Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali Prediction

Santa Fe
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Deportivo Cali
Estadio El Campin, Bogota·Alejandro Moncada Sanchez 23/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.26
SignalGOODModel49%SurpriseMediumGap-6.2%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 4.5
1.67
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+5.3%
Santa Fe Rest
3 days
Deportivo Cali Rest
3 days

Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali: the result in context

Deportivo Cali beat Santa Fe 1-0 in the Primera A on 23 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Santa Fe have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.2 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%2.08
X
30%3.06
2
24%3.60
Double Chance
1X
76%1.26
X2
54%1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.97
No
52%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 0.78 = 2.20
Over 1.5
68%1.40
Over 2.5
42%2.30
Over 3.5
23%4.33
Under 1.5
32%2.75
Under 2.5
58%1.57
Under 3.5
77%1.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 3.5 = 9.3
Over 8.5
55%1.79
Over 9.5
42%2.23
Over 10.5
33%3.00
Under 8.5
45%1.96
Under 9.5
58%1.57
Under 10.5
67%1.31
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.9 = 5
Over 3.5
73%-
Over 4.5
55%-
Under 3.5
27%-
Under 4.5
45%-

Match Events

30'Leyser Chaverra RenteriaDissent
38'Eduard BelloAssist: Johan Martinez
39'Goal confirmedJohan Martinez
59'Alexis Zapata INMaximiliano Lovera out
64'Juan DinennoDissent
65'Juan Dinenno INSteven Rodríguez out
66'Jhojan Torres INKilian Toscano out
74'Jader Obrian INLuis Palacios out
74'Victor Moreno INNahuel Bustos out
74'Christian Mafla INJeison Angulo out
75'Johan Martinez INAlexis Castillo Manyoma out
76'Eduard Bello INEmanuel Reynoso out
76'Kilian ToscanoFoul
85'Card upgrade confirmedDaniel Torres
87'Daniel TorresSerious foul
88'Daniel Giraldo INJose Moya out
90+5'Franco FagúndezFoul

Lineups

Santa Fe
4-1-4-1Coach: P. Repetto
Deportivo Cali
4-1-4-1Coach: R. Dudamel
Avg rating6.58
Avg rating6.82
A. Mosquera6.61A. Mosquera
H. Palacios7.013H. Palacios
E. Olivera6.918E. Olivera
V. Moreno6.83V. Moreno
C. Mafla6.732C. Mafla
J. Torres7.17J. Torres
J. Obrian6.277J. Obrian
D. Torres6.516D. Torres
F. Fagúndez7.29F. Fagúndez
A. Zapata6.010A. Zapata
H. Rodallega5.711H. Rodallega
A. Rodríguez7.538A. Rodríguez
F. Viáfara6.527F. Viáfara
J. Caldera7.012J. Caldera
Fernando Antonio Álvarez Amador7.14F. Antonio Álvarez Amador
E. Velasco6.728E. Velasco
G. Cuéllar7.15G. Cuéllar
J. Martínez7.419J. Martínez
L. Chaverra6.515L. Chaverra
D. Giraldo6.68D. Giraldo
E. Bello7.720E. Bello
J. Dinenno6.49J. Dinenno

Santa Fe Substitutes

19N. Bustos74'for Victor Moreno6.2
12W. Asprilla
24Jeison Angulo74'for Christian Mafla6.3
43J. Caicedo
17M. Lovera59'for Alexis Zapata7.1
14L. Palacios74'for Jader Obrian6.9
39Cristhian Portocarrero
15I. Scarpeta
6K. Toscano66'for Jhojan Torres76'6.1

Deportivo Cali Substitutes

14A. Castillo Manyoma75'for Johan Martinez6.6
70C. Bacca
43Santiago Martinez
32Santiago Mondragón Alzate
26J. Tello
2J. Moya88'for Daniel Giraldo6.1
10E. Reynoso76'for Eduard Bello6.2
23S. Rodríguez65'for Juan Dinenno6.8
16K. Sandoval

Match Stats

Santa FeDeportivo Cali
55%Ball Possession45%
9Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
19Total Shots9
5Shots on Goal4
11Shots off Goal5
11Shots Inside Box3
8Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots0
11Fouls9
1Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves5
470Total Passes395
405Passes Accurate334
8Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

