UCV Moquegua vs Sporting Cristal Prediction

Estadio 25 de Noviembre, Moquegua 13/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.81
SignalGOODModel58%RiskMediumGap+3.7%
UCV Moquegua Rest
7 days
Sporting Cristal Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
30%3.72
X
27%3.50
2
43%1.91
Double Chance
1X
57%1.84
X2
70%1.24
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.70
No
43%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1.39 = 2.59
Over 1.5
74%1.23
Over 2.5
55%1.81
Over 3.5
33%2.89
Under 1.5
26%3.70
Under 2.5
45%1.95
Under 3.5
67%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 4.8 = 9.4
Over 8.5
59%1.53
Over 9.5
46%1.93
Over 10.5
35%2.45
Under 8.5
41%2.25
Under 9.5
54%1.80
Under 10.5
65%1.47
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.2 = 4.5
Over 3.5
66%-
Over 4.5
47%1.72
Under 3.5
34%-
Under 4.5
53%2.00

Match Events

6'Santiago González
15'Brayan Angulo(Penalty missed)
21'R. ChipaoAssist: Edgar Lastre
35'Miguel AraujoAssist: Santiago González
42'CristianoDissent
45+3'Luis IbericoArgument
45+3'Juan Diego LojasArgument
45+3'Cristian MejíaArgument
45'Brayan Angulo INJeferson Collazos out
45'Allonso Alberto Dávila Cárdenas INNicolas Chavez out
51'Cristian EncisoFoul
59'Santiago GonzálezFoul
62'Michael Hoyos INIrven Avila out
73'Luis Iberico INGabriel out
77'Juan Diego Lojas INDiego Ramírez out
83'Maxloren Castro INLeonardo Diaz Laffore out
83'Agustín Álvarez INMartín Távara out
83'Leandro Sosa INJuan Gonzalez out
83'R. Chipao INClaudio Ramírez out
83'Yorman Zapata INY. López out
90+2'Irven AvilaDissent
90+4'Goal cancelledJuan Gonzalez

Lineups

UCV Moquegua
4-4-2Coach: J. Serna
Sporting Cristal
4-2-3-1Coach: R. Mosquera
C. Grados1C. GradosC. Grados
A. Perleche4A. PerlecheA. Perleche
J. Lojas13J. LojasJ. Lojas
C. Enciso3C. EncisoC. Enciso
N. Amasifuén15N. AmasifuénN. Amasifuén
E. Lastre7E. LastreE. Lastre
C. Mejía8C. MejíaC. Mejía
R. Chipao25R. ChipaoR. Chipao
Allonso Alberto Dávila Cárdenas16A. Alberto Dávila CárdenasAllonso Alberto Dávila Cárdenas
Y. Zapata17Y. ZapataY. Zapata
B. Angulo11B. AnguloB. Angulo
D. Enríquez1D. EnríquezD. Enríquez
L. Sosa8L. SosaL. Sosa
M. Araujo20M. AraujoM. Araujo
R. Lutiger5R. LutigerR. Lutiger
Cris Silva90C. SilvaCris Silva
A. Álvarez6A. ÁlvarezA. Álvarez
Y. Yotún19Y. YotúnY. Yotún
S. González7S. GonzálezS. González
L. Iberico16L. IbericoL. Iberico
M. Castro23M. CastroM. Castro
M. Hoyos22M. HoyosM. Hoyos

UCV Moquegua Substitutes

10N. ChávezM
29R. FigueroaG
30J. GrandaD
88Y. LópezD
22E. MontenegroD
20D. RamírezM
14Claudio Guillermo Ramírez LlamoccaM
35E. SantillánM
90J. CollazosF

Sporting Cristal Substitutes

4A. VillacortaD
25G. TávaraM
27GabrielM
18J. GonzálezD
32L. DíazD
77J. CuestaF
21C. CabellosM
33C. BautistaG
11I. ÁvilaF

Match Stats

UCV MoqueguaSporting Cristal
53%Ball Possession47%
10Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards4
20Total Shots10
6Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal6
8Shots Inside Box5
12Shots Outside Box5
9Blocked Shots2
13Fouls18
1Offsides3
0Goalkeeper Saves5
335Total Passes332
274Passes Accurate276
14Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua
Sporting CristalSporting Cristal
1488Elo Rating 1638
0.75Attack 2.49
0.89Defense 1.95
14%Hit Rate 66%
12.5Shots per Game 11.4
3.5Shots on Target 4.0
4.9Corners per Game 5.1
2.3Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.1 in second half)
Sporting CristalSporting Cristal
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 1 historical meeting

