Le Mans vs Lens Prediction

Le Mans
2-2
Finished
HT 2-1
Lens
MMArena, Le Mans·Hakim Ben el Hadj 13/09/2026
Le MansLe Mans
2-2
Finished
LensLens

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.67
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap+11.7%
Le Mans Rest
7 days
Lens Rest
2 days

Le Mans vs Lens: result, form and history

Le Mans and Lens drew 2-2 in the Ligue 1 on 13 Sep 2026. Lens had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against none for Le Mans.

Lens tend to win more corners, 4.4 a game to 2.0 for Le Mans.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
20%4.95
X
22%4.15
2
58%1.65
Double Chance
1X
43%2.20
X2
80%1.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.60
No
48%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.05 + 1.62 = 2.67
Over 1.5
74%1.16
Over 2.5
57%1.59
Over 3.5
29%2.38
Under 1.5
26%4.75
Under 2.5
43%2.38
Under 3.5
71%1.55
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.3 + 5.1 = 9.4
Over 8.5
61%1.40
Over 9.5
52%1.75
Over 10.5
38%2.13
Under 8.5
39%2.65
Under 9.5
48%2.02
Under 10.5
62%1.67
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 1.8 = 3.6
Over 3.5
47%1.62
Over 4.5
28%2.11
Under 3.5
53%2.23
Under 4.5
72%1.67

Match Events

15'Noa BoisséFoul
20'Michaël CuisanceFoul
28'Jean VercruysseFoul
32'Adil Bourabaa
38'Andrija BulatovićFoul
44'Lucas CalodatAssist: Adil Bourabaa
45'Michaël Cuisance INAmadou Haidara out
45'Noa Boissé INDjibril Sidibé out
45'Odsonne Édouard INFranjo Ivanovic out
45'Michał Skóraś INMezian Soares Mesloub out
45+2'Abdallah Sima
51'Franjo IvanovicAssist: Ruben Aguilar
53'Florian ThauvinFoul
55'Jonathan Gradit INJean-Clair Todibo out
65'Lucas Bretelle INAlexandre Lauray out
65'Jean Vercruysse INDaouda Traore out
65'Dame Gueye INHabib Diallo out
76'Abdallah Sima INThorgan Hazard out
77'Samuel Yohou INRaul Torrente Navarro out
78'Penalty cancelledThorgan Hazard

Lineups

Le Mans
3-1-4-2Coach: P. Videira
Lens
3-4-2-1Coach: D. Toppmöller
Avg rating6.64
Avg rating6.58
E. Hatfout6.91E. Hatfout
N. Boissé6.115N. Boissé
S. Yohou7.017S. Yohou
H. Voyer6.65H. Voyer
L. Bretelle6.329L. Bretelle
R. Bamba6.726R. Bamba
A. Bourabaa8.011A. Bourabaa
J. Vercruysse6.410J. Vercruysse
L. Calodat7.822L. Calodat
L. Mafouta6.514L. Mafouta
D. Guèye6.325D. Guèye
R. Risser6.540R. Risser
J. Gradit6.424J. Gradit
K. Antonio6.632K. Antonio
M. Udol6.014M. Udol
R. Aguilar7.72R. Aguilar
M. Cuisance5.727M. Cuisance
A. Bulatović6.95A. Bulatović
M. Skóraś6.122M. Skóraś
A. Sima7.319A. Sima
F. Thauvin6.010F. Thauvin
O. Édouard6.911O. Édouard

Le Mans Substitutes

7B. Brahimi
13H. Diallo65'for Dame Gueye6.8
98N. Kocik
76Y. Larouci
8A. Lauray65'for Lucas Bretelle6.1
9A. Rabillard
19D. Sidibé45'for Noa Boissé6.6
16Raúl Torrente77'for Samuel Yohou6.3
23D. Traoré65'for Jean Vercruysse6.0

Lens Substitutes

4N. Čelik
16M. Gorgelin
21A. Haidara45'for Michaël Cuisance6.2
9T. Hazard76'for Abdallah Sima6.1
29F. Ivanović45'for Odsonne Édouard51'8.1
28J. Kadile
38Mezian Mesloub45'for Michał Skóraś6.2
7F. Sotoca
20J. Todibo55'for Jonathan Gradit6.5

