Nice vs Strasbourg Prediction

Nice
2-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Strasbourg
Allianz Riviera, Nice·Jeremie Pignard 11/10/2026
NiceNice
2-1
Finished
StrasbourgStrasbourg

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
63%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.60
SignalNEUTRALModel44%SurpriseMediumGap+0.2%
Value Analysis
73%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.52
SignalHIGHModel73%SurpriseMediumGap+9.6%
Nice Rest
20 days
Strasbourg Rest
21 days

Nice vs Strasbourg: result, form and history

Nice beat Strasbourg 2-1 in the Ligue 1 on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. Referee Jeremie Pignard averages 4.43 cards a game, 0.51 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.31
X
26%3.67
2
36%2.90
Double Chance
1X
64%1.40
X2
62%1.60
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.48
No
37%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.36 + 1.56 = 2.92
Over 1.5
80%1.16
Over 2.5
61%1.60
Over 3.5
39%2.44
Under 1.5
20%4.60
Under 2.5
39%2.38
Under 3.5
61%1.53
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.8 = 10.1
Over 8.5
62%1.51
Over 9.5
55%1.89
Over 10.5
46%2.39
Under 8.5
38%2.42
Under 9.5
45%1.91
Under 10.5
54%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 1.7 = 3.5
Over 3.5
45%1.78
Over 4.5
27%2.46
Under 3.5
55%1.97
Under 4.5
73%1.52

Match Events

37'Djibril Coulibaly INHicham Boudaoui out
41'Dario EssugoAssist: Conrad Harder
45+2'Pape Demba DiopOG
47'Joaquín Martínez GaunaFoul
63'Conrad Harder INJacobo Ortega out
63'Diogo Sousa INGiovanni Reyna out
73'Sepe Elye Wahi INSofiane Diop out
73'Samuel Amo-Ameyaw INFábio Baldé out
73'Dario Essugo INSamir El-Mourabet out
75'Sofiane DiopFoul
76'Jeyland Mitchell INLucas Høgsberg out
81'Jonathan ClaussAssist: Sofiane Diop
86'Gauthier Hein INIsak Jansson out
86'Axel Witsel INEverton Pereira out

Lineups

Nice
3-4-2-1Coach: O. Pantaloni
Strasbourg
4-3-3Coach: Hugo Oliveira
Avg rating6.61
Avg rating6.52
Y. Diouf6.823Y. Diouf
Mohamed Abdelmonem6.95M. Abdelmonem
Y. Ndayishimiye7.055Y. Ndayishimiye
X. Mandza Tsiendi6.635X. Mandza Tsiendi
J. Clauss8.292J. Clauss
D. Coulibaly6.339D. Coulibaly
A. Witsel6.528A. Witsel
N. Nkounkou6.127N. Nkounkou
G. Hein6.77G. Hein
M. Amoura6.49M. Amoura
E. Wahi6.111E. Wahi
F. Jörgensen6.71F. Jörgensen
G. Antwi7.016G. Antwi
J. Mitchell6.74J. Mitchell
Abdoul Karim Coulibaly6.631A. Karim Coulibaly
Oso6.336Oso
Diogo Sousa6.423D. Sousa
P. Diop6.421P. Diop
Dário Essugo8.014D. Essugo
S. Amo-Ameyaw5.87S. Amo-Ameyaw
C. Harder6.940C. Harder
Gessime Yassine6.580G. Yassine

Nice Substitutes

77T. Boulhendi
6H. Boudaoui37'for Djibril Coulibaly6.7
10S. Diop73'for Sepe Elye Wahi75'6.2
38A. Camara
21I. Jansson86'for Gauthier Hein6.5
84H. Koutoune
41D. Morana
87E. Pereira86'for Axel Witsel6.3
36A. Seidu

Strasbourg Substitutes

10G. Reyna63'for Diogo Sousa6.6
19Fabio Amadu Uri Baldé73'for Samuel Amo-Ameyaw6.2
43Y. Becker
35Yaya Dieme
29S. El Mourabet73'for Dario Essugo6.0
24L. Høgsberg76'for Jeyland Mitchell6.2
28Tyrese Noubissie
30J. Ortega63'for Conrad Harder5.9
12M. Piekutowski

