Valencia vs Villarreal Prediction
Spain · Regular Season - 10
Valencia vs Villarreal in numbers
On form this looks evenly balanced, with Valencia on 1 win from their last five and Villarreal on 2. It is a derby, played in the La Liga on 24 Oct 2026.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.
Match Forecasts
Team Comparison
Valencia
VillarrealAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Valencia- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Villarreal- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.7 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Valencia2Wins · 20%5Wins · 50%Previous meetings
22/02/2026VillarrealValencia25/10/2025ValenciaVillarreal15/02/2025VillarrealValencia31/08/2024ValenciaVillarreal17/03/2024VillarrealValencia02/01/2024ValenciaVillarreal03/05/2023ValenciaVillarreal31/12/2022VillarrealValencia19/04/2022VillarrealValencia30/10/2021ValenciaVillarrealRecent Form
ValenciaValencia
Athletic Club
Racing SantanderValenciaValencia
Real Sociedad
AlavesValencia
SevillaValenciaValencia
Barcelona
Deportivo La CorunaValenciaValencia
Real BetisValencia
Celta VigoValencia
NewcastleVillarreal
LiverpoolVillarrealVillarreal
ElcheVillarreal
Napoli
Real MadridVillarrealVillarreal
Levante
MalagaVillarrealVillarrealReal Betis
Borussia DortmundVillarrealVillarrealDeportivo La CorunaAlavesVillarrealLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 39:9 | +30 | 27 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19:8 | +11 | 22 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 23:9 | +14 | 21 | WWLWW |
| 4 | Real Betis | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:14 | +2 | 19 | LWDWW |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:17 | 0 | 16 | WWWLW |
| 6 | Sevilla | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:16 | -2 | 14 | LDLWW |
| 7 | Alaves | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:10 | +3 | 11 | LLDLL |
| 8 | Celta Vigo | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10:7 | +3 | 11 | WDWDD |
| 9 | Deportivo La Coruna | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13:12 | +1 | 11 | DLDLD |
| 10 |  Osasuna | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:18 | -8 | 11 | WLDLL |
| 11 | Levante | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 15:17 | -2 | 10 | WDDLL |
| 12 | Villarreal | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 9 | DLWWL |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 | DDDDW |
| 14 |  Rayo Vallecano | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:17 | -5 | 9 | DDWLW |
| 15 |  Getafe | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 9 | DLWLD |
| 16 |  Espanyol | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:12 | -1 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 17 | Racing Santander | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:25 | -12 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 18 | Elche | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:17 | -6 | 7 | DDWLD |
| 19 | Valencia | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6:15 | -9 | 6 | DDLWL |
| 20 | Malaga | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6:18 | -12 | 4 | LDLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 9 | 39:9 | 27 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 9 | 19:8 | 22 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 9 | 23:9 | 21 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 9 | 16:14 | 19 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 9 | 17:17 | 16 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 9 | 14:16 | 14 |
| 7 | Alaves | 9 | 13:10 | 11 |
| 8 | Celta Vigo | 9 | 10:7 | 11 |
| 9 | Deportivo La Coruna | 9 | 13:12 | 11 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 9 | 10:18 | 11 |
| 11 | Levante | 9 | 15:17 | 10 |
| 12 | Villarreal | 9 | 13:13 | 9 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8:9 | 9 |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 8 | 12:17 | 9 |
| 15 | Getafe | 9 | 5:11 | 9 |
| 16 | Espanyol | 9 | 11:12 | 8 |
| 17 | Racing Santander | 9 | 13:25 | 8 |
| 18 | Elche | 9 | 11:17 | 7 |
| 19 | Valencia | 9 | 6:15 | 6 |
| 20 | Malaga | 9 | 6:18 | 4 |
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This match
About the Valencia vs Villarreal forecast
As a derby, this La Liga meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Valencia and Villarreal in the La Liga table
In the La Liga table, Villarreal are 12th and Valencia 19th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Valencia 6-15, Villarreal 13-13. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.