VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Prediction

MHP Arena, Stuttgart·Matthias Jollenbeck 23/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.34
SignalHIGHModel74%SurpriseMediumGap+0.8%
Value Analysis
75%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.34
SignalHIGHModel75%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
VfB Stuttgart Rest
2 days
Borussia Mönchengladbach Rest
5 days

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: the result in context

Borussia Mönchengladbach beat VfB Stuttgart 3-2 in the Bundesliga on 23 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: VfB Stuttgart had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Borussia Mönchengladbach.

VfB Stuttgart have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.3 goals a game. VfB Stuttgart tend to win more corners, 7.5 a game to 4.5 for Borussia Mönchengladbach.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
74%1.34
X
18%5.85
2
8%7.50
Double Chance
1X
92%1.10
X2
26%3.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.44
No
41%2.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.14 + 0.88 = 3.02
Over 1.5
87%1.06
Over 2.5
71%1.27
Over 3.5
51%1.71
Under 1.5
13%8.10
Under 2.5
29%3.73
Under 3.5
49%2.19
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.4 + 3.6 = 10
Over 8.5
64%1.29
Over 9.5
53%1.56
Over 10.5
42%1.95
Under 8.5
36%2.87
Under 9.5
47%2.25
Under 10.5
58%1.81
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.4 = 4.3
Over 3.5
61%1.79
Over 4.5
42%2.47
Under 3.5
39%1.94
Under 4.5
58%1.52

Match Events

5'Ermedin DemirovićAssist: Dženan Pejčinović
38'Joe ScallyAssist: Zento Uno
44'Leo SauerFoul
45'Atakan KarazorFoul
45+3'Florian NeuhausFoul
51'Shuto MachinoAssist: Wael Mohya
53'Zento UnoFoul
54'Joe ScallyFoul
55'Dženan Pejčinović INDeniz Undav out
55'Leo Sauer INJamie Leweling out
55'Lorenz Assignon INBilal El Khannouss out
64'Atakan Karazor INGrischa Prömel out
66'Wael MohyaAssist: Joe Scally
70'Joe Scally INYukhym Konoplya out
70'Wael Mohya INRobin Hack out
76'Fabio Cristian Chiarodia INDavid Herold out
79'Lukas UllrichTime wasting
83'Ermedin DemirovićAssist: Jamie Leweling
84'Shuto Machino INLion Schweers out
84'Hugo Bolin INMathieu Nguefack out
90'Finn Jeltsch INJeffrey Julian Gaston Chabot out

Lineups

VfB Stuttgart
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Hoeneb
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3-4-2-1Coach: A. Blessin
Avg rating6.45
Avg rating6.49
D. Seimen5.641D. Seimen
L. Assignon6.322L. Assignon
Finn Jeltsch6.229F. Jeltsch
R. Hendriks6.23R. Hendriks
M. Mittelstädt6.87M. Mittelstädt
A. Stiller6.16A. Stiller
A. Karazor5.516A. Karazor
L. Sauer6.344L. Sauer
D. Pejčinović6.817D. Pejčinović
C. Führich7.210C. Führich
E. Demirović8.19E. Demirović
M. Nicolas5.91M. Nicolas
D. Hashioka5.614D. Hashioka
P. Sander5.716P. Sander
F. Chiarodia6.82F. Chiarodia
J. Scally7.729J. Scally
Z. Uno6.247Z. Uno
F. Neuhaus6.310F. Neuhaus
L. Ullrich6.026L. Ullrich
H. Bolin6.438H. Bolin
W. Mohya8.536W. Mohya
S. Machino7.718S. Machino

VfB Stuttgart Substitutes

2A. Al Dakhil
1F. Bredlow
24J. Chabot90'for Finn Jeltsch
18J. Leweling55'for Leo Sauer6.7
21G. Prömel64'for Atakan Karazor6.5
47Y. Spalt
20L. Stergiou
26D. Undav55'for Dženan Pejčinović6.4
11B. El Khannouss55'for Lorenz Assignon6.1

Borussia Mönchengladbach Substitutes

7K. Stöger
48Lion Schweers84'replaced by Shuto Machino
34M. Nguefack84'for Hugo Bolin6.0
22Y. Konoplya70'for Joe Scally6.1
20D. Herold76'for Fabio Cristian Chiarodia6.1
25R. Hack70'for Wael Mohya6.5
39I. M. Danfa
33D. Batz
35J. Uwakhonye

Match Stats

VfB StuttgartBorussia Mönchengladbach
70%Ball Possession30%
6Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards4
15Total Shots16
5Shots on Goal6
8Shots off Goal7
10Shots Inside Box12
5Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots3
9Fouls14
2Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves3
691Total Passes288
590Passes Accurate189
13Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
1837Elo Rating 1677
1.55Attack 1.73
1.77Defense 0.25
31%Hit Rate 27%
18.0Shots per Game 13.7
5.9Shots on Target 4.8
7.5Corners per Game 4.5
1.3Cards per Game 4.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+161 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.02 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.6 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart6Wins · 60%
Draws110%
Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach3Wins · 30%
3.3Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Bundesliga25/01/2026
Borussia MönchengladbachVfB Stuttgart
03
Bundesliga30/08/2025
VfB StuttgartBorussia Mönchengladbach
10
Bundesliga01/02/2025
VfB StuttgartBorussia Mönchengladbach
12
Bundesliga14/09/2024
Borussia MönchengladbachVfB Stuttgart
13
Bundesliga18/05/2024
VfB StuttgartBorussia Monchengladbach
40
Bundesliga14/01/2024
Borussia MonchengladbachVfB Stuttgart
31
Bundesliga29/04/2023
VfB StuttgartBorussia Monchengladbach
21
Bundesliga04/11/2022
Borussia MonchengladbachVfB Stuttgart
31
Bundesliga05/03/2022
VfB StuttgartBorussia Monchengladbach
32
Bundesliga16/10/2021
Borussia MonchengladbachVfB Stuttgart
11

Referee Profile

Matthias Jollenbeck138 matches

4.10Cards per match
3.95Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
23.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Matthias Jollenbeck4.10
Other referees4.23

4.10 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.23).

Cards come from 133 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Bundesliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Bayern MünchenBayern München752025:6+1917WWDWW
2Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund752012:4+817WDDWW
3SC FreiburgSC Freiburg741216:9+713LLWDW
4Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen741216:12+413LWWWD
5RB LeipzigRB Leipzig740320:11+912WLWLW
6Werder BremenWerder Bremen733115:14+112WDDWD
7FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05731316:13+310LWLWL
8SV ElversbergSV Elversberg731312:15-310LWLDL
9FC AugsburgFC Augsburg723217:13+49DLDLD
101899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim730414:1409WWLLW
11Hamburger SVHamburger SV73046:16-109LWWWL
121. FC Köln1. FC Köln72238:11-38DLWLD
13SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 0772236:9-38WDLWL
14Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt722310:17-78LWLDW
15VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart720510:13-36LLWLL
16FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 0471334:7-36DLLDW
17Union BerlinUnion Berlin71336:18-126DDWLL
18Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach710611:22-113WLLLL
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach forecast

The forecasts for this Bundesliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Mönchengladbach in the Bundesliga table

In the Bundesliga table, VfB Stuttgart are 15th and Borussia Mönchengladbach 18th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: VfB Stuttgart 10-13, Borussia Mönchengladbach 11-22. The full standings are on the Bundesliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

VfB Stuttgart have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.