.67
SignalSOLIDModel42%SurpriseMediumGap+10.5%
Le Havre Rest
7 days
Stade Brestois 29 Rest
7 days

Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29: the result in context

Stade Brestois 29 beat Le Havre 2-1 in the Ligue 1 on 5 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Stade Brestois 29 have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 1.7 goals a game. Le Havre tend to win more corners, 5.2 a game to 2.7 for Stade Brestois 29.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%2.65
X
28%3.25
2
35%2.70
Double Chance
1X
65%1.45
X2
63%1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.81
No
46%1.91
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.18 + 1.32 = 2.50
Over 1.5
71%1.36
Over 2.5
46%2.12
Over 3.5
16%3.75
Under 1.5
29%3.17
Under 2.5
54%1.73
Under 3.5
84%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.2 = 9.3
Over 8.5
57%1.59
Over 9.5
47%1.98
Over 10.5
31%2.52
Under 8.5
43%2.26
Under 9.5
53%1.76
Under 10.5
69%1.46
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 1.4 = 2.9
Over 3.5
32%1.57
Over 4.5
16%2.19
Under 3.5
68%2.23
Under 4.5
84%1.62

Match Events

10'Lionel Mpasi-NzauFoul
12'Kamory Doumbia(Penalty)
22'Kenny Lala INLuck Zogbe out
38'Didier DigardDissent
39'Kamory DoumbiaHandball
45'Rassoul Ndiaye INSota Nakamura out
45+2'Junior Mwanga
51'Kamory DoumbiaAssist: Mama Baldé
62'Josh Maja INRayan Fofana out
62'Timothée Pembele INEnzo Koffi out
67'Mama Baldé INNoah Edjouma out
75'Kamory Doumbia INLucas Tousart out
75'Pathé Mboup INGiovani Versini out
75'Hugo Magnetti INJoseph Nonge out
79'Rayan Fofana(Penalty)
79'Elias Jelert INDjibril Ouziad out
90+4'Lionel Mpasi-Nzau INGauthier Gallon out

Lineups

Le Havre
3-4-2-1Coach: D. Digard
Stade Brestois 29
4-2-3-1Coach: Julien Lachuer
Avg rating6.56
Avg rating6.71
L. Mpasi7.677L. Mpasi
A. Seko6.915A. Seko
J. Mwanga5.06J. Mwanga
A. Touba7.05A. Touba
E. Jelert6.512E. Jelert
S. Ebonog6.426S. Ebonog
A. Richardson6.67A. Richardson
T. Pembélé6.232T. Pembélé
R. Ndiaye7.214R. Ndiaye
M. Samatta5.825M. Samatta
J. Maja6.39J. Maja
E. Selvik6.21E. Selvik
K. Lala6.370K. Lala
R. Le Guen6.971R. Le Guen
G. Lloris6.84G. Lloris
B. Locko6.62B. Locko
J. Chotard7.213J. Chotard
H. Magnetti6.78H. Magnetti
Mama Baldé7.317M. Baldé
K. Doumbia7.523K. Doumbia
P. Mboup7.09P. Mboup
L. Ajorque6.419L. Ajorque

Le Havre Substitutes

44I. Bouneb
38R. Fofana62'for Josh Maja79'7.5
93G. Gallon90+4'for Lionel Mpasi-Nzau
27E. Koffi Vinette62'for Timothée Pembele6.9
17K. Mizuta
78D. Mosengo
30S. Nakamura45'for Rassoul Ndiaye6.4
20Djibril Ouziad79'replaced by Elias Jelert
23V. Sasso

Stade Brestois 29 Substitutes

29L. Tousart75'for Kamory Doumbia6.3
10G. Versini75'for Pathé Mboup6.5
30M. Patouillet
7J. Nonge Boende75'for Hugo Magnetti6.3
39D. N´Guessan
32L. C. Laine M.
11N. Edjouma67'for Mama Baldé6.8
18J. Bourgault
20L. Zogbe22'for Kenny Lala6.5

Match Stats

Le HavreStade Brestois 29
56%Ball Possession44%
5Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
18Total Shots19
4Shots on Goal9
10Shots off Goal8
13Shots Inside Box12
5Shots Outside Box7
4Blocked Shots2
15Fouls18
1Offsides0
8Goalkeeper Saves3
455Total Passes370
376Passes Accurate287
83%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