Match Stats

Le MansLens
53%Ball Possession47%
3Corner Kicks9
2Yellow Cards3
13Total Shots16
5Shots on Goal6
5Shots off Goal6
11Shots Inside Box12
2Shots Outside Box4
3Blocked Shots4
17Fouls11
1Offsides3
4Goalkeeper Saves3
484Total Passes432
409Passes Accurate363
85%Pass Accuracy84%

Team Comparison

Le MansLe Mans
LensLens
1640Elo Rating 1800
0.68Attack 1.08
1.01Defense 0.00
14%Hit Rate 34%
8.8Shots per Game 10.8
2.2Shots on Target 3.7
2.0Corners per Game 4.4
3.2Cards per Game 2.0

Game State Tendencies

Le MansLe Mans
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
LensLens
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

Le MansLe Mans
4W3D3L
05/09/2026
NiceLe Mans
11
D
30/08/2026
RennesLe Mans
32
L
22/08/2026
Le MansStade Brestois 29
22
D
15/08/2026
Le MansLe Havre
01
L
08/08/2026
Le MansUNFP
11
D
01/08/2026
AngersLe Mans
23
W
25/07/2026
Le MansNantes
10
W
22/07/2026
Le MansVersailles
31
W
18/07/2026
Le MansLa Roche VF
23
L
09/05/2026
BastiaLe Mans
02
W
LensLens
6W1D3L
10/09/2026
Slavia PrahaLens
23
W
05/09/2026
LensLorient
01
L
29/08/2026
StrasbourgLens
21
L
22/08/2026
LensAuxerre
52
W
16/08/2026
LensParis Saint Germain
10
W
08/08/2026
LensSunderland
02
L
01/08/2026
LensVillarreal
31
W
25/07/2026
LensCharleroi
22
D
18/07/2026
LensBoulogne
41
W
22/05/2026
LensNice
31
W

Referee Profile

Hakim Ben el Hadj125 matches

3.85Cards per match
3.73Yellow cards per match
0.12Red cards per match
25.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Hakim Ben el Hadj3.87
Other referees3.92

3.87 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.92).

Cards come from 122 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ligue 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain1072122:10+1223WWWWW
2LilleLille1063114:7+721WWDDW
3Paris FCParis FC1062217:10+720WWLWL
4MarseilleMarseille1060422:14+818WWWWW
5LyonLyon1052315:9+617LWLWL
6NiceNice1052315:12+317WWWLW
7MonacoMonaco1044213:11+216DLDLD
8RennesRennes1051421:21016LLWLW
9Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 291043318:12+615WWLDW
10LorientLorient104339:8+115WLDWW
11LensLens1041517:15+213LLWWW
12ToulouseToulouse1034315:14+113WLDWD
13StrasbourgStrasbourg1031618:22-410LWLLL
14AuxerreAuxerre1031613:24-1110LLDWL
15Le MansLe Mans1015412:19-78DLDLL
16AngersAngers102269:19-108LLDLL
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes102267:17-108LWDLL
18Le HavreLe Havre100289:22-132LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain1022:1023
2LilleLille1014:721
3Paris FCParis FC1017:1020
4MarseilleMarseille1022:1418
5LyonLyon1015:917
6NiceNice1015:1217
7MonacoMonaco1013:1116
8RennesRennes1021:2116
9Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 291018:1215
10LorientLorient109:815
11LensLens1017:1513
12ToulouseToulouse1015:1413
13StrasbourgStrasbourg1018:2210
14AuxerreAuxerre1013:2410
15Le MansLe Mans1012:198
16AngersAngers109:198
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes107:178
18Le HavreLe Havre109:222
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Le Mans vs Lens forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Le Mans and Lens in the Ligue 1 table

In the Ligue 1 table, Lens are 11th and Le Mans 15th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Le Mans 12-19, Lens 17-15. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Le Mans and Lens have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.