UCV Moquegua 100%Draw 0%0% Sporting Cristal
3Avg Goals
100%BTTS Rate
100%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Sporting CristalSporting Cristal
3W0D2L

League Table

Primera División 2026

Primera Division: Tabla Anual

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima26158342:18+2453LWDWW
2UniversitarioUniversitario26147543:27+1649WDWLW
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar26136744:28+1645LDDLL
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso26136735:24+1145WDDLL
5CuscoCusco261331038:37+142WWLWL
6Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas26125935:44-941WWWWW
7CiencianoCienciano25124944:37+740WWWWD
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico26107938:34+437DDWLD
9Sport BoysSport Boys26107928:25+337LWLLD
10Sporting CristalSporting Cristal261051145:39+635LLWWL
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau26951225:28-332DDDWL
12Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo26951234:42-832DLLLW
13Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College26871138:52-1431WLLWW
14Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos26791034:36-230DDWLW
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca26761340:50-1027LLLLL
16UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua26671324:37-1325WLLWD
17ADTADT25571327:39-1222DWLDD
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca26481430:47-1715LDLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima2642:1853
2UniversitarioUniversitario2643:2749
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar2644:2845
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso2635:2445
5CuscoCusco2638:3742
6Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas2635:4441
7CiencianoCienciano2544:3740
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico2638:3437
9Sport BoysSport Boys2628:2537
10Sporting CristalSporting Cristal2645:3935
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau2625:2832
12Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo2634:4232
13Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College2638:5231
14Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos2634:3630
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca2640:5027
16UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua2624:3725
17ADTADT2527:3922
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca2630:4715

Primera Division: Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima17124130:8+2240LWDWW
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas17104325:21+434WWWWW
3CiencianoCienciano17103434:22+1233WWWWD
4UniversitarioUniversitario1785424:15+929WDWLW
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1784529:20+928LDDLL
6CuscoCusco1783621:24-327WWLWL
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1775521:18+326WDDLL
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1756620:18+221DDWLD
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1756618:20-221DDWLW
10ADTADT1755722:21+120DWLDD
11Sport BoysSport Boys1755715:19-420LWLLD
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1754828:30-219LLWWL
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1746721:26-518LDLWL
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1753917:24-718WLLWD
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1745823:28-517LLLLL
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1744912:18-616DDDWL
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1744921:31-1016DLLLW
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1744922:40-1816WLLWW
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1730:840
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1725:2134
3CiencianoCienciano1734:2233
4UniversitarioUniversitario1724:1529
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1729:2028
6CuscoCusco1721:2427
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1721:1826
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1720:1821
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1718:2021
10ADTADT1722:2120
11Sport BoysSport Boys1715:1920
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1728:3019
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1721:2618
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1717:2418
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1723:2817
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1712:1816
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1721:3116
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1722:4016

Primera Division: Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1UniversitarioUniversitario962119:12+720WDWLW
2Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso961214:6+819WDDLL
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar952215:8+717LDDLL
4Sport BoysSport Boys952213:6+717LWLLD
5Sporting CristalSporting Cristal951317:9+816LLWWL
6Atletico GrauAtletico Grau951313:10+316DDDWL
7Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico951318:16+216DDWLD
8Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo951313:11+216DLLLW
9CuscoCusco950417:13+415WWLWL
10Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College943216:12+415WLLWW
11Alianza LimaAlianza Lima934212:10+213LWDWW
12FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca931517:22-510LLLLL
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos923416:1609DDWLW
14CiencianoCienciano821510:15-57WWWWD
15UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua91447:13-67WLLWD
16Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas921610:23-137WWWWW
17UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca90279:21-122LDLWL
18ADTADT80265:18-132DWLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1UniversitarioUniversitario919:1220
2Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso914:619
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar915:817
4Sport BoysSport Boys913:617
5Sporting CristalSporting Cristal917:916
6Atletico GrauAtletico Grau913:1016
7Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico918:1616
8Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo913:1116
9CuscoCusco917:1315
10Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College916:1215
11Alianza LimaAlianza Lima912:1013
12FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca917:2210
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos916:169
14CiencianoCienciano810:157
15UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua97:137
16Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas910:237
17UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca99:212
18ADTADT85:182
PromotionRelegation

UCV Moquegua vs Sporting Cristal Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Primera División fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Primera División

ScorePredicts covers Peru football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

UCV Moquegua and Sporting Cristal have met 1 times recently, averaging 3 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.