Alaves vs Valencia Prediction

Alaves
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Valencia
Estadio de Mendizorroza, Victoria-Gasteiz 15/09/2026
AlavesAlaves
0-1
Finished
ValenciaValencia

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.67
SignalSTRONGModel69%RiskMediumGap+10.9%
Alaves Rest
3 days
Valencia Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
54%1.70
X
25%3.60
2
21%5.70
Double Chance
1X
79%1.16
X2
47%2.13
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.95
No
52%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.58 + 1 = 2.58
Over 1.5
73%1.33
Over 2.5
44%2.10
Over 3.5
21%3.56
Under 1.5
27%3.20
Under 2.5
56%1.76
Under 3.5
79%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4 = 9.5
Over 8.5
61%1.50
Over 9.5
52%1.84
Over 10.5
38%2.35
Under 8.5
39%2.45
Under 9.5
48%1.90
Under 10.5
62%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2 = 3.8
Over 3.5
53%1.55
Over 4.5
33%2.04
Under 3.5
47%2.38
Under 4.5
67%1.72

Match Events

18'Goal cancelledArnaut Danjuma
21'Javi GuerraArgument
21'Antonio BlancoArgument
45+2'José Luis García VayáFoul
52'Aaron MayolFoul
61'Guido RodríguezFoul
63'Hugo Duro INLuis Rioja out
67'Toni Martínez INMariano Díaz out
67'Denis Suárez INYoussef Enriquez out
70'Guido Rodríguez INDavid Otorbi Ejededawe out
78'Luis RiojaAssist: Javi Guerra
82'Luis Rioja INJesús Vázquez out
82'Justin De Haas INIker Córdoba out
82'Pablo Maffeo INArnau Martínez López out
85'Angel Pérez Hidalgo INCarles Aleñá out
85'Antonio Blanco INAnder Guevara out
85'Abderrahmane Rebbach INMiguel Rodríguez out

Lineups

Alaves
3-5-2Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores
Valencia
4-2-3-1Coach: Óscar Sánchez
Sivera1SiveraSivera
N. Tenaglia14N. TenagliaN. Tenaglia
V. Koski16V. KoskiV. Koski
N. Valentini2N. ValentiniN. Valentini
Angel Pérez7A. PérezAngel Pérez
Pablo Ibáñez19P. IbáñezPablo Ibáñez
Antonio Blanco8A. BlancoAntonio Blanco
Denis Suárez4D. SuárezDenis Suárez
A. Rebbach21A. RebbachA. Rebbach
Toni Martínez11T. MartínezToni Martínez
L. Boyé15L. BoyéL. Boyé
S. Dimitrievski1S. DimitrievskiS. Dimitrievski
Pablo Maffeo24P. MaffeoPablo Maffeo
Pepelu18PepeluPepelu
J. de Haas12J. de HaasJ. de Haas
José Gayà14J. GayàJosé Gayà
Aaron Mayol33A. MayolAaron Mayol
G. Rodríguez2G. RodríguezG. Rodríguez
F. Ugrinic23F. UgrinicF. Ugrinic
Javi Guerra8J. GuerraJavi Guerra
A. Danjuma7A. DanjumaA. Danjuma
Hugo Duro9H. DuroHugo Duro

Alaves Substitutes

23C. BenavídezM
10Carles AleñáM
17JonnyD
24Selu DialloM
9M. DíazF
3YusiD
6GuevaraM
29Izei HernándezF
12Hugo NovoaF
27X. OlaizD
13A. GiménezG
22Miguel RodríguezF

Valencia Substitutes

21Jesús VázquezD
39R. SatoM
11Luis RiojaF
19Dani RabaF
29Alex PanachD
27David OtorbiF
22Arnau MartínezD
10H. ElliottM
15A. DiengM
36Iker CórdobaD
37Aimar BlázquezF
25K. van OevelenG

Match Stats

AlavesValencia
43%Ball Possession57%
2Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards4
15Total Shots10
3Shots on Goal3
8Shots off Goal2
11Shots Inside Box5
4Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots5
7Fouls14
3Offsides4
2Goalkeeper Saves3
344Total Passes475
272Passes Accurate389
14Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

AlavesAlaves
ValenciaValencia
1786Elo Rating 1729
2.20Attack 0.19
1.84Defense 0.83
56%Hit Rate 0%
13.8Shots per Game 7.1
5.8Shots on Target 1.7
5.4Corners per Game 3.6
2.5Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

AlavesAlaves
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
ValenciaValencia
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

League Table

La Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BarcelonaBarcelona550021:4+1715WWWWW
2Real MadridReal Madrid650117:6+1115WWLWW
3Real BetisReal Betis54017:6+112WWLWW
4AlavesAlaves631211:6+510LLWWD
5Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid531110:6+410WLWDW
6SevillaSevilla53118:6+210WDLWW
7Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna52309:6+39DWWDD
8EspanyolEspanyol62139:7+27LWDLL
9Athletic ClubAthletic Club52127:6+17DWWLL
10Racing SantanderRacing Santander52129:907WLWLD
11OsasunaOsasuna52125:8-37LLWWD
12Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano621310:15-57WLWLD
13Real SociedadReal Sociedad62136:11-57LWDWL
14LevanteLevante51227:9-25LDWDL
15GetafeGetafe51223:6-35DDLWL
16Celta VigoCelta Vigo60423:6-34DDDLL
17ValenciaValencia61142:10-84WLLLL
18MalagaMalaga50322:8-63DDLDL
19VillarrealVillarreal50237:10-32LLLDD
20ElcheElche60248:16-82LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BarcelonaBarcelona521:415
2Real MadridReal Madrid617:615
3Real BetisReal Betis57:612
4AlavesAlaves611:610
5Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid510:610
6SevillaSevilla58:610
7Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna59:69
8EspanyolEspanyol69:77
9Athletic ClubAthletic Club57:67
10Racing SantanderRacing Santander59:97
11OsasunaOsasuna55:87
12Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano610:157
13Real SociedadReal Sociedad66:117
14LevanteLevante57:95
15GetafeGetafe53:65
16Celta VigoCelta Vigo63:64
17ValenciaValencia62:104
18MalagaMalaga52:83
19VillarrealVillarreal57:102
20ElcheElche68:162
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

Alaves vs Valencia Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this La Liga fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Alaves and Valencia have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.35 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.