Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United Prediction

Tallaght Stadium, Dublin 08/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.36
SignalSOLIDModel69%SurpriseMediumGap-4.0%
Shamrock Rovers Rest
20 days
Drogheda United Rest
7 days

Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United: the result in context

Shamrock Rovers beat Drogheda United 3-1 in the Premier Division on 8 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Drogheda United had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Shamrock Rovers.

Shamrock Rovers have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.2 goals a game. Shamrock Rovers tend to win more corners, 6.5 a game to 3.1 for Drogheda United.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
69%1.36
X
19%4.60
2
12%7.50
Double Chance
1X
88%1.07
X2
32%2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.92
No
50%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.7 + 0.94 = 2.64
Over 1.5
78%1.20
Over 2.5
54%1.67
Over 3.5
33%2.62
Under 1.5
22%4.17
Under 2.5
46%2.14
Under 3.5
67%1.43
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

1'Graham BurkeAssist: John McGovern
20'John McGovern
40'Lee GraceFoul
42'John McGovernAssist: Tunmise Sobowale
45'Lee Grace INCory O'Sullivan out
45'Leo Burney INjames bolger out
60'Dylan Watts INNajemedine Razi out
60'John McGovern INJonathan Afolabi out
61'Graham Burke INAaron Greene out
62'ethan brien o INJago Godden out
62'Warren Davis INMark Doyle out
68'Jack Byrne INJohn O'Reilly-O'Sullivan out
71'Ryan Markey INThomas Oluwa out
86'Aaron GreeneFoul
88'Brandon KavanaghAssist: Shane Farrell
90+2'Cory O'SullivanFoul

Lineups

Shamrock Rovers
3-4-2-1Coach: S. Bradley
Drogheda United
3-5-2Coach: K. Doherty
Avg rating6.74
Avg rating6.19
E. McGinty6.71E. McGinty
D. Cleary6.46D. Cleary
Pico7.14Pico
L. Grace6.45L. Grace
T. Sobowale7.022T. Sobowale
M. Healy7.28M. Healy
D. Watts5.97D. Watts
J. Mulraney6.411J. Mulraney
J. Byrne6.629J. Byrne
G. Burke7.710G. Burke
J. McGovern9.488J. McGovern
Fynn Michael Cordell Talley6.744F. Michael Cordell Talley
A. Quinn5.64A. Quinn
C. Keeley6.622C. Keeley
Leo Burney6.05L. Burney
E. Agbaje5.82E. Agbaje
Ethan O'Brien5.58E. O'Brien
B. Kavanagh6.810B. Kavanagh
S. Farrell7.117S. Farrell
C. Kane5.83C. Kane
R. Markey6.425R. Markey
W. Davis6.324W. Davis

Shamrock Rovers Substitutes

25L. Steacy
28N. Razi60'for Dylan Watts6.8
27C. O'Sullivan45'for Lee Grace90+2'6.1
26John O'Sullivan68'for Jack Byrne6.1
31M. Noonan
9A. Greene61'for Graham Burke86'6.1
24W. Fitzgerald
19A. Brennan
18J. Afolabi60'for John McGovern6.3

Drogheda United Substitutes

18J. Bolger45'for Leo Burney5.9
29J. Brennan
31K. Cruise
14M. Doyle62'for Warren Davis6.5
6J. Godden62'for ethan brien o5.9
36theo hennessy
32D. Mare
33S. McGrath
11T. Oluwa71'for Ryan Markey6.2

Match Stats

Shamrock RoversDrogheda United
61%Ball Possession39%
6Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards0
10Total Shots9
6Shots on Goal3
3Shots off Goal3
7Shots Inside Box5
3Shots Outside Box4
1Blocked Shots3
16Fouls12
6Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves4
544Total Passes342
446Passes Accurate263
12Free Kicks16

Team Comparison

Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers
Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United
1635Elo Rating 1509
2.39Attack 1.37
1.90Defense 1.13
77%Hit Rate 37%
14.5Shots per Game 8.9
6.4Shots on Target 2.6
6.5Corners per Game 3.1
3.1Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+126 Elo
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers6Wins · 60%
Draws440%
Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United0Wins · 0%
2.2Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier Division31/07/2026
Drogheda UnitedShamrock Rovers
00
Premier Division04/05/2026
Shamrock RoversDrogheda United
41
Premier Division16/03/2026
Drogheda UnitedShamrock Rovers
00
FAI Cup12/09/2025
Drogheda UnitedShamrock Rovers
4151
Premier Division31/08/2025
Shamrock RoversDrogheda United
21
Premier Division16/06/2025
Drogheda UnitedShamrock Rovers
12
Premier Division09/05/2025
Shamrock RoversDrogheda United
30
Premier Division14/03/2025
Drogheda UnitedShamrock Rovers
12
Premier Division18/10/2024
Drogheda UnitedShamrock Rovers
01
Premier Division11/08/2024
Shamrock RoversDrogheda United
11

Recent Form

Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers
3W3D4L
18/09/2026
Shamrock RoversWaterford
32
W
11/09/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Shamrock Rovers
20
L
04/09/2026
Shamrock RoversShelbourne
00
D
30/08/2026
Derry CityShamrock Rovers
33
D
27/08/2026
KuPSShamrock Rovers
10
L
20/08/2026
Shamrock RoversKuPS
11
D
16/08/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Shamrock Rovers
3222
L
13/08/2026
Egnatia RrogozhinëShamrock Rovers
51
L
07/08/2026
Shamrock RoversDundalk
32
W
04/08/2026
Shamrock RoversEgnatia Rrogozhinë
31
W
Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United
4W2D4L
01/10/2026
TrabzonsporDrogheda United
01
W
18/09/2026
BohemiansDrogheda United
21
L
14/09/2026
ShelbourneDrogheda United
12
W
11/09/2026
Drogheda UnitedSligo Rovers
20
W
04/09/2026
Drogheda UnitedGalway United
12
L
28/08/2026
Drogheda UnitedDundalk
23
L
21/08/2026
Drogheda UnitedSt Patrick's Athl.
02
L
15/08/2026
College CorinthiansDrogheda United
03
W
07/08/2026
Galway UnitedDrogheda United
00
D
31/07/2026
Drogheda UnitedShamrock Rovers
00
D

League Table

Premier Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers35208758:35+2368WLWWW
2BohemiansBohemians35188960:42+1862LWLWW
3St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.35179953:28+2560DLLWW
4ShelbourneShelbourne3512131050:47+349WWWDW
5Derry CityDerry City3511141048:45+347WWLWD
6Galway UnitedGalway United3510121346:51-542DLWDL
7DundalkDundalk3510121352:58-642LDLLL
8WaterfordWaterford359131351:59-840WWLLD
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United359101642:57-1537LWLLW
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers35592126:64-3824LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers3558:3568
2BohemiansBohemians3560:4262
3St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.3553:2860
4ShelbourneShelbourne3550:4749
5Derry CityDerry City3548:4547
6Galway UnitedGalway United3546:5142
7DundalkDundalk3552:5842
8WaterfordWaterford3551:5940
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United3542:5737
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers3526:6424
Relegation

About the Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United forecast

The forecasts for this Premier Division match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Shamrock Rovers and Drogheda United in the Premier Division table

The table shows a wide gap: Shamrock Rovers are 1st in the Premier Division, while Drogheda United sit 9th, 31 points behind. League goal record so far: Shamrock Rovers 58-35, Drogheda United 42-57. The full standings are on the Premier Division Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Shamrock Rovers have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.