Santos Laguna vs CF Pachuca Prediction
Mexico · Apertura - 10
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
60%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.53
SignalNEUTRALModel42%SurpriseMediumGap-4.9%
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
2.00
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+11.2%
Santos Laguna Rest
6 days
CF Pachuca Rest
6 days
Santos Laguna vs CF Pachuca: the result in context
Santos Laguna beat CF Pachuca 1-0 in the Liga MX on 27 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
CF Pachuca have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.8 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
127%3.30
X28%3.44
245%2.05
Double Chance
1X55%1.70
X273%1.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes60%1.53
No40%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.39 + 1.51 = 2.90
Over 1.579%1.18
Over 2.557%1.64
Over 3.536%2.50
Under 1.521%4.40
Under 2.543%2.20
Under 3.564%1.45
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 6 = 11.6
Over 8.595%1.36
Over 9.588%1.68
Over 10.567%2.02
Under 8.55%2.68
Under 9.512%2.08
Under 10.533%1.72
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.2 = 4.2
Over 3.561%1.25
Over 4.542%1.50
Under 3.539%3.70
Under 4.558%2.47
Match Events
39'Penalty cancelledDiego González
45'Penalty confirmedFacundo Cáseres
45'Mauricio Isais INOussama Idrissi out
45'Alan Bautista INRodolfo Pizarro out
45+2'Francisco VenegasFoul
45+3'Francisco Villalba(Penalty)
47'Facundo CáseresFoul
59'Kevin Palacios INEduardo Aguirre out
67'Sergio Rodríguez INAdrián Alcaraz out
67'Sebastian Santos INCarlos Sánchez out
73'Esteban Lozano INRamiro Sordo out
73'Francisco Villalba INAldo Lopez out
81'Javier Vallejo INGael Álvarez out
89'Diego GonzálezFoul
90+3'Efrain Orona INJonathan Geovanni Pérez Sánchez out
90+4'Sergio BarretoDissent
90+6'Carlos SánchezFoul
Lineups
Santos LagunaCF Pachuca
4-2-3-1Coach: B. MoraAvg ratingAvg rating
1C. Acevedo
18F. Pardo
25F. Sánchez
14E. Orona
3M. Cuevas
23F. Cáseres
21F. Villalba
7D. González
77K. Palacios
20E. Lozano
10E. Bullaude
25C. Moreno
12S. Santos
4E. Bauermann
2S. Barreto
15F. Venegas
30S. Rodríguez
16C. Rivera
21N. Vallejo
26A. Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez
6M. Isaís
23S. RondónSantos Laguna Substitutes
26R. Sordo73'for Esteban Lozano
17E. EcheverrÃa
19E. Aguirre59'for Kevin Palacios
4J. Abella
193Luis Gómez
6J. Güémez
33H. Holguín
29Tahiel Adrián Jiménez Sánchez
5A. López73'for Francisco Villalba
28Jonathan Pérez90+3'for Efrain Orona
CF Pachuca Substitutes
32P. Budib
206Thomas Contreras
31J. Eulogio
211C. Hernandez
11O. Idrissi45'for Mauricio Isais
7R. Pizarro45'for Alan Bautista
195E. Soto
14C. Sánchez67'for Sebastian Santos90+6'
187G. Ãlvarez81'for Javier Vallejo
9A. Alcáraz67'for Sergio Rodríguez
Match Stats
Santos LagunaCF Pachuca 55%Ball Possession45%
10Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards3
17Total Shots11
9Shots on Goal0
6Shots off Goal6
11Shots Inside Box5
6Shots Outside Box6
2Blocked Shots5
12Fouls14
2Offsides3
0Goalkeeper Saves8
407Total Passes317
349Passes Accurate250
14Free Kicks12
Team Comparison
Santos LagunaCF Pachuca1590Elo Rating 1632
2.78Attack 1.71
2.30Defense 1.25
100%Hit Rate 14%
18.1Shots per Game 17.0
7.3Shots on Target 5.1
6.3Corners per Game 6.6
1.9Cards per Game 3.0
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.9 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Santos Laguna- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 1.1 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
CF Pachuca- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.7 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Santos Laguna2Wins · 20%Draws220%
CF Pachuca6Wins · 60%
6Wins · 60%3.8Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10
Previous meetings
12/04/2026CF PachucaSantos Laguna42
10/11/2025Santos LagunaCF Pachuca10
21/01/2025CF PachucaSantos Laguna21
23/10/2024Santos LagunaCF Pachuca11
21/04/2024Santos LagunaCF Pachuca02
19/09/2023CF PachucaSantos Laguna32
07/05/2023CF PachucaSantos Laguna2444
10/04/2023Santos LagunaCF Pachuca14
04/09/2022CF PachucaSantos Laguna20
04/04/2022Santos LagunaCF Pachuca31
Recent Form
Santos Laguna3W1D6L
21/09/2026
TolucaSantos LagunaSantos Laguna
FC Juarez
Cruz AzulSantos LagunaSantos Laguna
Tigres UANL
PueblaSantos LagunaSantos Laguna
