Chico vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 12
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 4.5
1.88
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+10.9%
Chico Rest
6 days
Deportivo Pasto Rest
5 days
Chico vs Deportivo Pasto: result, form and history
Chico beat Deportivo Pasto 3-0 in the Primera A on 26 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.9 goals a game across 10 matches. Referee Javier Alonso Villa Zapata averages 4.62 cards a game, 1.44 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
137%2.55
X31%2.92
232%2.84
Double Chance
1X68%1.37
X263%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes48%2.05
No52%1.69
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.13 + 1.09 = 2.22
Over 1.565%1.49
Over 2.539%2.51
Over 3.520%5.00
Under 1.535%2.50
Under 2.561%1.49
Under 3.580%1.16
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.2 = 9.6
Over 8.561%1.81
Over 9.549%2.21
Over 10.538%3.14
Under 8.539%1.90
Under 9.551%1.60
Under 10.562%1.27
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.9 = 5.3
Over 3.577%-
Over 4.561%-
Under 3.523%-
Under 4.539%-
Match Events
55'Derik Osede INJonathan Perlaza out
59'Jacobo Pimentel INYesus Cabrera out
68'Yesus CabreraAssist: S. Mera
70'E. Sarria
72'Diego Gabriel Chavez INYeiler Goez out
72'Franco Leys INMatias Pisano out
73'E. SarriaFoul
76'E. Sarria INDelio Ramírez out
84'Santiago Cordoba INEder Daniel Gómez De La Rosa out
84'Joider Micolta INYeison Tolosa out
86'A. MayaAssist: Juan Diaz
90'S. Mera INJeronimo Pimentel Betancourt out
90'A. Maya INFelipe Cifuentes out
Lineups
ChicoDeportivo Pasto
4-4-2Coach: Jonathan RisueñoAvg ratingAvg rating
1D. Agudelo
15S. Navarro
5J. Alomía
4J. Mena
14C. Blanco
8S. Salazar
6J. Díaz
21J. Pimentel
17E. Sarria
22A. Maya
16S. Mera
12G. Banguera
33M. Garavito2121D. Osede
2F. Torijano
3J. Ossa
18J. Micolta
25F. Leys
8E. Serje
27H. Goyes
10D. Chávez
29S. CórdobaChico Substitutes
20Sebastián Viveros
7F. Cifuentes90'for A. Maya
10Y. Cabrera59'for Jacobo Pimentel68'
19J. Pimentel Betancourt90'for S. Mera
2D. Polanco
11D. Ramírez76'for E. Sarria
23J. Peñaloza
12B. Zapata
29Luis Carabalí
Deportivo Pasto Substitutes
13Luis Felipe Marquínez Valverde
26H. Valencia
7J. Perlaza55'replaced by Derik Osede
32M. Pisano72'for Franco Leys
15H. Mancilla
42Eder Daniel Gómez De La Rosa84'replaced by Santiago Cordoba
23Y. Góez72'for Diego Gabriel Chavez
5N. Gil
22Y. Tolosa84'for Joider Micolta
Match Stats
ChicoDeportivo Pasto 44%Ball Possession56%
0Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards0
7Total Shots14
5Shots on Goal3
1Shots off Goal9
3Shots Inside Box11
4Shots Outside Box3
1Blocked Shots2
18Fouls7
2Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves2
305Total Passes379
227Passes Accurate300
7Free Kicks18
Team Comparison
ChicoDeportivo Pasto1451Elo Rating 1434
0.46Attack 0.14
1.60Defense 1.47
27%Hit Rate 14%
10.6Shots per Game 9.9
3.4Shots on Target 1.9
5.2Corners per Game 3.4
2.9Cards per Game 1.3
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Chico- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Deportivo Pasto- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Chico1Wins · 10%Draws550%
Deportivo Pasto4Wins · 40%
4Wins · 40%1.9Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10
Previous meetings
18/03/2026Deportivo PastoChico20
06/09/2025Deportivo PastoChico20
26/07/2025ChicoDeportivo Pasto22
22/03/2025ChicoDeportivo Pasto00
12/02/2025Deportivo PastoChico30
22/09/2024ChicoDeportivo Pasto10
09/03/2024Deportivo PastoChico21
20/08/2023Deportivo PastoChico11
28/02/2023ChicoDeportivo Pasto11
05/04/2021ChicoDeportivo Pasto00
Recent Form
Chico2W2D6L
19/09/2026
MillonariosChicoChico
Alianza ValleduparChico
Once Caldas
Águilas DoradasChicoChico
Fortaleza FC
JaguaresChico
Santa FeChico
America de CaliChico
MillonariosChico30
L16/09/2026ChicoAlianza Valledupar12
L13/09/2026Chico
Independiente Medellin
05/09/2026ChicoIndependiente Medellin21
WChicoOnce Caldas20
W30/08/2026Águilas DoradasChico22
D26/08/2026ChicoFortaleza FC00
D21/08/2026JaguaresChico10
L08/08/2026Santa FeChico20
L03/08/2026America de CaliChico70
L27/05/2026Chico
Llaneros
ChicoLlaneros01
LDeportivo Pasto2W2D6L
20/09/2026Deportivo PastoOnce CaldasAmerica de CaliDeportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto
Deportivo Pereira
Internacional de BogotaDeportivo PastoDeportivo PastoLlanerosDeportivo Pasto
Deportivo CaliMillonariosDeportivo PastoDeportivo PastoÁguilas Doradas
Deportivo PastoOnce Caldas10
W15/09/2026America de CaliDeportivo Pasto01
W10/09/2026Deportivo PastoIndependiente Medellin
Deportivo PastoIndependiente Medellin14
L06/09/2026
CucutaDeportivo Pasto
01/09/2026CucutaDeportivo Pasto22
DDeportivo PastoDeportivo Pereira12
L28/08/2026Internacional de BogotaDeportivo Pasto11
D23/08/2026Deportivo PastoLlaneros01
L09/08/2026Deportivo PastoDeportivo Cali02
L05/08/2026MillonariosDeportivo Pasto20
L01/08/2026Deportivo PastoÁguilas Doradas12
LReferee Profile
4.62Cards per match
4.46Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
23.5Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.62 cards a match, 1.44 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (6.06).