Match Stats

NiceStrasbourg
46%Ball Possession54%
2Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards1
11Total Shots11
6Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal5
10Shots Inside Box4
1Shots Outside Box7
0Blocked Shots3
3Fouls8
5Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves4
454Total Passes542
397Passes Accurate489
87%Pass Accuracy90%

Team Comparison

NiceNice
StrasbourgStrasbourg
1702Elo Rating 1762
1.26Attack 1.70
1.73Defense 0.90
42%Hit Rate 14%
10.8Shots per Game 12.9
4.4Shots on Target 5.1
5.5Corners per Game 1.8
2.3Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.93 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

NiceNice
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
StrasbourgStrasbourg
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

NiceNice4Wins · 40%
Draws440%
StrasbourgStrasbourg2Wins · 20%
2.5Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Coupe de France22/04/2026
StrasbourgNice
02
Ligue 104/04/2026
StrasbourgNice
31
Ligue 103/01/2026
NiceStrasbourg
11
Ligue 112/04/2025
StrasbourgNice
22
Ligue 124/11/2024
NiceStrasbourg
21
Ligue 128/04/2024
StrasbourgNice
13
Ligue 103/09/2023
NiceStrasbourg
20
Ligue 113/05/2023
StrasbourgNice
20
Ligue 114/08/2022
NiceStrasbourg
11
Ligue 126/02/2022
StrasbourgNice
00

Recent Form

NiceNice
3W4D3L
20/09/2026
NiceLille
21
W
12/09/2026
AuxerreNice
10
L
05/09/2026
NiceLe Mans
11
D
30/08/2026
Paris FCNice
30
L
22/08/2026
NiceLorient
00
D
15/08/2026
Hull CityNice
00
D
08/08/2026
CagliariNice
0000
D
31/07/2026
JuventusNice
20
L
18/07/2026
NiceNimes
40
W
29/05/2026
NiceSaint Etienne
41
W
StrasbourgStrasbourg
3W1D6L
19/09/2026
Paris FCStrasbourg
21
L
12/09/2026
StrasbourgMonaco
11
D
06/09/2026
Estac TroyesStrasbourg
26
W
29/08/2026
StrasbourgLens
21
W
21/08/2026
MarseilleStrasbourg
40
L
16/08/2026
NewcastleStrasbourg
2131
W
08/08/2026
SC FreiburgStrasbourg
20
L
04/08/2026
StrasbourgSV Elversberg
25
L
01/08/2026
BrightonStrasbourg
43
L
25/07/2026
StrasbourgBlackburn
02
L

Referee Profile

Jeremie Pignard161 matches

4.44Cards per match
4.16Yellow cards per match
0.28Red cards per match
22.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jeremie Pignard4.43
Other referees3.92

4.43 cards a match, 0.51 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.92).

Cards come from 152 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ligue 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LyonLyon742113:5+814WLWDW
2Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain742114:9+514WWWWL
3Paris FCParis FC742112:7+514WLWDW
4LilleLille742110:5+514DWLWW
5MonacoMonaco742110:6+414LDWDW
6RennesRennes741215:14+113LWLWW
7LorientLorient73227:6+111WWLDW
8LensLens731314:11+310WWLDL
9MarseilleMarseille730414:10+49WWLLL
10Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29723213:10+39DWLLW
11ToulouseToulouse723212:11+19WDWDL
12AuxerreAuxerre730411:17-69WLWWL
13NiceNice72236:9-38LWWLD
14StrasbourgStrasbourg721412:15-37LLLDW
15AngersAngers72149:15-67LLWDL
16Le MansLe Mans713310:15-56LLWDD
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes71155:16-114LLLLL
18Le HavreLe Havre70255:11-62LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1LyonLyon713:514
2Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain714:914
3Paris FCParis FC712:714
4LilleLille710:514
5MonacoMonaco710:614
6RennesRennes715:1413
7LorientLorient77:611
8LensLens714:1110
9MarseilleMarseille714:109
10Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29713:109
11ToulouseToulouse712:119
12AuxerreAuxerre711:179
13NiceNice76:98
14StrasbourgStrasbourg712:157
15AngersAngers79:157
16Le MansLe Mans710:156
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes75:164
18Le HavreLe Havre75:112
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Nice vs Strasbourg forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Nice and Strasbourg in the Ligue 1 table

Nice and Strasbourg are close in the Ligue 1 table, 13th and 14th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Nice 6-9, Strasbourg 12-15. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.