Dundalk vs Bohemians Prediction

Dundalk
1-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Bohemians
Oriel Park, Dundalk 02/10/2026
DundalkDundalk
1-2
Finished
BohemiansBohemians

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.22
SignalSOLIDModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-12.8%
Dundalk Rest
14 days
Bohemians Rest
6 days

Dundalk vs Bohemians: result, form and history

Bohemians beat Dundalk 2-1 in the Premier Division on 2 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Bohemians had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Dundalk.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
26%3.92
X
25%3.90
2
49%1.75
Double Chance
1X
51%2.00
X2
74%1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.50
No
40%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.33 + 1.64 = 2.97
Over 1.5
81%1.14
Over 2.5
64%1.50
Over 3.5
41%2.25
Under 1.5
19%5.45
Under 2.5
36%2.55
Under 3.5
59%1.61
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

26'Colm Whelan(Penalty)
28'Connor ParsonsFoul
49'Harvey WarrenFoul
54'Harvey Warren INEgor Vassenin out
54'Senan MullenFoul
62'Colm Whelan INJames Taylor out
62'Senan Mullen INSadou Diallo out
62'Harry Patrick Vaughan INZ. Myers out
67'Ross TierneyAssist: Patrick Hickey
72'leonardo gaxha INDeclan McDaid out
72'Aodh Dervin INNorman Garbett out
73'Trevor Clarke INCian dillon out
78'Connor Parsons INDayle Rooney out
81'Darragh Power INNiall Morahan out
83'ronan teahan INHarry Groome out
88'Daryl Horgan(Penalty)
89'cian byrne

Lineups

Dundalk
4-2-3-1Coach: C. Kilduff
Bohemians
4-2-3-1Coach: A. Reynolds
Avg rating6.08
Avg rating6.49
E. Minogue5.81E. Minogue
H. Warren6.15H. Warren
M. Animasahun5.94M. Animasahun
T. Grivosti5.944T. Grivosti
B. Burns6.63B. Burns
K. Buckley6.518K. Buckley
A. Dervin6.26A. Dervin
T. Clarke6.415T. Clarke
R. Teahan5.611R. Teahan
D. Horgan5.97D. Horgan
Leonardo Gaxha6.510L. Gaxha
P. Walters7.225P. Walters
D. Power6.316D. Power
P. Hickey6.712P. Hickey
C. Byrne5.924C. Byrne
S. Mullen5.915S. Mullen
D. Devoy6.410D. Devoy
J. Flores6.56J. Flores
R. Tierney7.626R. Tierney
H. Vaughan6.28H. Vaughan
C. Parsons6.17C. Parsons
C. Whelan7.09C. Whelan

Dundalk Substitutes

20P. Cherrie
24R. Cornwall
9C. Dillon73'for Trevor Clarke6.3
14Norman Garbett72'for Aodh Dervin6.0
8H. Groome83'for ronan teahan6.1
27D. McDaid72'for leonardo gaxha5.7
12L. Mulligan
16E. Vassenin54'for Harvey Warren6.0
23A. M. Keogh

Bohemians Substitutes

11D. Rooney78'for Connor Parsons6.9
4N. Morahan81'for Darragh Power6.2
17A. McDonnell
41P. Madden
18D. James-Taylor62'for Colm Whelan6.5
5S. Diallo62'for Senan Mullen6.3
1K. Chorążka
3R. Burke
23Zane Myers62'for Harry Patrick Vaughan6.0

Match Stats

DundalkBohemians
48%Ball Possession52%
2Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
11Total Shots12
5Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal5
8Shots Inside Box12
3Shots Outside Box0
2Blocked Shots4
13Fouls18
1Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves4
372Total Passes413
256Passes Accurate315
18Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

DundalkDundalk
BohemiansBohemians
1493Elo Rating 1622
1.02Attack 0.93
0.78Defense 1.64
0%Hit Rate 37%
14.0Shots per Game 11.4
4.9Shots on Target 4.3
5.3Corners per Game 3.5
1.6Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.97 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

DundalkDundalk
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
BohemiansBohemians
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

DundalkDundalk3Wins · 30%
Draws330%
BohemiansBohemians4Wins · 40%
2.7Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier Division19/06/2026
BohemiansDundalk
12
Premier Division08/05/2026
DundalkBohemians
13
Premier Division20/03/2026
BohemiansDundalk
11
Premier Division27/09/2024
DundalkBohemians
02
Premier Division26/07/2024
BohemiansDundalk
11
Premier Division26/04/2024
DundalkBohemians
20
Premier Division15/04/2024
BohemiansDundalk
10
Premier Division27/10/2023
DundalkBohemians
20
Premier Division07/07/2023
BohemiansDundalk
32
Premier Division19/05/2023
DundalkBohemians
22

Recent Form

DundalkDundalk
2W3D5L
18/09/2026
DundalkShelbourne
23
L
14/09/2026
DundalkSt Patrick's Athl.
04
L
11/09/2026
WaterfordDundalk
11
D
06/09/2026
Derry CityDundalk
42
L
28/08/2026
Drogheda UnitedDundalk
23
W
21/08/2026
DundalkGalway United
12
L
15/08/2026
DundalkCastlebar Celtic
80
W
07/08/2026
Shamrock RoversDundalk
32
L
31/07/2026
DundalkSligo Rovers
11
D
24/07/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Dundalk
11
D
BohemiansBohemians
6W1D3L
26/09/2026
BohemiansBohemians 1905
00
D
18/09/2026
BohemiansDrogheda United
21
W
11/09/2026
Galway UnitedBohemians
23
W
05/09/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Bohemians
7080
W
28/08/2026
BohemiansSligo Rovers
30
W
21/08/2026
BohemiansDerry City
53
W
16/08/2026
BohemiansLongford Town
40
W
13/08/2026
FC MidtjyllandBohemians
32
L
09/08/2026
WaterfordBohemians
31
L
06/08/2026
BohemiansFC Midtjylland
02
L

League Table

Premier Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers35208758:35+2368WLWWW
2BohemiansBohemians35188960:42+1862LWLWW
3St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.35179953:28+2560DLLWW
4ShelbourneShelbourne3512131050:47+349WWWDW
5Derry CityDerry City3511141048:45+347WWLWD
6Galway UnitedGalway United3510121346:51-542DLWDL
7DundalkDundalk3510121352:58-642LDLLL
8WaterfordWaterford359131351:59-840WWLLD
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United359101642:57-1537LWLLW
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers35592126:64-3824LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers3558:3568
2BohemiansBohemians3560:4262
3St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.3553:2860
4ShelbourneShelbourne3550:4749
5Derry CityDerry City3548:4547
6Galway UnitedGalway United3546:5142
7DundalkDundalk3552:5842
8WaterfordWaterford3551:5940
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United3542:5737
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers3526:6424
Relegation

About the Dundalk vs Bohemians forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Dundalk and Bohemians in the Premier Division table

The table shows a wide gap: Bohemians are 2nd in the Premier Division, while Dundalk sit 7th, 20 points behind. League goal record so far: Dundalk 52-58, Bohemians 60-42. The full standings are on the Premier Division Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.