Maritimo vs Benfica Prediction

Maritimo
0-3
Finished
HT 0-1
Benfica
S. Guelho 05/09/2026
MaritimoMaritimo
0-3
Finished
BenficaBenfica

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.54
SignalHIGHModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+13.3%
Maritimo Rest
7 days
Benfica Rest
4 days

Maritimo vs Benfica: result, form and history

Benfica beat Maritimo 3-0 in the Primeira Liga on 5 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Benfica had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Maritimo.

Benfica have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 3.5 goals a game. Referee S. Guelho averages 4.45 cards a game, 0.74 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
10%11.08
X
19%5.80
2
71%1.24
Double Chance
1X
29%3.80
X2
90%1.04
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%2.01
No
45%1.72
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.03 + 2.23 = 3.26
Over 1.5
86%1.17
Over 2.5
72%1.54
Over 3.5
48%2.40
Under 1.5
14%4.99
Under 2.5
28%2.39
Under 3.5
52%1.57
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.5 + 6.7 = 10.1
Over 8.5
65%1.50
Over 9.5
54%1.82
Over 10.5
43%2.25
Under 8.5
35%2.42
Under 9.5
46%1.93
Under 10.5
57%1.55
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 1.5 = 4.2
Over 3.5
61%1.39
Over 4.5
41%1.86
Under 3.5
39%2.55
Under 4.5
59%1.83

Match Events

7'Leandro Barreiro
17'Alexander Bah INJakub Kamiński out
40'Vladan DanilovićFoul
41'Heorhii SudakovFoul
42'Igor JuliãoPersistent infringement
61'Tomás AraújoFoul
62'Heorhii Sudakov INAndreas Schjelderup out
62'Rafa Silva INAlessandro Circati out
66'Vladan Danilović INIsrael Isaac Ayuma out
66'Bryan Limbombe INSamuel Bamba out
66'Alessandro CircatiFoul
71'Leandro BarreiroAssist: Vangelis Pavlidis
78'Igor Julião INNilton Varela out
78'Adrián Butzke INMaurice Boakye out
82'Vangelis Pavlidis INJhon Durán out
82'João Palhinha INEnzo Barrenechea out
82'Gianluca Prestianni
90+2'Raphael Guzzo INMaxime Dominguez out

Lineups

Maritimo
4-3-3Coach: M. van der Gaag
Benfica
4-2-3-1Coach: Marco Silva
Avg rating5.96
Avg rating6.92
Alfonso Pastor5.913A. Pastor
Igor Julião5.52I. Julião
Rafael Fernandes6.24R. Fernandes
Romain Correia5.944R. Correia
Paulo Henrique5.223P. Henrique
Raphael Guzzo6.314R. Guzzo
Rodrigo Andrade5.76R. Andrade
V. Danilović6.118V. Danilović
B. Limbombe6.135B. Limbombe
Adrián Butzke5.617A. Butzke
Martín Tejón6.310M. Tejón
Samuel Soares6.924S. Soares
A. Bah6.86A. Bah
Tomás Araújo6.644T. Araújo
C. Lenglet7.32C. Lenglet
S. Dahl7.026S. Dahl
L. Barreiro8.818L. Barreiro
João Palhinha6.736J. Palhinha
Rafa6.427Rafa
H. Sudakov6.610H. Sudakov
G. Prestianni8.225G. Prestianni
V. Pavlidis7.214V. Pavlidis

Maritimo Substitutes

21I. Alani
66I. Ayuma66'for Vladan Danilović6.0
27S. Bamba66'for Bryan Limbombe6.2
8M. Dominguez90+2'for Raphael Guzzo
5Nilton Varela78'for Igor Julião6.0
22G. Szalai
1Gonçalo Tabuaço
30Fran Vieites
90Maurice Osei Boakye78'for Adrián Butzke6.4
16F. Silva

Benfica Substitutes

22J. Durán82'for Vangelis Pavlidis6.5
13J. Kamiński17'for Alexander Bah6.3
11D. Lukebakio
16Manu
77Gonçalo Carvalho Moreira
62J. Neto
21A. Schjelderup62'for Heorhii Sudakov6.7
1A. Trubin
72A. Cabral
3A. Circati62'for Rafa Silva66'6.3
5E. Barrenechea82'for João Palhinha6.5
8F. Aursnes