Santa FeSanta Fe
Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali
1666Elo Rating 1665
1.38Attack 1.59
1.97Defense 2.83
58%Hit Rate 58%
14.3Shots per Game 12.8
5.4Shots on Target 6.3
3.9Corners per Game 4.1
2.9Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Santa FeSanta Fe
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.7 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Santa FeSanta Fe7Wins · 70%
Draws220%
Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1Wins · 10%
2.2Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera A19/03/2026
Deportivo CaliSanta Fe
11
Primera A10/11/2025
Santa FeDeportivo Cali
10
Primera A18/05/2025
Deportivo CaliSanta Fe
02
Primera A21/08/2024
Deportivo CaliSanta Fe
13
Primera A14/02/2024
Santa FeDeportivo Cali
10
Primera A07/09/2023
Deportivo CaliSanta Fe
22
Copa Colombia17/08/2023
Santa FeDeportivo Cali
10
Copa Colombia28/07/2023
Deportivo CaliSanta Fe
21
Primera A22/03/2023
Santa FeDeportivo Cali
30
Primera A22/10/2022
Santa FeDeportivo Cali
10

Referee Profile

Alejandro Moncada Sanchez84 matches

6.36Cards per match
5.76Yellow cards per match
0.60Red cards per match
21.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Alejandro Moncada Sanchez6.36
Other referees6.03

6.36 cards a match, 0.33 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (6.03).

Cards come from 42 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera A 2026

Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional19131535:15+2040WDWWL
2JuniorJunior19112631:24+735LWWLW
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto19104529:25+434DLWWL
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali19103625:15+1033LWLDW
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1989231:22+933DDDLD
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1987427:17+1031LDWWD
7Santa FeSanta Fe1978429:22+729DLWWD
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1977526:26028WDLLD
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1976620:16+427DWWLD
10MillonariosMillonarios1975731:23+826DLDWW
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1975726:24+226LDWLW
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1975720:25-526LWLWD
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1958626:20+623LLLLD
14LlanerosLlaneros19410517:20-322DWDDD
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1957722:27-522DDLLL
16JaguaresJaguares19531120:33-1318WLDLL
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1938813:27-1417WDLWW
18ChicoChico19521215:32-1717LWLDL
19CucutaCucuta1937922:35-1316WDWDD
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira19171115:32-1710LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1935:1540
2JuniorJunior1931:2435
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1929:2534
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1925:1533
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1931:2233
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1927:1731
7Santa FeSanta Fe1929:2229
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1926:2628
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1920:1627
10MillonariosMillonarios1931:2326
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1926:2426
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1920:2526
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1926:2023
14LlanerosLlaneros1917:2022
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1922:2722
16JaguaresJaguares1920:3318
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1913:2717
18ChicoChico1915:3217
19CucutaCucuta1922:3516
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1915:3210

Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional15102330:13+1732WDWWL
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali1594229:11+1831LWLDW
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1686224:10+1430DWWLD
4Santa FeSanta Fe1584323:15+828DLWWD
5MillonariosMillonarios1668224:14+1026DLDWW
6BucaramangaBucaramanga1567223:15+825LLLLD
7Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1572622:21+123LDWLW
8Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1657421:20+122LWLWD
9Once CaldasOnce Caldas1656520:18+221DDDLD
10CucutaCucuta1663718:24-621WDWDD
11Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1655618:19-120LDWWD
12Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1553716:26-1018WDLWW
13Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1638518:22-417WDLLD
14LlanerosLlaneros1652916:21-517DWDDD
15JuniorJunior1536620:23-315LWWLW
16ChicoChico1543812:25-1315LWLDL
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1528511:19-814LLLDD
18JaguaresJaguares1534817:28-1113WLDLL
19Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1519516:22-612DDLLL
20Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1533910:22-1212DLWWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1530:1332
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali1529:1131
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1624:1030
4Santa FeSanta Fe1523:1528
5MillonariosMillonarios1624:1426
6BucaramangaBucaramanga1523:1525
7Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1522:2123
8Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1621:2022
9Once CaldasOnce Caldas1620:1821
10CucutaCucuta1618:2421
11Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1618:1920
12Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1516:2618
13Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1618:2217
14LlanerosLlaneros1616:2117
15JuniorJunior1520:2315
16ChicoChico1512:2515
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1511:1914
18JaguaresJaguares1517:2813
19Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1516:2212
20Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1510:2212

About the Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali forecast

The forecasts for this Primera A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Santa Fe and Deportivo Cali in the Primera A table

Santa Fe and Deportivo Cali are close in the Primera A table, 7th and 9th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Santa Fe 29-22, Deportivo Cali 20-16. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.