Santa Fe vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction

CONMEBOL SudamericanaWorld World · Quarter-finals
CupKnockout
Santa Fe
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Vasco DA Gama
D. Herrera 09/09/2026
Santa FeSanta Fe
0-0
Finished
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.28
SignalNEUTRALModel42%RiskHighGap-1.8%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.57
SignalSTRONGModel72%RiskHighGap+11.6%
Santa Fe Rest
2 days
Vasco DA Gama Rest
2 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%2.25
X
41%2.90
2
22%3.60
Double Chance
1X
78%1.28
X2
63%1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%2.45
No
54%1.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.37 + 0.89 = 2.26
Over 1.5
69%1.68
Over 2.5
37%3.00
Over 3.5
19%6.50
Under 1.5
31%2.15
Under 2.5
63%1.36
Under 3.5
81%1.10
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 3.8 = 9
Over 8.5
57%1.72
Over 9.5
45%2.15
Over 10.5
34%2.88
Under 8.5
43%2.02
Under 9.5
55%1.62
Under 10.5
66%1.35
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.3 = 4.2
Over 3.5
60%1.30
Over 4.5
41%1.63
Under 3.5
40%3.05
Under 4.5
59%2.10

Match Events

28'Claudio SpinelliFoul
56'Emerson Rodriguez INMaximiliano Lovera out
57'Alan Saldivia
68'Nuno MoreiraFoul
70'Nuno Moreira INDavid out
71'Claudio Spinelli INBruno Duarte Da Silva out
75'Daniel Torres INAlexis Zapata out
75'Christian Mafla INJeison Angulo out
76'Jeison AnguloFoul
76'Pablo Eduardo Repetto AquinoDissent
77'Johan Rojas INSantiago Sosa out
77'Lucas Piton INPaulo Henrique out
82'Ramon Rique Santos De Souza Barros INTchê Tchê out
84'Emanuel OliveraArgument
84'Marino HinestrozaArgument
84'Jhojan TorresArgument
88'Jader Obrian INNahuel Bustos out

Lineups

Santa Fe
4-2-3-1Coach: P. Repetto
Vasco DA Gama
4-1-4-1Coach: Pedro Emanuel
W. Asprilla12W. AsprillaW. Asprilla
H. Palacios13H. PalaciosH. Palacios
E. Olivera18E. OliveraE. Olivera
I. Scarpeta15I. ScarpetaI. Scarpeta
C. Mafla32C. MaflaC. Mafla
D. Torres16D. TorresD. Torres
J. Torres7J. TorresJ. Torres
J. Obrian77J. ObrianJ. Obrian
F. Fagúndez9F. FagúndezF. Fagúndez
E. Rodríguez25E. RodríguezE. Rodríguez
H. Rodallega11H. RodallegaH. Rodallega
Léo Jardim1L. JardimLéo Jardim
J. Rodríguez2J. RodríguezJ. Rodríguez
A. Saldivia4A. SaldiviaA. Saldivia
Lucas Freitas43L. FreitasLucas Freitas
Lucas Piton6L. PitonLucas Piton
Cauan Barros88C. BarrosCauan Barros
M. Hinestroza18M. HinestrozaM. Hinestroza
Ramon Rique83R. RiqueRamon Rique
J. Rojas10J. RojasJ. Rojas
Nuno Moreira17N. MoreiraNuno Moreira
C. Spinelli77C. SpinelliC. Spinelli

Santa Fe Substitutes

49Andrés AmayaM
24Jeison AnguloD
19N. BustosF
31J. EspitiaG
17M. LoveraF
3V. MorenoD
21E. MurilloM
14L. PalaciosF
4M. PuertaD
6K. ToscanoF
10A. ZapataM
39Cristhian PortocarreroM

Vasco DA Gama Substitutes

74AndreyF
19Bruno DuarteF
13Daniel FuzatoG
7DavidF
70Euder Galdino da SilvaM
86Lukas ZuccarelloM
29PaulinhoD
96Paulo HenriqueD
30Robert RenanD
5S. SosaM
3Tchê TchêM
80Bruno AndreD

Match Stats

Santa FeVasco DA Gama
57%Ball Possession43%
5Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards4
15Total Shots15
2Shots on Goal4
11Shots off Goal8
9Shots Inside Box6
6Shots Outside Box9
2Blocked Shots3
8Fouls5
1Offsides0
4Goalkeeper Saves2
450Total Passes334
365Passes Accurate265
5Free Kicks5

Team Comparison

Santa FeSanta Fe
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
1699Elo Rating 1711
1.30Attack 1.29
2.14Defense 2.39
44%Hit Rate 58%
14.4Shots per Game 15.9
4.2Shots on Target 5.3
5.3Corners per Game 5.7
2.6Cards per Game 3.0

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk90%

Game State Tendencies

Santa FeSanta Fe
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.1 in first half)

Recent Form

Santa FeSanta Fe
2W3D0L
06/09/2026
Santa FeFortaleza FC
22
D03/09/2026
Santa FeMillonarios
32
W30/08/2026
JuniorSanta Fe
11
D27/08/2026
River PlateSanta Fe
7181
W23/08/2026
Santa FeAmerica de Cali
00
D
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
3W0D2L
06/09/2026
FluminenseVasco DA Gama
10
L
03/09/2026
VitoriaVasco DA Gama
02
W30/08/2026
Vasco DA GamaCruzeiro
31
W
27/08/2026
Vasco DA GamaVitoria
10
W
23/08/2026
PalmeirasVasco DA Gama
41
L

Referee Profile

D. Herrera · 41 matches analysed

4.6Avg Yellows
5.0Avg Cards
23.4Avg Fouls
Stricter than 79% of referees analysed

League Table

CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OlimpiaOlimpia641110:6+413WWWLD
2Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama631210:6+410WLWWL
3A. ItalianoA. Italiano62137:9-27LWLDW
4Barracas CentralBarracas Central60332:8-63LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1OlimpiaOlimpia610:613
2Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama610:610
3A. ItalianoA. Italiano67:97
4Barracas CentralBarracas Central62:83
Promotion

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Deportivo Recoleta
Seeded
Sao Paulo
Seeded
Atletico-MG
Seeded
Atletico Torque
Seeded
Olimpia
Seeded
Macara
Seeded
Botafogo
Seeded
River Plate
Seeded

Santa Fe vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction

As a knockout-stage CONMEBOL Sudamericana fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About CONMEBOL Sudamericana

ScorePredicts covers CONMEBOL Sudamericana across every knockout round. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. Santa Fe and Vasco DA Gama have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.