Sporting Cristal vs Atletico Grau Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 10
Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima·Mike Palomino 19/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
63%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.36
SignalNEUTRALModel66%SurpriseMediumGap-11.0%
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 9.5
1.87
SignalSOLIDModel58%SurpriseMediumGap+8.0%
Sporting Cristal Rest
6 days
Atletico Grau Rest
6 days
Sporting Cristal vs Atletico Grau: result, form and history
Sporting Cristal beat Atletico Grau 3-1 in the Primera División on 19 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Sporting Cristal have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.9 goals a game. Sporting Cristal tend to win more corners, 6.1 a game to 3.1 for Atletico Grau.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
165%1.36
X20%4.55
215%7.38
Double Chance
1X85%1.07
X235%2.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes53%1.83
No47%1.86
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.75 + 0.95 = 2.70
Over 1.578%1.19
Over 2.557%1.63
Over 3.536%2.58
Under 1.522%4.21
Under 2.543%2.17
Under 3.564%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 3.6 = 9
Over 8.555%1.48
Over 9.542%1.82
Over 10.531%2.29
Under 8.545%2.42
Under 9.558%1.87
Under 10.569%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.6 = 4.7
Over 3.568%-
Over 4.550%1.70
Under 3.532%-
Under 4.550%2.02
Match Events
3'Rafael LutigerAssist: Yoshimar Yotún
26'Luis IbericoAssist: Santiago González
39'Rafael GuarderasFoul
45'Adrián FernándezAssist: Rafael Guarderas
45'Diego Barreto INMauro Da Luz out
50'Freddy OncoyArgument
50'CristianoArgument
50'Michael HoyosAssist: Yoshimar Yotún
54'Gabriel AlfaroFoul
66'Adrián FernándezFoul
69'Pablo Lavandeira INLuis Benites out
69'Adrián Fernández INEslyn Imanol Correa Vilela out
69'Aldair Vásquez INRaúl Ruidíaz out
77'Luis Iberico INGabriel out
77'Cristiano INLuis Abram out
78'Freddy Oncoy INChristian Vasquez out
83'Agustín Álvarez INMartín Távara out
84'Santiago González INJuan Manuel Cuesta out
87'Michael Hoyos INIrven Avila out
90+1'Luis AbramFoul
Lineups
Sporting CristalAtletico Grau
5-4-1Coach: G. AmeliAvg ratingAvg rating
1D. Enríquez
8L. Sosa
20M. Araujo
5R. Lutiger
90C. Silva
6A. Álvarez
19Y. Yotún
7S. González
16L. Iberico
23M. Castro
22M. Hoyos
1P. Álvarez
4D. Rodríguez
27R. Tapia
13F. Oncoy
3I. Tapia
25G. Alfaro
5R. Guarderas
15P. Lavandeira
20A. Vásquez
7D. Barreto
99A. FernándezSporting Cristal Substitutes
21C. Cabellos
33C. Bautista
96L. Abram77'for Cristiano90+1'
77J. Cuesta84'for Santiago González
32L. Díaz
18J. González
27Gabriel77'for Luis Iberico
25G. Távara83'for Agustín Álvarez
11I. Ávila87'for Michael Hoyos
Atletico Grau Substitutes
96L. Benítes69'for Pablo Lavandeira
16J. Ataupillco
33J. Calderón
21E. Correa69'for Adrián Fernández
77M. da Luz45'for Diego Barreto
6E. Rodas
9R. Ruidíaz69'for Aldair Vásquez
24Yamir Ruidíaz Misitich
8C. Vásquez78'for Freddy Oncoy
Match Stats
Sporting CristalAtletico Grau 53%Ball Possession47%
9Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards4
