Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers Prediction

Shelbourne
5-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Sligo Rovers
Tolka Park, Dublin 09/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.27
SignalGOODModel69%SurpriseMediumGap-5.8%
Shelbourne Rest
14 days
Sligo Rovers Rest
20 days

Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers: the result in context

Shelbourne beat Sligo Rovers 5-1 in the Premier Division on 9 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. Shelbourne tend to win more corners, 5.2 a game to 3.2 for Sligo Rovers.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
71%1.27
X
19%5.55
2
10%9.00
Double Chance
1X
90%1.06
X2
29%3.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.77
No
47%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.98 + 1.02 = 3.00
Over 1.5
81%1.11
Over 2.5
65%1.43
Over 3.5
42%2.12
Under 1.5
19%5.50
Under 2.5
35%2.56
Under 3.5
58%1.67
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

12'Daniel KellyAssist: Ademipo Odubeko
27'Kaiyne WooleryFoul
28'Jack Henry-FrancisFoul
45+1'Kaiyne WooleryAssist: Jack Shorrock
50'Ademipo OdubekoAssist: Evan Caffrey
52'Ademipo Odubeko INJohn Martin out
52'John MartinAssist: Daniel Kelly
55'Odhran CaseyFoul
57'Milan Bernhard Mbeng
59'James McManus INDaire Patton out
59'Archie Meekison INCian Kavanagh out
59'John MartinAssist: Daniel Kelly
60'Ruben Gillespie INSeb Quirk out
61'Milan Bernhard MbengArgument
64'Milan Bernhard Mbeng INMarco Untergrabner out
64'Jack Henry-Francis INAlistair Coote out
65'A. Gabbidon INKevin Zefi out
76'James Norris INjames roche out
76'Daniel Kelly INSean Boyd out
76'Luke YoungFoul
81'Kaiyne Woolery INLuke Pearce out
85'Sean MooreFoul

Lineups

Shelbourne
3-4-3Coach: J. Russell
Sligo Rovers
4-2-3-1Coach: D. Purse
Avg rating7.18
Avg rating6.15
E. Beach6.119E. Beach
O. Casey6.916O. Casey
D. Kelly9.717D. Kelly
K. Ledwidge7.14K. Ledwidge
M. Mbeng8.225M. Mbeng
Jack Henry-Francis6.621J. Henry-Francis
K. McInroy6.723K. McInroy
James Barry Norris6.418J. Barry Norris
S. Moore6.522S. Moore
M. Odubeko8.711M. Odubeko
E. Caffrey7.527E. Caffrey
Liam John Hughes6.61L. John Hughes
Aidan Gabbidon5.651A. Gabbidon
G. McElroy5.652G. McElroy
C. McHugh6.116C. McHugh
Sean Stewart6.13S. Stewart
L. Young6.46L. Young
5050R. Gillespie
A. Meekison6.010A. Meekison
J. McManus5.914J. McManus
J. Shorrock6.47J. Shorrock
K. Woolery7.141K. Woolery

Shelbourne Substitutes

15S. Bone
9S. Boyd76'for Daniel Kelly6.5
14A. Coote64'for Jack Henry-Francis6.7
36W. Jarvis
10J. Martin52'for Ademipo Odubeko52'59'8.7
44Daniel Ring
55James Roche76'for James Norris6.4
24M. Untergrabner64'for Milan Bernhard Mbeng6.3
31C. Walsh

Sligo Rovers Substitutes

15O. Denham
11C. Kavanagh59'for Archie Meekison6.3
71D. Patton59'for James McManus5.9
9L. Pearce81'for Kaiyne Woolery6.3
4S. Quirk60'replaced by Ruben Gillespie5.8
77Kevin Zefi65'for A. Gabbidon6.5
48Ross Ruane-Dalton
61Conor Cannon
60Charlie Mcgarvey

Match Stats

ShelbourneSligo Rovers
54%Ball Possession46%
10Corner Kicks6
4Yellow Cards2
26Total Shots9
11Shots on Goal1
9Shots off Goal6
17Shots Inside Box4
9Shots Outside Box5
6Blocked Shots2
11Fouls7
1Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves6
448Total Passes375
365Passes Accurate282
7Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

ShelbourneShelbourne
Sligo RoversSligo Rovers
1599Elo Rating 1384
2.29Attack 0.56
2.13Defense 0.13
83%Hit Rate 0%
14.4Shots per Game 8.2
4.6Shots on Target 2.3
5.2Corners per Game 3.2
2.5Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+216 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

ShelbourneShelbourne
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Sligo RoversSligo Rovers
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

ShelbourneShelbourne5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
Sligo RoversSligo Rovers2Wins · 20%
2.5Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier Division27/06/2026
Sligo RoversShelbourne
22
Premier Division08/05/2026
ShelbourneSligo Rovers
00
Premier Division21/03/2026
Sligo RoversShelbourne
01
Premier Division17/10/2025
ShelbourneSligo Rovers
31
Premier Division02/08/2025
Sligo RoversShelbourne
02
Premier Division23/05/2025
ShelbourneSligo Rovers
32
Premier Division28/03/2025
Sligo RoversShelbourne
12
Premier Division27/09/2024
ShelbourneSligo Rovers
00
Premier Division10/08/2024
Sligo RoversShelbourne
21
Premier Division31/05/2024
ShelbourneSligo Rovers
12

Recent Form

Sligo RoversSligo Rovers
1W3D6L
19/09/2026
Sligo RoversSt Patrick's Athl.
01
L
14/09/2026
Sligo RoversGalway United
13
L
11/09/2026
Drogheda UnitedSligo Rovers
20
L
04/09/2026
WaterfordSligo Rovers
30
L
28/08/2026
BohemiansSligo Rovers
30
L
21/08/2026
Sligo RoversWaterford
00
D
15/08/2026
Sligo RoversKerry
40
W
07/08/2026
Derry CitySligo Rovers
20
L
31/07/2026
DundalkSligo Rovers
11
D
25/07/2026
Sligo RoversDrogheda United
22
D

League Table

Premier Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers35208758:35+2368WLWWW
2BohemiansBohemians35188960:42+1862LWLWW
3St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.35179953:28+2560DLLWW
4ShelbourneShelbourne3512131050:47+349WWWDW
5Derry CityDerry City3511141048:45+347WWLWD
6Galway UnitedGalway United3510121346:51-542DLWDL
7DundalkDundalk3510121352:58-642LDLLL
8WaterfordWaterford359131351:59-840WWLLD
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United359101642:57-1537LWLLW
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers35592126:64-3824LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers3558:3568
2BohemiansBohemians3560:4262
3St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.3553:2860
4ShelbourneShelbourne3550:4749
5Derry CityDerry City3548:4547
6Galway UnitedGalway United3546:5142
7DundalkDundalk3552:5842
8WaterfordWaterford3551:5940
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United3542:5737
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers3526:6424
Relegation

About the Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers forecast

The forecasts for this Premier Division match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Shelbourne and Sligo Rovers in the Premier Division table

The table shows a wide gap: Shelbourne are 4th in the Premier Division, while Sligo Rovers sit 10th, 25 points behind. League goal record so far: Shelbourne 50-47, Sligo Rovers 26-64. The full standings are on the Premier Division Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.