Santa Fe vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction

Santa Fe
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Vasco DA Gama
D. Herrera 09/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.28
SignalHIGHModel42%SurpriseHighGap-1.8%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.57
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseHighGap+11.6%
Santa Fe Rest
2 days
Vasco DA Gama Rest
2 days

Santa Fe vs Vasco DA Gama: the result in context

Santa Fe and Vasco DA Gama drew 0-0 in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana on 8 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee D. Herrera averages 5.87 cards a game, 0.73 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%2.25
X
41%2.90
2
22%3.60
Double Chance
1X
78%1.28
X2
63%1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%2.45
No
54%1.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.37 + 0.89 = 2.26
Over 1.5
69%1.68
Over 2.5
37%3.00
Over 3.5
19%6.50
Under 1.5
31%2.15
Under 2.5
63%1.36
Under 3.5
81%1.10
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 3.8 = 9
Over 8.5
57%1.72
Over 9.5
45%2.15
Over 10.5
34%2.88
Under 8.5
43%2.02
Under 9.5
55%1.62
Under 10.5
66%1.35
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.3 = 4.2
Over 3.5
60%1.30
Over 4.5
41%1.63
Under 3.5
40%3.05
Under 4.5
59%2.10

Match Events

28'Claudio SpinelliFoul
56'Emerson Rodriguez INMaximiliano Lovera out
57'Alan Saldivia
68'Nuno MoreiraFoul
70'Nuno Moreira INDavid out
71'Claudio Spinelli INBruno Duarte Da Silva out
75'Daniel Torres INAlexis Zapata out
75'Christian Mafla INJeison Angulo out
76'Jeison AnguloFoul
76'Pablo Eduardo Repetto AquinoDissent
77'Johan Rojas INSantiago Sosa out
77'Lucas Piton INPaulo Henrique out
82'Ramon Rique Santos De Souza Barros INTchĂŞ TchĂŞ out
84'Emanuel OliveraArgument
84'Marino HinestrozaArgument
84'Jhojan TorresArgument
88'Jader Obrian INNahuel Bustos out

Lineups

Santa Fe
4-2-3-1Coach: P. Repetto
Vasco DA Gama
4-1-4-1Coach: Pedro Emanuel
Avg rating6.71
Avg rating6.51
W. Asprilla7.712W. Asprilla
H. Palacios6.913H. Palacios
E. Olivera7.018E. Olivera
I. Scarpeta6.815I. Scarpeta
C. Mafla6.632C. Mafla
D. Torres6.216D. Torres
J. Torres6.97J. Torres
J. Obrian6.377J. Obrian
F. FagĂşndez7.29F. FagĂşndez
E. RodrĂ­guez6.725E. RodrĂ­guez
H. Rodallega6.411H. Rodallega
Léo Jardim6.71L. Jardim
J. RodrĂ­guez6.52J. RodrĂ­guez
A. Saldivia7.04A. Saldivia
Lucas Freitas6.943L. Freitas
Lucas Piton6.96L. Piton
Cauan Barros6.588C. Barros
M. Hinestroza6.318M. Hinestroza
Ramon Rique6.883R. Rique
J. Rojas6.610J. Rojas
Nuno Moreira6.317N. Moreira
C. Spinelli6.077C. Spinelli

Santa Fe Substitutes

49Andrés Amaya
24Jeison Angulo75'for Christian Mafla76'6.2
19N. Bustos88'for Jader Obrian6.9
31J. Espitia
17M. Lovera56'for Emerson Rodriguez6.5
3V. Moreno
21E. Murillo
14L. Palacios
4M. Puerta
6K. Toscano
10A. Zapata75'for Daniel Torres6.6
39Cristhian Portocarrero

Vasco DA Gama Substitutes

74Andrey
19Bruno Duarte71'for Claudio Spinelli6.4
13Daniel Fuzato
7David70'for Nuno Moreira6.6
70Euder Galdino da Silva
86Lukas Zuccarello
29Paulinho
96Paulo Henrique77'for Lucas Piton6.4
30Robert Renan
5S. Sosa77'for Johan Rojas6.1
3TchĂŞ TchĂŞ82'for Ramon Rique Santos De Souza Barros6.2
80Bruno Andre

Match Stats

Santa FeVasco DA Gama
57%Ball Possession43%
5Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards4
15Total Shots15
2Shots on Goal4
11Shots off Goal8
9Shots Inside Box6
6Shots Outside Box9
2Blocked Shots3
8Fouls5
1Offsides0
4Goalkeeper Saves2
450Total Passes334
364Passes Accurate264
81%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

Santa FeSanta Fe
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
1661Elo Rating 1722
1.13Attack 1.29
1.59Defense 0.71
42%Hit Rate 37%
13.0Shots per Game 15.5
4.0Shots on Target 3.4
3.7Corners per Game 4.1
2.9Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

⚠️Home Rotation Risk90%

Game State Tendencies

Santa FeSanta Fe
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Referee Profile

D. Herrera262 matches

5.87Cards per match
5.50Yellow cards per match
0.36Red cards per match
26.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

D. Herrera5.87
Other referees5.14

5.87 cards a match, 0.73 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.14).

Cards come from 245 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Deportivo Recoleta
Seeded
Sao Paulo
Seeded
Atletico-MG
Seeded
Atletico Torque
Seeded
Macara
Seeded
Olimpia
Seeded
Botafogo
Seeded
River Plate
Seeded

League Table

CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OlimpiaOlimpia641110:6+413WWWLD
2Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama631210:6+410WLWWL
3A. ItalianoA. Italiano62137:9-27LWLDW
4Barracas CentralBarracas Central60332:8-63LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1OlimpiaOlimpia610:613
2Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama610:610
3A. ItalianoA. Italiano67:97
4Barracas CentralBarracas Central62:83
Promotion

About the Santa Fe vs Vasco DA Gama forecast

As a knockout tie in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About CONMEBOL Sudamericana

More CONMEBOL Sudamericana fixtures and forecasts are on the CONMEBOL Sudamericana Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. Santa Fe and Vasco DA Gama have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.