Paris FC vs Strasbourg Prediction

Paris FC
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Strasbourg
Stade Jean Bouin, Isilemulino·Jeremy Stinat 19/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
73%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.40
SignalHIGHModel73%SurpriseMediumGap+3.5%
Paris FC Rest
6 days
Strasbourg Rest
7 days

Paris FC vs Strasbourg: result, form and history

Paris FC beat Strasbourg 2-1 in the Ligue 1 on 19 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%1.86
X
30%3.86
2
24%3.90
Double Chance
1X
76%1.25
X2
54%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.53
No
43%2.38
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.5 + 1.27 = 2.77
Over 1.5
75%1.16
Over 2.5
56%1.60
Over 3.5
35%2.38
Under 1.5
25%4.72
Under 2.5
44%2.38
Under 3.5
65%1.53
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4.2 = 9.2
Over 8.5
51%1.70
Over 9.5
43%2.15
Over 10.5
31%2.83
Under 8.5
49%2.04
Under 9.5
57%1.64
Under 10.5
69%1.33
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.9 = 3.5
Over 3.5
46%1.85
Over 4.5
27%2.88
Under 3.5
54%1.83
Under 4.5
73%1.40

Match Events

18'Ilan KebbalAssist: Lassine Sinayoko
40'Maxime LópezFoul
54'Hamari Traore INThibault De Smet out
57'Pablo PagisAssist: Maxime López
58'Jacobo Ortega INConrad Harder out
63'Diogo SousaFoul
67'Gessime YassineFoul
67'Giovanni Reyna INDario Essugo out
67'Samir El-Mourabet INPape Demba Diop out
67'Sebastian Nanasi INSamuel Amo-Ameyaw out
68'Pablo Pagis INJonathan Ikoné out
68'Ilan Kebbal INRudy Matondo out
86'Maxime López INVincent Marchetti out
87'Lassine Sinayoko INPatrick Zabi out
87'Gessime Yassine INYaya Dieme out
88'Moustapha MbowOG
90'Thibault De SmetTime wasting
90+4'Luca KoleoshoFoul

Lineups

Paris FC
4-2-3-1Coach: L. Rosenior
Strasbourg
4-2-3-1Coach: Hugo Oliveira
Avg rating6.92
Avg rating6.33
K. Trapp6.41K. Trapp
A. Camara6.817A. Camara
M. Mbow6.25M. Mbow
D. Coppola7.142D. Coppola
H. Traoré7.114H. Traoré
P. Lees-Melou7.233P. Lees-Melou
M. Lopez7.620M. Lopez
I. Kebbal8.210I. Kebbal
P. Pagis7.77P. Pagis
L. Koleosho6.115L. Koleosho
L. Sinayoko7.79L. Sinayoko
F. Jörgensen7.31F. Jörgensen
G. Antwi6.716G. Antwi
J. Mitchell6.44J. Mitchell
I. Doukouré6.66I. Doukouré
Oso6.736Oso
S. El Mourabet6.329S. El Mourabet
Diogo Sousa6.223D. Sousa
Gessime Yassine6.080G. Yassine
G. Reyna6.010G. Reyna
S. Nanasi6.411S. Nanasi
J. Ortega6.230J. Ortega

Paris FC Substitutes

8E. Zabi87'for Lassine Sinayoko6.4
28T. De Smet54'for Hamari Traore90'6.7
93J. Ikoné68'for Pablo Pagis6.5
11J. Krasso
4V. Marchetti86'for Maxime López6.5
16O. Nkambadio
23R. Matondo68'for Ilan Kebbal6.6
27M. Simon
25Y. Koré

Strasbourg Substitutes

12M. Piekutowski
28Tyrese Noubissie
24L. Høgsberg
40C. Harder58'for Jacobo Ortega5.9
35Yaya Dieme87'replaced by Gessime Yassine
21P. Diop67'for Samir El-Mourabet6.6
31Abdoul Karim Coulibaly
14Dário Essugo67'for Giovanni Reyna5.7
7S. Amo-Ameyaw67'for Sebastian Nanasi6.1