Le HavreLe Havre
Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
1582Elo Rating 1733
1.43Attack 1.93
0.00Defense 1.90
0%Hit Rate 44%
17.1Shots per Game 12.0
5.4Shots on Target 4.8
5.2Corners per Game 2.7
1.5Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend17% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Le HavreLe Havre
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Le HavreLe Havre1Wins · 17%
Draws00%
Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 295Wins · 83%
1.7Avg Goals
17%Both teams scored1 of 6
17%3+ goals1 of 6

Previous meetings

Ligue 108/03/2026
Stade Brestois 29Le Havre
20
Ligue 129/10/2025
Le HavreStade Brestois 29
10
Ligue 126/01/2025
Le HavreStade Brestois 29
01
Ligue 106/10/2024
Stade Brestois 29Le Havre
20
Ligue 103/03/2024
Stade Brestois 29Le Havre
10
Ligue 120/08/2023
Le HavreStade Brestois 29
12

Recent Form

Le HavreLe Havre
3W3D4L
29/08/2026
LyonLe Havre
11
D
23/08/2026
Le HavreMonaco
01
L
15/08/2026
Le MansLe Havre
01
W
04/08/2026
IpswichLe Havre
10
L
31/07/2026
Le HavreLaval
11
D
25/07/2026
Le HavreRED Star FC 93
21
W
17/07/2026
Le HavreAmiens
12
L
17/05/2026
LorientLe Havre
02
W
10/05/2026
Le HavreMarseille
01
L
03/05/2026
LilleLe Havre
11
D
Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
1W6D3L
29/08/2026
Stade Brestois 29Toulouse
22
D
22/08/2026
Le MansStade Brestois 29
22
D
16/08/2026
Nottingham ForestStade Brestois 29
20
L
08/08/2026
Stade Brestois 29Venezia
22
D
05/08/2026
Stade BriochinStade Brestois 29
12
W
01/08/2026
Stade Brestois 29Guingamp
33
D
22/07/2026
Stade Brestois 29Al Wakrah
02
L
18/07/2026
Stade Brestois 29Concarneau
22
D
17/05/2026
Stade Brestois 29Angers
11
D
13/05/2026
Stade Brestois 29Strasbourg
12
L

Referee Profile

M. Bollengier135 matches

3.82Cards per match
3.61Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
27.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

M. Bollengier3.82
Other referees3.89

3.82 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.89).

Cards come from 111 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ligue 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain1072122:10+1223WWWWW
2LilleLille1063114:7+721WWDDW
3Paris FCParis FC1062217:10+720WWLWL
4MarseilleMarseille1060422:14+818WWWWW
5LyonLyon1052315:9+617LWLWL
6NiceNice1052315:12+317WWWLW
7MonacoMonaco1044213:11+216DLDLD
8RennesRennes1051421:21016LLWLW
9Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 291043318:12+615WWLDW
10LorientLorient104339:8+115WLDWW
11LensLens1041517:15+213LLWWW
12ToulouseToulouse1034315:14+113WLDWD
13StrasbourgStrasbourg1031618:22-410LWLLL
14AuxerreAuxerre1031613:24-1110LLDWL
15Le MansLe Mans1015412:19-78DLDLL
16AngersAngers102269:19-108LLDLL
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes102267:17-108LWDLL
18Le HavreLe Havre100289:22-132LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain1022:1023
2LilleLille1014:721
3Paris FCParis FC1017:1020
4MarseilleMarseille1022:1418
5LyonLyon1015:917
6NiceNice1015:1217
7MonacoMonaco1013:1116
8RennesRennes1021:2116
9Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 291018:1215
10LorientLorient109:815
11LensLens1017:1513
12ToulouseToulouse1015:1413
13StrasbourgStrasbourg1018:2210
14AuxerreAuxerre1013:2410
15Le MansLe Mans1012:198
16AngersAngers109:198
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes107:178
18Le HavreLe Havre109:222
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29 forecast

The forecasts for this Ligue 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Le Havre and Stade Brestois 29 in the Ligue 1 table

In the Ligue 1 table, Stade Brestois 29 are 9th and Le Havre 18th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: Le Havre 9-22, Stade Brestois 29 18-12. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Stade Brestois 29 have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.