Match Stats

MaritimoBenfica
40%Ball Possession60%
3Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards3
6Total Shots11
1Shots on Goal6
2Shots off Goal5
3Shots Inside Box9
3Shots Outside Box2
3Blocked Shots0
22Fouls14
1Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves1
330Total Passes512
251Passes Accurate437
13Free Kicks20

Team Comparison

MaritimoMaritimo
BenficaBenfica
1534Elo Rating 1888
0.70Attack 2.71
0.58Defense 2.23
17%Hit Rate 100%
12.4Shots per Game 19.0
4.2Shots on Target 7.2
4.3Corners per Game 5.8
2.5Cards per Game 2.9

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.25 goals
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

MaritimoMaritimo
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
BenficaBenfica
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.8 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

MaritimoMaritimo0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
BenficaBenfica6Wins · 100%
3.5Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored2 of 6
67%3+ goals4 of 6

Previous meetings

Primeira Liga12/03/2023
MaritimoBenfica
03
Primeira Liga18/09/2022
BenficaMaritimo
50
Primeira Liga30/04/2022
MaritimoBenfica
01
Primeira Liga19/12/2021
BenficaMaritimo
71
Primeira Liga05/04/2021
BenficaMaritimo
10
Primeira Liga30/11/2020
MaritimoBenfica
12

Recent Form

MaritimoMaritimo
4W2D4L
29/08/2026
AroucaMaritimo
21
L
22/08/2026
MaritimoAcademico Viseu
22
D
16/08/2026
FamalicaoMaritimo
12
W
08/08/2026
MaritimoCasa Pia
10
W
29/07/2026
MaritimoEstrela
11
D
22/07/2026
MaritimoCamacha
20
W
17/07/2026
MaritimoLeixoes
15
L
14/07/2026
MaritimoAVS
20
W
15/05/2026
MaritimoChaves
13
L
09/05/2026
PenafielMaritimo
10
L
BenficaBenfica
7W2D1L

Referee Profile

S. Guelho103 matches

4.45Cards per match
4.40Yellow cards per match
0.05Red cards per match
27.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

S. Guelho4.45
Other referees5.19

4.45 cards a match, 0.74 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.19).

Cards come from 40 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primeira Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC PortoFC Porto10100025:4+2130WWWWW
2BenficaBenfica1081127:8+1925WWWLW
3Sporting CPSporting CP1173124:11+1324WWLWD
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara1163216:8+821LWLWD
5AroucaArouca1162313:8+520LWWWD
6Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu1162315:13+220LWWWW
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente1153310:8+218WDLWW
8SC BragaSC Braga1042412:11+114WLLLD
9MoreirenseMoreirense1142513:18-514LWWLD
10FamalicaoFamalicao1134415:14+113WLWLW
11AlvercaAlverca1133514:15-112DLLWW
12EstrelaEstrela1024415:19-410LLLLD
13NacionalNacional1131711:19-810WLWLL
14Vitória SCVitória SC1023510:1009DWLDL
15MaritimoMaritimo102269:21-128LLLDL
16Casa PiaCasa Pia112276:20-148DLWLW
17Rio AveRio Ave102179:23-147LLWLD
18EstorilEstoril100285:19-142LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC PortoFC Porto1025:430
2BenficaBenfica1027:825
3Sporting CPSporting CP1124:1124
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara1116:821
5AroucaArouca1113:820
6Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu1115:1320
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente1110:818
8SC BragaSC Braga1012:1114
9MoreirenseMoreirense1113:1814
10FamalicaoFamalicao1115:1413
11AlvercaAlverca1114:1512
12EstrelaEstrela1015:1910
13NacionalNacional1111:1910
14Vitória SCVitória SC1010:109
15MaritimoMaritimo109:218
16Casa PiaCasa Pia116:208
17Rio AveRio Ave109:237
18EstorilEstoril105:192
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Maritimo vs Benfica forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Maritimo and Benfica in the Primeira Liga table

The table shows a wide gap: Benfica are 2nd in the Primeira Liga, while Maritimo sit 15th, 17 points behind. League goal record so far: Maritimo 9-21, Benfica 27-8. The full standings are on the Primeira Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.