UCV Moquegua vs Sporting Cristal Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 9
Estadio 25 de Noviembre, Moquegua 13/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.81
SignalSOLIDModel58%SurpriseMediumGap+3.7%
UCV Moquegua Rest
7 days
Sporting Cristal Rest
6 days
UCV Moquegua vs Sporting Cristal: result, form and history
Sporting Cristal beat UCV Moquegua 2-1 in the Primera División on 13 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Sporting Cristal had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for UCV Moquegua.
Sporting Cristal tend to win more corners, 5.9 a game to 3.3 for UCV Moquegua.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
130%3.72
X27%3.50
243%1.91
Double Chance
1X57%1.84
X270%1.24
Both Teams to Score
Yes57%1.70
No43%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1.39 = 2.59
Over 1.574%1.23
Over 2.555%1.81
Over 3.533%2.89
Under 1.526%3.70
Under 2.545%1.95
Under 3.567%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 4.8 = 9.4
Over 8.559%1.53
Over 9.546%1.93
Over 10.535%2.45
Under 8.541%2.25
Under 9.554%1.80
Under 10.565%1.47
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.2 = 4.5
Over 3.566%-
Over 4.547%1.72
Under 3.534%-
Under 4.553%2.00
Match Events
6'Santiago González
15'Brayan Angulo(Penalty missed)
21'R. ChipaoAssist: Edgar Lastre
35'Miguel AraujoAssist: Santiago González
42'CristianoDissent
45'Brayan Angulo INJeferson Collazos out
45'Allonso Alberto Dávila Cárdenas INNicolas Chavez out
45+3'Luis IbericoArgument
45+3'Juan Diego LojasArgument
45+3'Cristian MejíaArgument
51'Cristian EncisoFoul
59'Santiago GonzálezFoul
62'Michael Hoyos INIrven Avila out
73'Luis Iberico INGabriel out
77'Juan Diego Lojas INDiego Ramírez out
83'Maxloren Castro INLeonardo Diaz Laffore out
83'Agustín Álvarez INMartín Távara out
83'Leandro Sosa INJuan Gonzalez out
83'R. Chipao INClaudio Ramírez out
83'Yorman Zapata INY. López out
90+2'Irven AvilaDissent
90+4'Goal cancelledJuan Gonzalez
Lineups
UCV MoqueguaSporting Cristal
4-2-3-1Coach: R. MosqueraAvg ratingAvg rating
1C. Grados
4A. Perleche
13J. Lojas
3C. Enciso
15N. Amasifuén
7E. Lastre
8C. Mejía
25R. Chipao
16A. Alberto Dávila Cárdenas
17Y. Zapata
11B. Angulo
1D. Enríquez
8L. Sosa
20M. Araujo
5R. Lutiger
90C. Silva
6A. Álvarez
19Y. Yotún
7S. González
16L. Iberico
23M. Castro
22M. HoyosUCV Moquegua Substitutes
10N. Chávez45'for Allonso Alberto Dávila Cárdenas
29R. Figueroa
30J. Granda
88Y. López83'for Yorman Zapata
22E. Montenegro
20D. Ramírez77'for Juan Diego Lojas
14Claudio Guillermo Ramírez Llamocca83'for R. Chipao
35E. Santillán
90J. Collazos45'for Brayan Angulo
Sporting Cristal Substitutes
4A. Villacorta
25G. Távara83'for Agustín Álvarez
27Gabriel73'for Luis Iberico
18J. González83'for Leandro Sosa
32L. Díaz83'for Maxloren Castro
77J. Cuesta
21C. Cabellos
33C. Bautista
11I. Ávila62'for Michael Hoyos90+2'
Match Stats
UCV MoqueguaSporting Cristal 54%Ball Possession46%
10Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards4
21Total Shots10
6Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal6
8Shots Inside Box5
13Shots Outside Box5
10Blocked Shots2
13Fouls17
1Offsides3
0Goalkeeper Saves5
341Total Passes348
279Passes Accurate286
14Free Kicks10
Team Comparison
UCV MoqueguaSporting Cristal1440Elo Rating 1680
0.19Attack 2.69
1.34Defense 1.38
19%Hit Rate 77%
7.7Shots per Game 15.6
1.4Shots on Target 5.4
3.3Corners per Game 5.9
2.3Cards per Game 1.5
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
UCV Moquegua- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Sporting Cristal- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 1.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
1 previous meeting, all competitions
UCV Moquegua1Wins · 100%Draws00%
Sporting Cristal0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1
Previous meetings
03/04/2026Sporting CristalUCV Moquegua12
Recent Form
UCV Moquegua2W4D4L
06/09/2026
CuscoUCV Moquegua
30/08/2026CuscoUCV Moquegua20
LUCV Moquegua
Alianza Atletico14
L27/08/2026
ADTUCV Moquegua
22/08/2026ADTUCV Moquegua20
L
Sport HuancayoUCV Moquegua02
W16/08/2026UCV Moquegua
Sport Boys11
D09/08/2026
Deportivo GarcilasoUCV Moquegua20
L02/08/2026UCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar00
D26/07/2026
UTC CajamarcaUCV Moquegua00
D18/07/2026UCV Moquegua
Comerciantes Unidos22
D12/07/2026UCV MoqueguaDeportivo Garcilaso
UCV MoqueguaDeportivo Garcilaso4020
WSporting Cristal4W2D4L
06/09/2026Sporting Cristal
Club Deportivo Los ChankasSport BoysSporting CristalAlianza AtleticoSporting Cristal
UniversitarioSporting CristalSporting Cristal
Juan Pablo II College
RB BragantinoSporting CristalFBC MelgarSporting CristalSporting CristalRB Bragantino
Sporting CristalClub Deportivo Los Chankas50
W30/08/2026Sport BoysSporting Cristal10
L26/08/2026Sporting CristalSport Huancayo
21/08/2026Sporting CristalSport Huancayo41
WAlianza AtleticoSporting Cristal31
L16/08/2026Sporting CristalSport Huancayo
08/08/2026Sporting CristalSport Huancayo41
WUniversitarioSporting Cristal11
D02/08/2026Sporting CristalJuan Pablo II College20
W30/07/2026RB BragantinoSporting Cristal10
L26/07/2026FBC MelgarSporting Cristal21
L23/07/2026Sporting CristalRB Bragantino00
DLeague Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alianza Lima | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 52:23 | +29 | 65 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Universitario | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 52:34 | +18 | 56 | WLWLW |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 54:35 | +19 | 54 | DWLWW |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 47:33 | +14 | 51 | WWWLL |
| 5 | Cusco | 32 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 46:44 | +2 | 51 | LDDWW |
| 6 |  Cienciano | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 53:43 | +10 | 50 | WWDLW |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 49:46 | +3 | 49 | WLWWL |
| 8 | Sporting Cristal | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 57:47 | +10 | 47 | DDLLW |
| 9 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 39:51 | -12 | 47 | WDLLW |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 35:33 | +2 | 44 | DLDWL |
| 11 | Sport Huancayo | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 44:48 | -4 | 44 | WLLWD |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 47:57 | -10 | 41 | LLLDD |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 35 | DLWWD |