17Total Shots10
11Shots on Goal5
3Shots off Goal3
9Shots Inside Box6
8Shots Outside Box4
3Blocked Shots2
10Fouls9
1Offsides4
4Goalkeeper Saves8
416Total Passes371
344Passes Accurate300
9Free Kicks10
Team Comparison
Sporting CristalAtletico Grau1689Elo Rating 1544
3.03Attack 1.34
1.63Defense 1.14
81%Hit Rate 27%
17.1Shots per Game 8.5
5.4Shots on Target 3.0
6.1Corners per Game 3.1
1.9Cards per Game 1.7
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+145 Elo
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Sporting Cristal- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (2.3 vs 0.8 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Atletico Grau- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.5 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Sporting Cristal6Wins · 60%Draws220%
Atletico Grau2Wins · 20%
2Wins · 20%2.9Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10
Previous meetings
22/04/2026Atletico GrauSporting Cristal41
19/11/2025Atletico GrauSporting Cristal12
13/07/2025Sporting CristalAtletico Grau21
11/08/2024Atletico GrauSporting Cristal11
02/03/2024Sporting CristalAtletico Grau10
17/08/2023Atletico GrauSporting Cristal23
19/03/2023Sporting CristalAtletico Grau21
20/10/2022Sporting CristalAtletico Grau12
19/06/2022Atletico GrauSporting Cristal02
03/09/2019Atletico GrauSporting Cristal5131
Recent Form
Sporting Cristal5W1D4L
13/09/2026
UCV MoqueguaSporting CristalSporting Cristal
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Sport BoysSporting Cristal
Alianza AtleticoSporting Cristal
UniversitarioSporting CristalSporting Cristal
Juan Pablo II College
RB BragantinoSporting Cristal
FBC MelgarSporting Cristal
UCV MoqueguaSporting Cristal12
W06/09/2026Sporting CristalClub Deportivo Los Chankas50
W30/08/2026Sport BoysSporting Cristal10
L26/08/2026Sporting Cristal
Sport Huancayo
21/08/2026Sporting CristalSport Huancayo41
WAlianza AtleticoSporting Cristal31
L16/08/2026Sporting CristalSport Huancayo
08/08/2026Sporting CristalSport Huancayo41
WUniversitarioSporting Cristal11
D02/08/2026Sporting CristalJuan Pablo II College20
W30/07/2026RB BragantinoSporting Cristal10
L26/07/2026FBC MelgarSporting Cristal21
LAtletico Grau5W1D4L
13/09/2026Atletico GrauAlianza Atletico
Deportivo GarcilasoAtletico GrauAtletico GrauFBC Melgar
FC CajamarcaAtletico GrauAtletico Grau
Comerciantes UnidosJuan Pablo II CollegeAtletico GrauAtletico GrauSport BoysSport HuancayoAtletico GrauAtletico Grau
UTC Cajamarca
Atletico GrauAlianza Atletico31
W06/09/2026Deportivo GarcilasoAtletico Grau42
L01/09/2026Atletico GrauFBC Melgar10
W26/08/2026Atletico GrauSport Boys
21/08/2026Atletico GrauSport Boys3242
LFC CajamarcaAtletico Grau13
W14/08/2026Atletico GrauComerciantes Unidos10
W08/08/2026Juan Pablo II CollegeAtletico Grau00
D01/08/2026Atletico GrauSport Boys01
L25/07/2026Sport HuancayoAtletico Grau20
L18/07/2026Atletico GrauUTC Cajamarca31
WReferee Profile
4.88Cards per match
4.59Yellow cards per match
0.29Red cards per match
23.3Fouls per match
Strictness
Stricter than 69% of referees analysed
Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.
League Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alianza Lima | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 54:24 | +30 | 69 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Universitario | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 59:39 | +20 | 61 | DLDWL |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 56:38 | +18 | 57 | DWDWL |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 50:35 | +15 | 55 | DWWWW |
| 5 | Sporting Cristal | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 63:48 | +15 | 51 | WLDDL |
| 6 |  Cusco | 33 | 16 | 3 | 14 | 46:47 | -1 | 51 | WLDDW |
| 7 |  Cienciano | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 54:46 | +8 | 50 | DLWWD |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 48:49 | -1 | 50 | DLWLL |
| 9 | Alianza Atletico | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 49:48 | +1 | 49 | DWLWW |
| 10 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 40:52 | -12 | 48 | LWDLL |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 37:35 | +2 | 42 | DWDLD |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 48:59 | -11 | 41 | DLLLD |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 33 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 44:47 | -3 | 37 | DLDLW |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 32:41 | -9 | 37 | LWLLL |
| 15 |  ADT | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36:48 | -12 | 31 | LWDWW |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 27:48 | -21 | 30 | DLDLW |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 46:65 | -19 | 29 | DWWWL |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 33 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 38:58 | -20 | 14 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 33 | 54:24 | 69 |
| 2 | Universitario | 33 | 59:39 | 61 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 33 | 56:38 | 57 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 33 | 50:35 | 55 |
| 5 | Sporting Cristal | 33 | 63:48 | 51 |
| 6 | Cusco | 33 | 46:47 | 51 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 33 | 54:46 | 50 |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 33 | 48:49 | 50 |
| 9 | Alianza Atletico | 33 | 49:48 | 49 |
| 10 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 33 | 40:52 | 48 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 33 | 37:35 | 42 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 33 | 48:59 | 41 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 33 | 44:47 | 37 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 33 | 32:41 | 37 |
| 15 | ADT | 33 | 36:48 | 31 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 33 | 27:48 | 30 |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 33 | 46:65 | 29 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 33 | 38:58 | 14 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | LWDLL |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | DLWWD |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | DLDWL |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | DWDWL |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | WLDDW |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | DWWWW |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | DWLWW |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | DLDLW |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | LWDWW |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | DWDLD |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | WLDDL |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | DLLLD |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | DLDLW |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | DWWWL |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | DLWLL |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Huancayo | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 27:18 | +9 | 34 | DLWLL |
| 2 | Sporting Cristal | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 35:18 | +17 | 32 | WLDDL |
| 3 | Universitario | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 35:24 | +11 | 32 | DLDWL |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 29:17 | +12 | 29 | DWWWW |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 27:18 | +9 | 29 | DWDWL |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24:16 | +8 | 29 | WWDWW |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 29:30 | -1 | 28 | DWLWW |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | +6 | 26 | DWDLD |
| 9 | Juan Pablo II College | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 26:19 | +7 | 25 | DLLLD |
| 10 | Cusco | 16 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 25:23 | +2 | 24 | WLDDW |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 | LWLLL |
| 12 | Cienciano | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 20:24 | -4 | 17 | DLWWD |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 26:27 | -1 | 16 | DLDLW |
| 14 | FC Cajamarca | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 23:37 | -14 | 14 | DWWWL |
| 15 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:31 | -16 | 14 | LWDLL |
| 16 | ADT | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14:27 | -13 | 12 | LWDWW |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 10:24 | -14 | 12 | DLDLW |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17:32 | -15 | 6 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Huancayo | 16 | 27:18 | 34 |
| 2 | Sporting Cristal | 16 | 35:18 | 32 |
| 3 | Universitario | 16 | 35:24 | 32 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 16 | 29:17 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 16 | 27:18 | 29 |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 16 | 24:16 | 29 |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 16 | 29:30 | 28 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 16 | 22:16 | 26 |
| 9 | Juan Pablo II College | 16 | 26:19 | 25 |
| 10 | Cusco | 16 | 25:23 | 24 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 16 | 20:23 | 21 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 16 | 20:24 | 17 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 16 | 26:27 | 16 |
| 14 | FC Cajamarca | 16 | 23:37 | 14 |
| 15 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 16 | 15:31 | 14 |
| 16 | ADT | 16 | 14:27 | 12 |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 16 | 10:24 | 12 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 16 | 17:32 | 6 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera División matches
- Atletico Grau vs Alianza Atletico 13/09/26
- Alianza Atletico vs Comerciantes Unidos 18/09/26
- Alianza Lima vs ADT 19/09/26
- FC Cajamarca vs Cusco 19/09/26
- Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universitario 20/09/26
- FBC Melgar vs Sport Boys 20/09/26
- Sport Huancayo vs UTC Cajamarca 20/09/26
- Juan Pablo II College vs UCV Moquegua 20/09/26
About the Sporting Cristal vs Atletico Grau forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Sporting Cristal and Atletico Grau in the Primera División table
In the Primera División table, Sporting Cristal are 5th and Atletico Grau 14th, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: Sporting Cristal 63-48, Atletico Grau 32-41. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.