Racing Santander vs Valencia Prediction

Racing Santander
2-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Valencia
El Sardinero, Santander·Luis Bestard Servera 11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-2.9%
Racing Santander Rest
22 days
Valencia Rest
21 days

Racing Santander vs Valencia: result, form and history

Racing Santander and Valencia drew 2-2 in the La Liga on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.25
X
33%3.50
2
29%3.17
Double Chance
1X
71%1.36
X2
62%1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.53
No
41%2.40
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.34 + 1.25 = 2.59
Over 1.5
75%1.20
Over 2.5
52%1.68
Over 3.5
32%2.62
Under 1.5
25%4.28
Under 2.5
48%2.21
Under 3.5
68%1.47
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.7 = 9.4
Over 8.5
61%1.34
Over 9.5
51%1.62
Over 10.5
35%2.02
Under 8.5
39%2.85
Under 9.5
49%2.14
Under 10.5
65%1.72
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.2 = 4.2
Over 3.5
61%1.27
Over 4.5
42%1.55
Under 3.5
39%3.55
Under 4.5
58%2.35

Match Events

2'Daniel Raba AntolínAssist: Justin De Haas
22'Pablo Ramon ParraFoul
32'Yassir ZabiriAssist: Iñigo Vicente
45'Mouctar Diakhaby INArnaut Danjuma out
45+2'Guido RodríguezArgument
45+2'Jorge Salinas ViaderoArgument
45+4'Daniel Raba AntolínFoul
47'Original decision changedMouctar Diakhaby
47'Iván Martín
58'Filip Ugrinic INDavid Otorbi Ejededawe out
58'Daniel Raba Antolín INHarvey Elliott out
61'André Almeida INAndrés Martín out
61'Pablo Ramon Parra INAarón Martin Caricol out
65'David Otorbi EjededaweAssist: Javi Guerra
72'Pablo MaffeoFoul
75'Sergio Canales INPablo García out
85'Javi Guerra INAliou Dieng out
86'Pablo Maffeo INArnau Martínez López out
87'Matteo Prati INMaguette Gueye out
87'Yassir Zabiri INAsier Villalibre out
90+2'Iván MartínFoul

Lineups

Racing Santander
4-1-4-1Coach: José Alberto López
Valencia
5-4-1Coach: J. Aguirre
Avg rating6.57
Avg rating6.65
Julen Agirrezabala5.913J. Agirrezabala
Álvaro Mantilla6.02Á. Mantilla
Pablo Ramón6.05P. Ramón
J. Belocian6.624J. Belocian
Jorge Salinas5.817J. Salinas
M. Prati6.918M. Prati
Sergio Canales6.220S. Canales
Iván Martín8.023I. Martín
André Almeida6.38A. Almeida
Iñigo Vicente7.710I. Vicente
M. Zabiri8.021M. Zabiri
S. Dimitrievski7.51S. Dimitrievski
Pablo Maffeo5.724P. Maffeo
M. Diakhaby6.34M. Diakhaby
Pepelu6.918Pepelu
J. de Haas7.112J. de Haas
José Gayà6.414J. Gayà
Dani Raba7.419D. Raba
F. Ugrinic6.423F. Ugrinic
G. Rodríguez6.02G. Rodríguez
Javi Guerra7.18J. Guerra
Hugo Duro6.39H. Duro

Racing Santander Substitutes

19Iker Luque
11Andrés Martín61'for André Almeida6.7
12Asier Villalibre87'for Yassir Zabiri6.6
6Íñigo Sainz-Maza
4Manu Hernando
3Aarón Martín61'for Pablo Ramon Parra6.2
9Juan Carlos Arana
15Pablo García75'for Sergio Canales6.8
31Laro Gómez
16Facundo González
14M. Gueye87'for Matteo Prati5.6
7G. Guliashvili

Valencia Substitutes

22Arnau Martínez86'for Pablo Maffeo6.1
37Aimar Blázquez
36Iker Córdoba
7A. Danjuma45'for Mouctar Diakhaby6.9
15A. Dieng85'for Javi Guerra5.9
10H. Elliott58'for Daniel Raba Antolín6.1
33Aaron Mayol
27David Otorbi58'for Filip Ugrinic65'8.2
39R. Sato
5César Tárrega
21Jesús Vázquez
25K. van Oevelen

Match Stats

Racing SantanderValencia
54%Ball Possession46%
8Corner Kicks3
3Yellow Cards3
20Total Shots10
11Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal6
7Shots Inside Box7
13Shots Outside Box3
4Blocked Shots2
15Fouls10
1Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves9
523Total Passes450
444Passes Accurate350
85%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

Racing SantanderRacing Santander
ValenciaValencia
1663Elo Rating 1730
1.07Attack 1.01
0.00Defense 1.82
14%Hit Rate 17%
11.5Shots per Game 13.0
4.8Shots on Target 2.7
4.1Corners per Game 4.0
3.2Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Racing SantanderRacing Santander
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
ValenciaValencia
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Referee Profile

Luis Bestard Servera27 matches

5.38Cards per match
5.19Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
26.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Luis Bestard Servera5.38
Other referees5.45

5.38 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.45).

Cards come from 26 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

La Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BarcelonaBarcelona990039:9+3027WWWWW
2Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid971119:8+1122WWWWW
3Real MadridReal Madrid970223:9+1421WWLWW
4Real BetisReal Betis961216:14+219LWDWW
5Real SociedadReal Sociedad951317:17016WWWLW
6SevillaSevilla942314:16-214LDLWW
7AlavesAlaves1033414:11+312DLLDL
8VillarrealVillarreal1033415:14+112WDLWW
9Celta VigoCelta Vigo925210:7+311WDWDD
10Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna925213:12+111DLDLD
11OsasunaOsasuna932410:18-811WLDLL
12Racing SantanderRacing Santander1032515:26-1111WLDLL
13LevanteLevante924315:17-210WDDLL
14ElcheElche1024414:17-310WDDWL
15Athletic ClubAthletic Club82338:9-19DDDDW
16GetafeGetafe92345:11-69DLWLD
17Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano923412:20-89DDDWL
18EspanyolEspanyol1022612:14-28LLDLL
19ValenciaValencia101367:17-106LDDLW
20MalagaMalaga100557:19-125DLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BarcelonaBarcelona939:927
2Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid919:822
3Real MadridReal Madrid923:921
4Real BetisReal Betis916:1419
5Real SociedadReal Sociedad917:1716
6SevillaSevilla914:1614
7AlavesAlaves1014:1112
8VillarrealVillarreal1015:1412
9Celta VigoCelta Vigo910:711
10Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna913:1211
11OsasunaOsasuna910:1811
12Racing SantanderRacing Santander1015:2611
13LevanteLevante915:1710
14ElcheElche1014:1710
15Athletic ClubAthletic Club88:99
16GetafeGetafe95:119
17Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano912:209
18EspanyolEspanyol1012:148
19ValenciaValencia107:176
20MalagaMalaga107:195
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Racing Santander vs Valencia forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Racing Santander and Valencia in the La Liga table

In the La Liga table, Racing Santander are 12th and Valencia 19th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Racing Santander 15-26, Valencia 7-17. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Racing Santander and Valencia have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.