Le Mans vs Lorient Prediction

Le Mans
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Lorient
MMArena, Le Mans·Geoffrey Kubler 19/09/2026
Le MansLe Mans
2-1
Finished
LorientLorient

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.89
SignalSOLIDModel58%SurpriseMediumGap+7.3%
Le Mans Rest
6 days
Lorient Rest
7 days

Le Mans vs Lorient: result, form and history

Le Mans beat Lorient 2-1 in the Ligue 1 on 19 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Lorient tend to win more corners, 5.3 a game to 2.0 for Le Mans.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
36%2.75
X
25%3.36
2
39%2.57
Double Chance
1X
61%1.50
X2
64%1.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.67
No
43%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.36 + 1.45 = 2.81
Over 1.5
75%1.28
Over 2.5
55%1.89
Over 3.5
36%3.10
Under 1.5
25%3.65
Under 2.5
45%1.96
Under 3.5
64%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 4.7 = 9.2
Over 8.5
51%1.57
Over 9.5
43%1.90
Over 10.5
31%2.47
Under 8.5
49%2.23
Under 9.5
57%1.82
Under 10.5
69%1.49
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 1.6 = 3.3
Over 3.5
43%1.62
Over 4.5
24%2.13
Under 3.5
57%2.21
Under 4.5
76%1.66

Match Events

3'Adil BourabaaAssist: Rayan Bamba
11'Jean-Victor MakengoFoul
17'Panos Katseris INThéo Le Bris out
19'Arsène KouassiDissent
51'Habib DialloFoul
57'Habib DialloAssist: Lucas Bretelle
58'Yasser Larouci INLucas Calodat out
59'Habib Diallo INDame Gueye out
61'Arthur AvomFoul
65'Gabin Bernardeau INSouleymane Faye out
65'Ibrahima Balde INMamadou Kone out
72'Lucas Bretelle INAntoine Rabillard out
72'Jean Vercruysse INAlexandre Lauray out
74'Djibril SidibéFoul
75'Jean-Victor Makengo INIsak Jensen out
75'Nathaniel Adjei INNosa Edward Obaretin out
78'Adil BourabaaFoul
78'Isak JensenAssist: Arsène Kouassi
85'Adil Bourabaa INBilal Brahimi out

Lineups

Le Mans
3-1-4-2Coach: P. Videira
Lorient
3-4-2-1Coach: A. Dujeux
Avg rating6.87
Avg rating6.45
N. Kocik6.298N. Kocik
D. Sidibé7.019D. Sidibé
S. Yohou7.117S. Yohou
H. Voyer7.15H. Voyer
L. Bretelle7.729L. Bretelle
R. Bamba6.926R. Bamba
A. Bourabaa7.711A. Bourabaa
J. Vercruysse6.610J. Vercruysse
Y. Larouci6.776Y. Larouci
H. Diallo7.813H. Diallo
L. Mafouta6.414L. Mafouta
Y. Mvogo7.238Y. Mvogo
D. Sylla6.520D. Sylla
M. Talbi6.63M. Talbi
N. Adjei6.732N. Adjei
P. Katseris6.377P. Katseris
N. Cadiou6.28N. Cadiou
A. Avom6.662A. Avom
K. Kouassi6.343K. Kouassi
G. Bernardeau6.133G. Bernardeau
J. Makengo5.917J. Makengo
I. Baldé6.018I. Baldé

Le Mans Substitutes

23D. Traoré
16Raúl Torrente
9A. Rabillard72'for Lucas Bretelle6.6
8A. Lauray72'for Jean Vercruysse6.9
1E. Hatfout
25D. Guèye59'for Habib Diallo6.3
22L. Calodat58'for Yasser Larouci6.5
7B. Brahimi85'for Adil Bourabaa6.7
15N. Boissé

