Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction

Stade Francis-Le-Blé, Brest·Willy Delajod 13/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
52%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams NOT to Score
2.00
SignalNEUTRALModel52%SurpriseMediumGap+4.5%
Stade Brestois 29 Rest
8 days
Paris Saint Germain Rest
3 days

Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris Saint Germain: result, form and history

Paris Saint Germain beat Stade Brestois 29 1-0 in the Ligue 1 on 13 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Paris Saint Germain have had the better of this fixture, winning 9 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 4.1 goals a game. Paris Saint Germain tend to win more corners, 5.4 a game to 2.7 for Stade Brestois 29.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
15%10.41
X
21%6.50
2
64%1.25
Double Chance
1X
36%3.95
X2
85%1.05
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.75
No
52%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.97 + 1.66 = 2.63
Over 1.5
73%1.10
Over 2.5
48%1.36
Over 3.5
26%1.97
Under 1.5
27%6.50
Under 2.5
52%2.98
Under 3.5
74%1.87
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.7 + 4.8 = 8.5
Over 8.5
46%1.44
Over 9.5
35%1.75
Over 10.5
26%2.25
Under 8.5
54%2.51
Under 9.5
65%1.97
Under 10.5
74%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.9 = 3.5
Over 3.5
46%3.08
Over 4.5
28%4.50
Under 3.5
54%1.35
Under 4.5
72%1.18

Match Events

5'Ferrán TorresAssist: Ousmane Dembélé
30'Kamory DoumbiaFoul
39'Achraf Hakimi INFabián Ruiz out
66'Ousmane Dembélé INMaghnes Akliouche out
66'Khvicha Kvaratskhelia INDésiré Doue out
66'Giovani Versini INJoseph Nonge out
77'Warren Zaire-Emery INDro Fernández out
77'Ferrán Torres INMika Godts out
78'Joris Chotard INLucas Tousart out
78'Kamory Doumbia INDjylian N´Guessan out
84'VitinhaTime wasting
87'Dro FernándezFoul
88'Bradley Locko INJustin Bourgault out

Lineups

Stade Brestois 29
4-2-3-1Coach: Julien Lachuer
Paris Saint Germain
4-3-3Coach: Luis Enrique
Avg rating6.56
Avg rating7.20
E. Selvik7.71E. Selvik
K. Lala6.270K. Lala
R. Le Guen6.771R. Le Guen
G. Lloris6.74G. Lloris
B. Locko7.42B. Locko
J. Chotard6.613J. Chotard
H. Magnetti7.08H. Magnetti
G. Versini6.510G. Versini
K. Doumbia5.923K. Doumbia
P. Mboup6.09P. Mboup
L. Ajorque6.919L. Ajorque
M. Safonov8.539M. Safonov
A. Hakimi7.72A. Hakimi
Marquinhos7.05Marquinhos
W. Pacho7.751W. Pacho
Nuno Mendes7.325N. Mendes
W. Zaïre-Emery6.733W. Zaïre-Emery
Vitinha6.917Vitinha
João Neves7.187J. Neves
O. Dembélé7.610O. Dembélé
Ferran Torres8.09F. Torres
K. Kvaratskhelia6.67K. Kvaratskhelia

Stade Brestois 29 Substitutes

20L. Zogbe
29L. Tousart78'for Joris Chotard6.3
30M. Patouillet
7J. Nonge Boende66'for Giovani Versini6.2
39D. N´Guessan78'for Kamory Doumbia6.3
33Enzo Monchatre
32L. C. Laine M.
21Ibrahim Yayiya Kante
18J. Bourgault88'for Bradley Locko6.1

Paris Saint Germain Substitutes

12L. Digne
30L. Chevalier
11M. Akliouche66'for Ousmane Dembélé7.2
14D. Doué66'for Khvicha Kvaratskhelia6.5
27Pedro Fernández77'for Warren Zaire-Emery87'6.6
22M. Godts77'for Ferrán Torres6.5
21L. Hernández
4Beraldo
8Fabián Ruiz39'for Achraf Hakimi7.2

Match Stats

Stade Brestois 29Paris Saint Germain
41%Ball Possession59%
3Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards2
16Total Shots15
5Shots on Goal7
7Shots off Goal4
8Shots Inside Box9
8Shots Outside Box6
4Blocked Shots4
13Fouls7
3Offsides1
6Goalkeeper Saves6
428Total Passes650
357Passes Accurate576
83%Pass Accuracy89%