Match Stats

Paris FCStrasbourg
52%Ball Possession48%
3Corner Kicks0
3Yellow Cards2
17Total Shots5
7Shots on Goal1
4Shots off Goal3
12Shots Inside Box4
5Shots Outside Box1
6Blocked Shots1
17Fouls12
1Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves5
559Total Passes534
501Passes Accurate467
11Free Kicks17

Team Comparison

Paris FCParis FC
StrasbourgStrasbourg
1819Elo Rating 1744
2.10Attack 1.72
1.38Defense 0.60
61%Hit Rate 23%
14.9Shots per Game 13.5
6.2Shots on Target 5.0
3.5Corners per Game 3.3
3.1Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

Paris FCParis FC
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.8 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
StrasbourgStrasbourg
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Paris FCParis FC0Wins · 0%
Draws150%
StrasbourgStrasbourg1Wins · 50%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Ligue 115/03/2026
StrasbourgParis FC
00
Ligue 121/09/2025
Paris FCStrasbourg
23

Recent Form

Paris FCParis FC
5W2D3L
12/09/2026
Paris FCLyon
00
D
06/09/2026
MarseilleParis FC
23
W
30/08/2026
Paris FCNice
30
W
22/08/2026
Estac TroyesParis FC
00
D
15/08/2026
AngersParis FC
32
L
01/08/2026
VfB StuttgartParis FC
21
L
18/07/2026
Paris FCReims
10
W
17/05/2026
Paris FCParis Saint Germain
21
W
10/05/2026
RennesParis FC
21
L
03/05/2026
Paris FCStade Brestois 29
40
W
StrasbourgStrasbourg
3W1D6L
12/09/2026
StrasbourgMonaco
11
D
06/09/2026
Estac TroyesStrasbourg
26
W
29/08/2026
StrasbourgLens
21
W
21/08/2026
MarseilleStrasbourg
40
L
16/08/2026
NewcastleStrasbourg
2131
W
08/08/2026
SC FreiburgStrasbourg
20
L
04/08/2026
StrasbourgSV Elversberg
25
L
01/08/2026
BrightonStrasbourg
43
L
25/07/2026
StrasbourgBlackburn
02
L
20/07/2026
Sporting CPStrasbourg
70
L

Referee Profile

Jeremy Stinat150 matches

3.95Cards per match
3.73Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
24.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jeremy Stinat3.95
Other referees3.90

3.95 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.90).

Cards come from 146 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ligue 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain1072122:10+1223WWWWW
2LilleLille1063114:7+721WWDDW
3Paris FCParis FC1062217:10+720WWLWL
4MarseilleMarseille1060422:14+818WWWWW
5LyonLyon1052315:9+617LWLWL
6NiceNice1052315:12+317WWWLW
7MonacoMonaco1044213:11+216DLDLD
8RennesRennes1051421:21016LLWLW
9Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 291043318:12+615WWLDW
10LorientLorient104339:8+115WLDWW
11LensLens1041517:15+213LLWWW
12ToulouseToulouse1034315:14+113WLDWD
13StrasbourgStrasbourg1031618:22-410LWLLL
14AuxerreAuxerre1031613:24-1110LLDWL
15Le MansLe Mans1015412:19-78DLDLL
16AngersAngers102269:19-108LLDLL
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes102267:17-108LWDLL
18Le HavreLe Havre100289:22-132LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain1022:1023
2LilleLille1014:721
3Paris FCParis FC1017:1020
4MarseilleMarseille1022:1418
5LyonLyon1015:917
6NiceNice1015:1217
7MonacoMonaco1013:1116
8RennesRennes1021:2116
9Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 291018:1215
10LorientLorient109:815
11LensLens1017:1513
12ToulouseToulouse1015:1413
13StrasbourgStrasbourg1018:2210
14AuxerreAuxerre1013:2410
15Le MansLe Mans1012:198
16AngersAngers109:198
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes107:178
18Le HavreLe Havre109:222
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Paris FC vs Strasbourg forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Paris FC and Strasbourg in the Ligue 1 table

In the Ligue 1 table, Paris FC are 3rd and Strasbourg 13th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Paris FC 17-10, Strasbourg 18-22. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Paris FC have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Paris FC and Strasbourg have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.