Lorient Substitutes

95S. Touré
55N. Obaretin75'for Nathaniel Adjei6.1
11T. Le Bris17'for Panos Katseris6.1
30S. Kuzmić
42M. Kone65'for Ibrahima Balde6.4
21B. Kamara
10I. Jensen75'for Jean-Victor Makengo78'7.3
2A. Georgen
19S. Faye65'for Gabin Bernardeau7.0

Match Stats

Le MansLorient
51%Ball Possession49%
1Corner Kicks3
3Yellow Cards3
11Total Shots9
7Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal6
6Shots Inside Box6
5Shots Outside Box3
1Blocked Shots1
15Fouls15
0Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves5
475Total Passes450
384Passes Accurate367
14Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

Le MansLe Mans
LorientLorient
1640Elo Rating 1740
0.68Attack 0.50
1.01Defense 2.18
14%Hit Rate 36%
8.8Shots per Game 10.5
2.2Shots on Target 1.9
2.0Corners per Game 5.3
3.2Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.81 goals

Game State Tendencies

Le MansLe Mans
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
LorientLorient
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

Le MansLe Mans
3W4D3L
13/09/2026
Le MansLens
22
D
05/09/2026
NiceLe Mans
11
D
30/08/2026
RennesLe Mans
32
L
22/08/2026
Le MansStade Brestois 29
22
D
15/08/2026
Le MansLe Havre
01
L
08/08/2026
Le MansUNFP
11
D
01/08/2026
AngersLe Mans
23
W
25/07/2026
Le MansNantes
10
W
22/07/2026
Le MansVersailles
31
W
18/07/2026
Le MansLa Roche VF
23
L
LorientLorient
5W2D3L
12/09/2026
LorientToulouse
22
D
05/09/2026
LensLorient
01
W
29/08/2026
LorientEstac Troyes
12
L
22/08/2026
NiceLorient
00
D
15/08/2026
SV ElversbergLorient
41
L
08/08/2026
AngersLorient
21
L
04/08/2026
LorientUNFP
51
W
25/07/2026
GuingampLorient
02
W
18/07/2026
LorientNantes
10
W
11/07/2026
ConcarneauLorient
12
W

Referee Profile

Geoffrey Kubler108 matches

4.05Cards per match
3.84Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
25.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Geoffrey Kubler4.05
Other referees4.08

4.05 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.08).

Cards come from 43 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ligue 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain1072122:10+1223WWWWW
2LilleLille1063114:7+721WWDDW
3Paris FCParis FC1062217:10+720WWLWL
4LyonLyon1052315:9+617LWLWL
5NiceNice1052315:12+317WWWLW
6MonacoMonaco1044213:11+216DLDLD
7RennesRennes1051421:21016LLWLW
8MarseilleMarseille950420:13+715WWWWL
9Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 291043318:12+615WWLDW
10LorientLorient104339:8+115WLDWW
11LensLens941416:13+313LWWWL
12ToulouseToulouse1034315:14+113WLDWD
13StrasbourgStrasbourg1031618:22-410LWLLL
14AuxerreAuxerre1031613:24-1110LLDWL
15Le MansLe Mans1015412:19-78DLDLL
16AngersAngers102269:19-108LLDLL
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes102267:17-108LWDLL
18Le HavreLe Havre100289:22-132LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain1022:1023
2LilleLille1014:721
3Paris FCParis FC1017:1020
4LyonLyon1015:917
5NiceNice1015:1217
6MonacoMonaco1013:1116
7RennesRennes1021:2116
8MarseilleMarseille920:1315
9Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 291018:1215
10LorientLorient109:815
11LensLens916:1313
12ToulouseToulouse1015:1413
13StrasbourgStrasbourg1018:2210
14AuxerreAuxerre1013:2410
15Le MansLe Mans1012:198
16AngersAngers109:198
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes107:178
18Le HavreLe Havre109:222
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Le Mans vs Lorient forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Le Mans and Lorient in the Ligue 1 table

In the Ligue 1 table, Lorient are 10th and Le Mans 15th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Le Mans 12-19, Lorient 9-8. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Le Mans and Lorient have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.