Sporting Cristal vs ADT Prediction

Sporting Cristal
5-0
Finished
HT 2-0
ADT
Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima 01/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.3 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.45
SignalGOODModel70%SurpriseMediumGap+1.9%
Sporting Cristal Rest
3 days
ADT Rest
3 days

Sporting Cristal vs ADT: the result in context

Sporting Cristal beat ADT 5-0 in the Copa De La Liga on 1 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Sporting Cristal had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for ADT.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.4 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 8. Sporting Cristal tend to win more corners, 6.9 a game to 4.6 for ADT.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
69%1.45
X
20%4.22
2
11%5.72
Double Chance
1X
89%1.11
X2
31%2.50
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

18'John Narváez
19'Michael Hoyos
28'Martín Távara
36'Leonardo Rugel
45'Santiago González
46'Martín Távara INHernán Barcos out
46'Michael Hoyos INCatriel Cabellos out
61'Maxloren Castro INCristiano out
62'Leandro Sosa
66'Aylton Mazzo INAldair Rodríguez out
66'Jonathan Bauman INSaid peralta out
66'Agustín Álvarez INJuan Gonzalez out
72'Catriel Cabellos
73'Luis Iberico INGabriel out
76'Luis Pérez INAngel Ojeda out
76'Jhojan Garcilazo INO. Riveros out
80'Leonardo Rugel INJoaquín Pereira out
86'Santiago González

Lineups

Sporting Cristal
Coach: R. Mosquera
ADT
Coach: V. Rivera

Sporting Cristal Starting XI

96L. Abram
33C. Bautista
8L. Sosa62'
5R. Lutiger
16L. Iberico73'replaced by Gabriel
22M. Hoyos19'46'replaced by Catriel Cabellos
7S. González45'86'
32L. Díaz
23M. Castro61'replaced by Cristiano
6A. Álvarez66'replaced by Juan Gonzalez
25G. Távara28'46'replaced by Hernán Barcos

ADT Starting XI

33C. Solís
32J. Bauman66'replaced by Said peralta
44H. Benincasa
26Jhojan Garcilazo76'for O. Riveros
27A. Hidalgo
77Juan David Lucumí Cuero
18Aylton Mazzo66'replaced by Aldair Rodríguez
23J. Narváez18'
3L. Rugel36'80'replaced by Joaquín Pereira
31J. Navarro
16L. Pérez76'replaced by Angel Ojeda

Sporting Cristal Substitutes

11I. Ávila
29H. Barcos46'for Martín Távara
21C. Cabellos46'for Michael Hoyos72'
77J. Cuesta
1D. Enríquez
27Gabriel73'for Luis Iberico
18J. González66'for Agustín Álvarez
4A. Villacorta
90Cris Silva61'for Maxloren Castro

ADT Substitutes

6Á. Ojeda76'for Luis Pérez
24S. Peralta66'for Jonathan Bauman
99J. Pereyra80'for Leonardo Rugel
98A. Ramos
2Jair Reyes
50O. Riveros76'replaced by Jhojan Garcilazo
22A. Rodríguez66'for Aylton Mazzo
59O. Núñez
35E. Mori

Match Stats

Sporting CristalADT
45%Ball Possession55%
2Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards2
13Total Shots14
7Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal9
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

Sporting CristalSporting Cristal
ADTADT
1663Elo Rating 1472
2.35Attack 0.50
1.73Defense 1.30
73%Hit Rate 0%
14.3Shots per Game 19.1
4.8Shots on Target 6.6
6.9Corners per Game 4.6
0.9Cards per Game 4.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+191 Elo
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Sporting CristalSporting Cristal
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.9 in first half)
ADTADT
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Sporting CristalSporting Cristal5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
ADTADT2Wins · 20%
3.4Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Copa De La Liga27/09/2026
ADTSporting Cristal
01
Primera División24/05/2026
Sporting CristalADT
21
Primera División04/10/2025
ADTSporting Cristal
32
Primera División17/05/2025
Sporting CristalADT
21
Primera División12/07/2024
ADTSporting Cristal
31
Primera División27/01/2024
Sporting CristalADT
62
Primera División06/08/2023
ADTSporting Cristal
11
Primera División04/03/2023
Sporting CristalADT
00
Primera División29/09/2022
Sporting CristalADT
42
Primera División08/05/2022
ADTSporting Cristal
11

Bracket

Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Cienciano2
ADT3
Alianza Atletico3
Molinos El Pirata2
Sport Boys1
Comerciantes0
Sporting Cristal14
Bentín Tacna Heroica13
On penalties
UCV Moquegua04
Deportivo Garcilaso02
On penalties
UTC Cajamarca4
Deportiva Agropecuaria1
Alianza Atletico15
UTC Cajamarca14
On penalties
Atletico Grau23
Sport Boys24
On penalties
Sporting Cristal4
Sport Huancayo1
ADT2
UCV Moquegua0

About the Sporting Cristal vs ADT forecast

As a knockout tie in the Copa De La Liga, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Copa De La Liga

More Copa De La Liga fixtures and forecasts are on the Copa De La Liga Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Sporting Cristal have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.