Guadalajara Chivas
Club AmericaSantos Laguna
TolucaSantos Laguna23
W14/09/2026Santos LagunaFC Juarez21
W07/09/2026Cruz AzulSantos Laguna10
L30/08/2026Santos LagunaTigres UANL00
D23/08/2026PueblaSantos Laguna32
L17/08/2026Santos LagunaGuadalajara Chivas01
L14/08/2026
Philadelphia UnionSantos Laguna
Philadelphia UnionSantos Laguna02
W10/08/2026
Chicago FireSantos Laguna
Chicago FireSantos Laguna31
L07/08/2026
New York City FCSantos Laguna
03/08/2026New York City FCSantos Laguna20
LClub AmericaSantos Laguna30
LCF Pachuca3W3D4L
21/09/2026CF Pachuca
Club Tijuana
Atlante FCCF PachucaFC JuarezCF PachucaCF PachucaGuadalajara Chivas
Atletico San LuisCF PachucaCF PachucaPuebla
LeonCF Pachuca
CF PachucaClub Tijuana22
D12/09/2026Atlante FCCF Pachuca03
W05/09/2026FC JuarezCF Pachuca02
W30/08/2026CF PachucaGuadalajara Chivas11
D24/08/2026Atletico San LuisCF Pachuca11
D18/08/2026CF PachucaPuebla23
L12/08/2026
CharlotteCF Pachuca
CharlotteCF Pachuca01
W08/08/2026
Columbus CrewCF Pachuca
Columbus CrewCF Pachuca21
L05/08/2026
FC CincinnatiCF Pachuca
02/08/2026FC CincinnatiCF Pachuca31
LLeonCF Pachuca10
LReferee Profile
4.85Cards per match
4.42Yellow cards per match
0.43Red cards per match
23.5Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.85 cards a match, 0.29 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.56).
Cards come from 157 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 32:16 | +16 | 27 | WWDWD |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20:12 | +8 | 23 | WDDLD |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 23 | WWDDL |
| 4 | Toluca | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 28:18 | +10 | 22 | DDLDL |
| 5 |  Club Leon | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20:17 | +3 | 21 | DWDLW |
| 6 |  Atlas | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21:23 | -2 | 21 | LWDWD |
| 7 |  Monterrey | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23:17 | +6 | 20 | WWDLW |
| 8 |  Club Queretaro | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16:15 | +1 | 20 | LLWWD |
| 9 | Santos Laguna | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 19:16 | +3 | 19 | WWWWW |
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17:16 | +1 | 17 | DDDLD |
| 11 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 19:22 | -3 | 16 | LWDLD |
| 12 | Atletico San Luis | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18:22 | -4 | 16 | WDLWW |
| 13 | Puebla | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13:17 | -4 | 16 | LDDLD |
| 14 | Tigres UANL | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 14 | LDWWL |
| 15 | Atlante FC | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14:19 | -5 | 14 | WLLWD |
| 16 | CF Pachuca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 13 | LLDLD |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 15:26 | -11 | 9 | LLDLL |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8:32 | -24 | 4 | LLDLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 12 | 32:16 | 27 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 13 | 20:12 | 23 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 13 | 29:22 | 23 |
| 4 | Toluca | 13 | 28:18 | 22 |
| 5 | Club Leon | 13 | 20:17 | 21 |
| 6 | Atlas | 13 | 21:23 | 21 |
| 7 | Monterrey | 12 | 23:17 | 20 |
| 8 | Club Queretaro | 12 | 16:15 | 20 |
| 9 | Santos Laguna | 13 | 19:16 | 19 |
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 12 | 17:16 | 17 |
| 11 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 13 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 12 | Atletico San Luis | 13 | 18:22 | 16 |
| 13 | Puebla | 13 | 13:17 | 16 |
| 14 | Tigres UANL | 13 | 14:18 | 14 |
| 15 | Atlante FC | 13 | 14:19 | 14 |
| 16 | CF Pachuca | 13 | 20:18 | 13 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 13 | 15:26 | 9 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 13 | 8:32 | 4 |
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This match
About the Santos Laguna vs CF Pachuca forecast
The forecasts for this Liga MX match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Santos Laguna and CF Pachuca in the Liga MX table
In the Liga MX table, Santos Laguna are 9th and CF Pachuca 16th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Santos Laguna 19-16, CF Pachuca 20-18. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.