Team Comparison

Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
1733Elo Rating 2073
1.93Attack 4.24
1.90Defense 2.30
44%Hit Rate 100%
12.0Shots per Game 18.9
4.8Shots on Target 10.8
2.7Corners per Game 5.4
1.7Cards per Game 0.4

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.5 vs 1.7 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 290Wins · 0%
Draws110%
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain9Wins · 90%
4.1Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
90%3+ goals9 of 10

Previous meetings

Ligue 110/05/2026
Paris Saint GermainStade Brestois 29
10
Ligue 125/10/2025
Stade Brestois 29Paris Saint Germain
03
UEFA Champions League19/02/2025
Paris Saint GermainStade Brestois 29
70
UEFA Champions League11/02/2025
Stade Brestois 29Paris Saint Germain
03
Ligue 101/02/2025
Stade Brestois 29Paris Saint Germain
25
Ligue 114/09/2024
Paris Saint GermainStade Brestois 29
31
Coupe de France07/02/2024
Paris Saint GermainStade Brestois 29
31
Ligue 128/01/2024
Paris Saint GermainStade Brestois 29
22
Ligue 129/10/2023
Stade Brestois 29Paris Saint Germain
23
Ligue 111/03/2023
Stade Brestois 29Paris Saint Germain
12

Recent Form

Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
2W6D2L
05/09/2026
Le HavreStade Brestois 29
12
W
29/08/2026
Stade Brestois 29Toulouse
22
D
22/08/2026
Le MansStade Brestois 29
22
D
16/08/2026
Nottingham ForestStade Brestois 29
20
L
08/08/2026
Stade Brestois 29Venezia
22
D
05/08/2026
Stade BriochinStade Brestois 29
12
W
01/08/2026
Stade Brestois 29Guingamp
33
D
22/07/2026
Stade Brestois 29Al Wakrah
02
L
18/07/2026
Stade Brestois 29Concarneau
22
D
17/05/2026
Stade Brestois 29Angers
11
D
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
3W3D4L
09/09/2026
Paris Saint GermainSlovan Bratislava
61
W
04/09/2026
Paris Saint GermainMonaco
12
L
28/08/2026
LilleParis Saint Germain
22
D
23/08/2026
RennesParis Saint Germain
22
D
16/08/2026
LensParis Saint Germain
10
L
12/08/2026
Paris Saint GermainAston Villa
21
W
08/08/2026
Paris Saint GermainManchester United
11
D
05/08/2026
MallorcaParis Saint Germain
30
L
30/05/2026
Paris Saint GermainArsenal
4131
W
17/05/2026
Paris FCParis Saint Germain
21
L

Referee Profile

Willy Delajod175 matches

3.93Cards per match
3.64Yellow cards per match
0.29Red cards per match
24.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Willy Delajod3.93
Other referees3.99

3.93 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.99).

Cards come from 168 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ligue 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain1072122:10+1223WWWWW
2LilleLille1063114:7+721WWDDW
3Paris FCParis FC1062217:10+720WWLWL
4MarseilleMarseille1060422:14+818WWWWW
5LyonLyon1052315:9+617LWLWL
6NiceNice1052315:12+317WWWLW
7MonacoMonaco1044213:11+216DLDLD
8RennesRennes1051421:21016LLWLW
9Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 291043318:12+615WWLDW
10LorientLorient104339:8+115WLDWW
11LensLens1041517:15+213LLWWW
12ToulouseToulouse1034315:14+113WLDWD
13StrasbourgStrasbourg1031618:22-410LWLLL
14AuxerreAuxerre1031613:24-1110LLDWL
15Le MansLe Mans1015412:19-78DLDLL
16AngersAngers102269:19-108LLDLL
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes102267:17-108LWDLL
18Le HavreLe Havre100289:22-132LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain1022:1023
2LilleLille1014:721
3Paris FCParis FC1017:1020
4MarseilleMarseille1022:1418
5LyonLyon1015:917
6NiceNice1015:1217
7MonacoMonaco1013:1116
8RennesRennes1021:2116
9Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 291018:1215
10LorientLorient109:815
11LensLens1017:1513
12ToulouseToulouse1015:1413
13StrasbourgStrasbourg1018:2210
14AuxerreAuxerre1013:2410
15Le MansLe Mans1012:198
16AngersAngers109:198
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes107:178
18Le HavreLe Havre109:222
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris Saint Germain forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Stade Brestois 29 and Paris Saint Germain in the Ligue 1 table

In the Ligue 1 table, Paris Saint Germain are 1st and Stade Brestois 29 9th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Stade Brestois 29 18-12, Paris Saint Germain 22-10. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Stade Brestois 29 have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Paris Saint Germain have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.