Nice vs Lille Prediction
France · Regular Season - 5
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.45
SignalHIGHModel75%SurpriseMediumGap+9.3%
Nice Rest
7 days
Lille Rest
7 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
127%3.25
X28%3.50
245%2.18
Double Chance
1X55%1.69
X273%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes57%1.60
No43%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.31 + 1.55 = 2.86
Over 1.575%1.25
Over 2.553%1.80
Over 3.532%2.95
Under 1.525%3.84
Under 2.547%2.04
Under 3.568%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 4.6 = 9.1
Over 8.554%1.48
Over 9.543%1.83
Over 10.530%2.31
Under 8.546%2.48
Under 9.557%1.94
Under 10.570%1.54
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 1.5 = 3.4
Over 3.543%1.74
Over 4.525%2.69
Under 3.557%2.00
Under 4.575%1.45
Match Events
5'Mohamed AbdelmoneimFoul
22'Nathan NgoyOG
45+1'Xavier MandzaFoul
55'Ethan Mbappe INDilane Bakwa out
57'Mohamed AmouraFoul
58'Youssouf Ndayishimiye INAlidu Seidu out
64'Basar Onal INOsame Sahraoui out
64'Benjamin André INMaurits Kjaergaard out
64'Hákon Arnar Haraldsson INOlivier Giroud out
67'Mohamed AmouraAssist: Gauthier Hein
73'Djibril Coulibaly INEverton Pereira out
74'Sepe Elye Wahi INSofiane Diop out
77'Nabil Bentaleb INNgal'ayel Mukau out
77'Mohamed Amoura INNathan Ngoumou out
78'Niels Nkounkou INAli Abdi out
79'Ayase UedaAssist: Maurits Kjaergaard
90+1'Maurits KjaergaardFoul
Lineups
NiceLille
4-2-3-1Coach: Davide AncelottiAvg ratingAvg rating
23Y. Diouf
5M. Abdelmonem
55Y. Ndayishimiye
35X. Mandza Tsiendi
92J. Clauss
39D. Coulibaly
28A. Witsel
27N. Nkounkou
7G. Hein
9M. Amoura
11E. Wahi
1B. Özer
22T. Santos
3N. Ngoy
4A. Ribeiro
15R. Perraud
21B. André
6N. Bentaleb
8E. Mbappé
10H. Haraldsson
19B. Önal
18A. UedaNice Substitutes
87E. Pereira73'for Djibril Coulibaly
36A. Seidu58'for Youssouf Ndayishimiye
2A. Abdi78'for Niels Nkounkou
6H. Boudaoui
77T. Boulhendi
10S. Diop74'for Sepe Elye Wahi
21I. Jansson
84H. Koutoune
29N. Ngoumou77'for Mohamed Amoura
Lille Substitutes
26I. Cossier
12O. Gill
9O. Giroud64'for Hákon Arnar Haraldsson
14M. Kjærgaard64'for Benjamin André90+1'
17N. Mukau77'for Nabil Bentaleb
28G. Perrin
11O. Sahraoui64'for Basar Onal
24C. Verdonk
7D. Bakwa55'for Ethan Mbappe
Match Stats
NiceLille 41%Ball Possession59%
3Corner Kicks7
3Yellow Cards1
10Total Shots21
4Shots on Goal8
6Shots off Goal6
7Shots Inside Box15
3Shots Outside Box6
0Blocked Shots7
16Fouls9
4Offsides1
7Goalkeeper Saves3
394Total Passes539
338Passes Accurate471
9Free Kicks16
Team Comparison
NiceLille1757Elo Rating 1805
2.61Attack 1.05
1.54Defense 1.40
81%Hit Rate 27%
12.2Shots per Game 11.5
5.1Shots on Target 4.1
5.2Corners per Game 4.3
3.6Cards per Game 2.0
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.86 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Nice- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Lille- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Nice4Wins · 40%Draws440%
Lille2Wins · 20%
2Wins · 20%2.7Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10
Previous meetings
18/04/2026LilleNice00
29/10/2025NiceLille20
17/01/2025LilleNice21
10/11/2024NiceLille22
19/05/2024LilleNice22
11/08/2023NiceLille11
29/01/2023NiceLille10
31/08/2022LilleNice12
14/05/2022NiceLille13
14/08/2021LilleNice04
Recent Form
Nice2W5D3L
12/09/2026
AuxerreNiceNice
Le Mans
Paris FCNiceNice
Lorient
AuxerreNice10
L05/09/2026NiceLe Mans11
D30/08/2026Paris FCNice30
L22/08/2026NiceLorient00
D15/08/2026
Hull CityNice
Hull CityNice00
D08/08/2026
CagliariNice
CagliariNice0000
D31/07/2026
JuventusNice
JuventusNice20
L18/07/2026Nice
Nimes
NiceNimes40
W29/05/2026Nice
Saint Etienne
NiceSaint Etienne41
W26/05/2026Saint EtienneNice
Saint EtienneNice00
DLille5W3D2L
13/09/2026Lille
Estac TroyesLille
Real Betis
ToulouseLilleLille
Paris Saint Germain
AngersLille
LilleEstac Troyes20
W08/09/2026LilleReal Betis23
L03/09/2026ToulouseLille01
W28/08/2026LilleParis Saint Germain22
D23/08/2026AngersLille02
W15/08/2026
EvertonLille
EvertonLille11
D08/08/2026
Hamburger SVLille
Hamburger SVLille22
D01/08/2026
OH LeuvenLille
OH LeuvenLille36
W18/07/2026Lille
RAAL La Louvière
LilleRAAL La Louvière30
W17/05/2026LilleAuxerre
LilleAuxerre02
LReferee Profile
3.93Cards per match
3.64Yellow cards per match
0.29Red cards per match
24.8Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
3.94 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.00).
Cards come from 167 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | +11 | 20 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Lille | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | +6 | 18 | WDDWL |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:7 | +8 | 17 | WLWLW |
| 4 | Paris FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | +6 | 17 | WLWLW |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20:19 | +1 | 16 | LWLWL |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20:13 | +7 | 15 | WWWWL |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | +2 | 15 | LDLDW |
| 8 | Nice | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | +1 | 14 | WWLWW |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:13 | +3 | 13 | LWWWL |
| 10 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16:12 | +4 | 12 | WLDWL |
| 11 | Lorient | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 12 | LDWWL |
| 12 | Toulouse | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 10 | LDWDW |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 17:19 | -2 | 10 | WLLLL |
| 14 | Auxerre | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13:23 | -10 | 10 | LDWLW |
| 15 | Angers | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:17 | -8 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 16 | Estac Troyes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:16 | -9 | 8 | WDLLL |
| 17 | Le Mans | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:18 | -7 | 7 | LDLLW |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9:20 | -11 | 2 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 | Lille | 9 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 | Lyon | 9 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 | Paris FC | 9 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 | Rennes | 9 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 | Marseille | 9 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 | Monaco | 9 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Nice | 9 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 | Lens | 9 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 | Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 11 | Lorient | 9 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 9 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 | Strasbourg | 9 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 9 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 | Angers | 9 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 | Estac Troyes | 9 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 | Le Mans | 9 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 9 | 9:20 | 2 |
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About the Nice vs Lille forecast
The forecasts for this Ligue 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Nice and Lille in the Ligue 1 table
In the Ligue 1 table, Lille are 2nd and Nice 8th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Nice 13-12, Lille 12-6. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.