Cards come from 13 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | +20 | 40 | WDWWL |
| 2 |  Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | +7 | 35 | LWWLW |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | +4 | 34 | DLWWL |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | +10 | 33 | LWLDW |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | +9 | 33 | DDDLD |
| 6 |  Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | +10 | 31 | LDWWD |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 29 | DLWWD |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 | WDLLD |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 | DWWLD |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | +8 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 26 | LDWLW |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 | LWLWD |
| 13 |  Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 | LLLLD |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 | DWDDD |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 | DDLLL |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 | WLDLL |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 | WDLWW |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 | LWLDL |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 | WDWDD |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 | LLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 15:32 | 10 |
Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 30:13 | +17 | 32 | WDWWL |
| 2 | America de Cali | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 29:11 | +18 | 31 | LWLDW |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24:10 | +14 | 30 | DWWLD |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23:15 | +8 | 28 | DLWWD |
| 5 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | +10 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 6 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 23:15 | +8 | 25 | LLLLD |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 22:21 | +1 | 23 | LDWLW |
| 8 | Águilas Doradas | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 21:20 | +1 | 22 | LWLWD |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | DDDLD |
| 10 | Cucuta | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 21 | WDWDD |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 20 | LDWWD |
| 12 | Alianza Valledupar | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16:26 | -10 | 18 | WDLWW |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 18:22 | -4 | 17 | WDLLD |
| 14 | Llaneros | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 16:21 | -5 | 17 | DWDDD |
| 15 | Junior | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 20:23 | -3 | 15 | LWWLW |
| 16 | Chico | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12:25 | -13 | 15 | LWLDL |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 11:19 | -8 | 14 | LLLDD |
| 18 | Jaguares | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 | WLDLL |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 15 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 16:22 | -6 | 12 | DDLLL |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10:22 | -12 | 12 | DLWWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 15 | 30:13 | 32 |
| 2 | America de Cali | 15 | 29:11 | 31 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 16 | 24:10 | 30 |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 15 | 23:15 | 28 |
| 5 | Millonarios | 16 | 24:14 | 26 |
| 6 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 23:15 | 25 |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 15 | 22:21 | 23 |
| 8 | Águilas Doradas | 16 | 21:20 | 22 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 16 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 10 | Cucuta | 16 | 18:24 | 21 |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Alianza Valledupar | 15 | 16:26 | 18 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 16 | 18:22 | 17 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 16 | 16:21 | 17 |
| 15 | Junior | 15 | 20:23 | 15 |
| 16 | Chico | 15 | 12:25 | 15 |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 15 | 11:19 | 14 |
| 18 | Jaguares | 15 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 15 | 16:22 | 12 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 15 | 10:22 | 12 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera A matches
- Independiente Medellin vs Jaguares 23/09/26
- Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali 23/09/26
- America de Cali vs Águilas Doradas 24/09/26
- Atletico Nacional vs Millonarios 25/09/26
- Once Caldas vs Bucaramanga 26/09/26
- Deportivo Pereira vs Internacional de Bogota 26/09/26
- Cucuta vs Llaneros 27/09/26
- Jaguares vs Alianza Valledupar 27/09/26
About the Chico vs Deportivo Pasto forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Chico and Deportivo Pasto in the Primera A table
The table shows a wide gap: Deportivo Pasto are 3rd in the Primera A, while Chico sit 18th, 17 points behind. League goal record so far: Chico 15-32, Deportivo Pasto 29-25. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.