Auxerre vs Stade Brestois 29 Prediction

Auxerre
2-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Stade Brestois 29
Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre·Guillaume Paradis 20/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
73%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.51
SignalHIGHModel73%SurpriseMediumGap+9.5%
Auxerre Rest
7 days
Stade Brestois 29 Rest
6 days

Auxerre vs Stade Brestois 29: the result in context

Auxerre beat Stade Brestois 29 2-1 in the Ligue 1 on 20 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 6 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
31%3.10
X
28%3.50
2
41%2.30
Double Chance
1X
59%1.61
X2
69%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.57
No
42%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.23 + 1.35 = 2.58
Over 1.5
77%1.21
Over 2.5
54%1.75
Over 3.5
32%2.80
Under 1.5
23%3.98
Under 2.5
46%2.08
Under 3.5
68%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.3 + 4.7 = 9
Over 8.5
53%1.39
Over 9.5
41%1.67
Over 10.5
30%2.12
Under 8.5
47%2.67
Under 9.5
59%2.06
Under 10.5
70%1.65
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 1.7 = 3.5
Over 3.5
46%1.71
Over 4.5
27%2.48
Under 3.5
54%2.10
Under 4.5
73%1.51

Match Events

23'Pathé MboupAssist: Joris Chotard
45'Remy Labeau Lascary INRomain Faivre out
45'Arthur Piedfort INNaouirou Ahamada out
46'Cameron ArcherAssist: Danny Namaso
68'Giovani Versini INMama Baldé out
73'Christ MakossoFoul
78'Pathé Mboup INDjylian N´Guessan out
78'Gautier Lloris INLucas Tousart out
82'Kenny LalaFoul
83'Raphaël Le GuenOG
86'Fredrik Oppegard INRayan Mandengue out
86'Ludovic Ajorque INMathis Lainé out
86'Joris Chotard INJoseph Nonge out
87'Danny Namaso INPierre Ekwah out

Lineups

Auxerre
3-4-3Coach: W. Still
Stade Brestois 29
4-2-3-1Coach: Julien Lachuer
Avg rating6.56
Avg rating6.40
M. Diop6.123M. Diop
C. Makosso6.015C. Makosso
A. Tuanzebe6.44A. Tuanzebe
C. Akpa6.592C. Akpa
L. Sy6.227L. Sy
A. Piedfort6.746A. Piedfort
K. Danois6.45K. Danois
F. Oppegård6.622F. Oppegård
D. Namaso7.410D. Namaso
C. Archer7.99C. Archer
R. Labeau Lascary6.43R. Labeau Lascary
E. Selvik6.51E. Selvik
K. Lala5.570K. Lala
R. Le Guen6.371R. Le Guen
G. Lloris7.34G. Lloris
B. Locko6.92B. Locko
J. Chotard7.013J. Chotard
H. Magnetti6.68H. Magnetti
G. Versini6.210G. Versini
K. Doumbia6.223K. Doumbia
P. Mboup7.39P. Mboup
L. Ajorque6.519L. Ajorque

Auxerre Substitutes

8N. Ahamada45'for Arthur Piedfort7.1
20S. Diomandé
34L. Dioubate
17P. Ekwah87'for Danny Namaso6.3
21R. Faivre45'for Remy Labeau Lascary6.5
93Sékou Fofana
35E. Legros
32R. Mandengue86'for Fredrik Oppegard5.9
1P. Nardi

Stade Brestois 29 Substitutes

39D. N´Guessan78'for Pathé Mboup5.9
7J. Nonge Boende86'for Joris Chotard6.1
30M. Patouillet
29L. Tousart78'for Gautier Lloris6.1
20L. Zogbe
32L. C. Laine M.86'for Ludovic Ajorque5.8
21Ibrahim Yayiya Kante
18J. Bourgault
17Mama Baldé68'for Giovani Versini6.4

Match Stats

AuxerreStade Brestois 29
52%Ball Possession48%
8Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards1
11Total Shots8
4Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal6
3Shots Inside Box3
8Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots0
19Fouls13
4Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves3
413Total Passes387
335Passes Accurate307
13Free Kicks19