| 14 |  Atletico Grau | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 28:38 | -10 | 34 | LLLWL |
| 15 | ADT | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 33:45 | -12 | 30 | DWWDL |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 25:46 | -21 | 29 | LDLWL |
| 17 |  FC Cajamarca | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 44:60 | -16 | 28 | WWLLD |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 36:55 | -19 | 18 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 52:23 | 65 |
| 2 | Universitario | 30 | 52:34 | 56 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 31 | 54:35 | 54 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 31 | 47:33 | 51 |
| 5 | Cusco | 32 | 46:44 | 51 |
| 6 | Cienciano | 31 | 53:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 32 | 49:46 | 49 |
| 8 | Sporting Cristal | 31 | 57:47 | 47 |
| 9 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 32 | 39:51 | 47 |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 31 | 35:33 | 44 |
| 11 | Sport Huancayo | 31 | 44:48 | 44 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 32 | 47:57 | 41 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 31 | 42:45 | 35 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 31 | 28:38 | 34 |
| 15 | ADT | 31 | 33:45 | 30 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 32 | 25:46 | 29 |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 31 | 44:60 | 28 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 31 | 36:55 | 18 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | WDLLW |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | WWDLW |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | WLWLW |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | DWLWW |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | LDDWW |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | WWWLL |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | WLWWL |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | DLWWD |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | DWWDL |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | DLDWL |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | DDLLW |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | LLDLD |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | LDLWL |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | WWLLD |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | LLLWL |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | WLLWD |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | LLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 29:17 | +12 | 28 | DDLLW |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 23:17 | +6 | 28 | WLLWD |
| 3 | Alianza Atletico | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 29:28 | +1 | 28 | WLWWL |
| 4 | Universitario | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 28:19 | +9 | 27 | WLWLW |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 25:15 | +10 | 26 | DWLWW |
| 6 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 26:15 | +11 | 25 | WWWLL |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II College | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:17 | +8 | 25 | LLLDD |
| 8 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22:15 | +7 | 25 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20:14 | +6 | 24 | DLDWL |
| 10 | Cusco | 15 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 25:20 | +5 | 24 | LDDWW |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 18 | LLLWL |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19:21 | -2 | 17 | WWDLW |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 24:25 | -1 | 14 | DLWWD |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14:30 | -16 | 13 | WDLLW |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 21:32 | -11 | 11 | WWLLD |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 8:22 | -14 | 11 | LDLWL |
| 17 | ADT | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11:24 | -13 | 10 | DWWDL |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 15:29 | -14 | 5 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 14 | 29:17 | 28 |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 14 | 23:17 | 28 |
| 3 | Alianza Atletico | 15 | 29:28 | 28 |
| 4 | Universitario | 13 | 28:19 | 27 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 14 | 25:15 | 26 |
| 6 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 14 | 26:15 | 25 |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II College | 15 | 25:17 | 25 |
| 8 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 22:15 | 25 |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 14 | 20:14 | 24 |
| 10 | Cusco | 15 | 25:20 | 24 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 14 | 16:20 | 18 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 19:21 | 17 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 14 | 24:25 | 14 |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 15 | 14:30 | 13 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 14 | 21:32 | 11 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 15 | 8:22 | 11 |
| 17 | ADT | 14 | 11:24 | 10 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 14 | 15:29 | 5 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera División matches
- Cusco vs FBC Melgar 12/09/26
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs FC Cajamarca 12/09/26
- Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Huancayo 12/09/26
- Alianza Lima vs Universitario 13/09/26
- Sport Boys vs Deportivo Garcilaso 13/09/26
- Atletico Grau vs Alianza Atletico 13/09/26
- Alianza Atletico vs Comerciantes Unidos 18/09/26
- Alianza Lima vs ADT 19/09/26
About the UCV Moquegua vs Sporting Cristal forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
UCV Moquegua and Sporting Cristal in the Primera División table
In the Primera División table, Sporting Cristal are 8th and UCV Moquegua 16th, 18 points apart. League goal record so far: UCV Moquegua 25-46, Sporting Cristal 57-47. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Sporting Cristal have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. UCV Moquegua and Sporting Cristal have met only 1 time recently, with 3.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.