Team Comparison

AuxerreAuxerre
Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
1689Elo Rating 1733
1.53Attack 1.93
0.42Defense 1.90
34%Hit Rate 44%
10.7Shots per Game 12.0
4.2Shots on Target 4.8
4.3Corners per Game 2.7
2.1Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend33% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

AuxerreAuxerre
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

AuxerreAuxerre2Wins · 34%
Draws233%
Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 292Wins · 33%
2.5Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored2 of 6
50%3+ goals3 of 6

Previous meetings

Ligue 121/03/2026
AuxerreStade Brestois 29
30
Ligue 104/01/2026
Stade Brestois 29Auxerre
20
Ligue 114/02/2025
Stade Brestois 29Auxerre
22
Ligue 127/09/2024
AuxerreStade Brestois 29
30
Ligue 114/05/2023
Stade Brestois 29Auxerre
10
Ligue 102/10/2022
AuxerreStade Brestois 29
11

Recent Form

AuxerreAuxerre
4W2D4L
12/09/2026
AuxerreNice
10
W
04/09/2026
LyonAuxerre
31
L
29/08/2026
AuxerreAngers
13
L
22/08/2026
LensAuxerre
52
L
08/08/2026
AuxerreEstac Troyes
11
D
01/08/2026
SochauxAuxerre
11
D
25/07/2026
AuxerreOrleans
12
L
18/07/2026
AuxerreSt Maur Lusitanos
52
W
17/05/2026
LilleAuxerre
02
W
10/05/2026
AuxerreNice
21
W
Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
2W5D3L
13/09/2026
Stade Brestois 29Paris Saint Germain
01
L
05/09/2026
Le HavreStade Brestois 29
12
W
29/08/2026
Stade Brestois 29Toulouse
22
D
22/08/2026
Le MansStade Brestois 29
22
D
16/08/2026
Nottingham ForestStade Brestois 29
20
L
08/08/2026
Stade Brestois 29Venezia
22
D
05/08/2026
Stade BriochinStade Brestois 29
12
W
01/08/2026
Stade Brestois 29Guingamp
33
D
22/07/2026
Stade Brestois 29Al Wakrah
02
L
18/07/2026
Stade Brestois 29Concarneau
22
D

Referee Profile

Guillaume Paradis143 matches

4.24Cards per match
3.96Yellow cards per match
0.27Red cards per match
27.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Guillaume Paradis4.24
Other referees3.91

4.24 cards a match, 0.33 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.91).

Cards come from 131 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ligue 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain1072122:10+1223WWWWW
2LilleLille1063114:7+721WWDDW
3Paris FCParis FC1062217:10+720WWLWL
4MarseilleMarseille1060422:14+818WWWWW
5LyonLyon1052315:9+617LWLWL
6NiceNice1052315:12+317WWWLW
7MonacoMonaco1044213:11+216DLDLD
8RennesRennes1051421:21016LLWLW
9Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 291043318:12+615WWLDW
10LorientLorient104339:8+115WLDWW
11LensLens1041517:15+213LLWWW
12ToulouseToulouse1034315:14+113WLDWD
13StrasbourgStrasbourg1031618:22-410LWLLL
14AuxerreAuxerre1031613:24-1110LLDWL
15Le MansLe Mans1015412:19-78DLDLL
16AngersAngers102269:19-108LLDLL
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes102267:17-108LWDLL
18Le HavreLe Havre100289:22-132LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain1022:1023
2LilleLille1014:721
3Paris FCParis FC1017:1020
4MarseilleMarseille1022:1418
5LyonLyon1015:917
6NiceNice1015:1217
7MonacoMonaco1013:1116
8RennesRennes1021:2116
9Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 291018:1215
10LorientLorient109:815
11LensLens1017:1513
12ToulouseToulouse1015:1413
13StrasbourgStrasbourg1018:2210
14AuxerreAuxerre1013:2410
15Le MansLe Mans1012:198
16AngersAngers109:198
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes107:178
18Le HavreLe Havre109:222
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Auxerre vs Stade Brestois 29 forecast

The forecasts for this Ligue 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Auxerre and Stade Brestois 29 in the Ligue 1 table

In the Ligue 1 table, Stade Brestois 29 are 9th and Auxerre 14th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Auxerre 13-24, Stade Brestois 29 18-12. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Stade Brestois 29 have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.