VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
World · League Stage - 3
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.34
SignalSOLIDModel45%SurpriseHighGap-7.2%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.59
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseHighGap+3.3%
VfB Stuttgart Rest
3 days
Atletico Madrid Rest
3 days
VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid: the result in context
VfB Stuttgart and Atletico Madrid drew 1-1 in the UEFA Champions League on 20 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
132%3.27
X25%3.85
243%2.06
Double Chance
1X57%1.79
X268%1.34
Both Teams to Score
Yes64%1.40
No36%2.76
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.35 + 1.49 = 2.84
Over 1.582%1.11
Over 2.562%1.44
Over 3.541%2.15
Under 1.518%5.50
Under 2.538%2.64
Under 3.559%1.74
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4.3 = 9.3
Over 8.556%1.45
Over 9.545%1.76
Over 10.535%2.27
Under 8.544%2.54
Under 9.555%1.98
Under 10.565%1.59
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.3 = 4.4
Over 3.565%1.67
Over 4.546%2.25
Under 3.535%2.21
Under 4.554%1.61
Match Events
17'Maximilian MittelstädtFoul
36'Jamie Leweling
45'Jonathan David INAdemola Lookman out
47'Julián ÁlvarezAssist: Ademola Lookman
52'Josha Vagnoman INLorenz Assignon out
64'Morten HjulmandSerious foul
69'Alejandro Baena Rodríguez INJohnny Cardoso out
72'Jamie Leweling INErmedin Demirović out
78'Julián Álvarez INObed Vargas out
78'Pablo Barrios Rivas INRobin Le Normand out
85'Diego Pablo SimeoneDissent
87'Giuliano Simeone Baldini INAlexander Sørloth out
87'Deniz Undav INDženan Pejčinović out
87'Chris Führich INLeo Sauer out
Lineups
VfB StuttgartAtletico Madrid
4-4-2Coach: D. SimeoneAvg ratingAvg rating
41D. Seimen
4J. Vagnoman
3R. Hendriks
24J. Chabot
7M. Mittelstädt
21G. Prömel
6A. Stiller
18J. Leweling
11B. El Khannouss
10C. Führich
26D. Undav
13J. Oblak
14M. Llorente
18M. Pubill
17D. Hancko
22Á. Grimaldo
20G. Simeone
8P. Barrios
23M. Hjulmand
10Á. Baena
15J. David
19J. ÁlvarezVfB Stuttgart Substitutes
2A. Al Dakhil
44L. Sauer87'for Chris Führich
17D. Pejčinović87'for Deniz Undav
28N. Nartey
16A. Karazor
29Finn Jeltsch
22L. Assignon52'for Josha Vagnoman
1F. Bredlow
9E. Demirović72'for Jamie Leweling
33M. Funk
14L. Jaquez
Atletico Madrid Substitutes
9A. Sørloth87'for Giuliano Simeone Baldini
16Arnau Ortiz
1J. Musso
4Rodrigo Mendoza
11A. Lookman45'for Jonathan David
24Robin Le Normand78'for Pablo Barrios Rivas
7Lee Kang-In
27J. Dominguez
46J. Castillo
5J. Cardoso69'for Alejandro Baena Rodríguez
3O. Vargas78'for Julián Álvarez
30Dani MartÃnez
Match Stats
VfB StuttgartAtletico Madrid 54%Ball Possession46%
9Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards1
18Total Shots10
5Shots on Goal3
9Shots off Goal4
12Shots Inside Box9
6Shots Outside Box1
4Blocked Shots3
15Fouls7
2Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves4
510Total Passes456
454Passes Accurate379
6Free Kicks15
Team Comparison
VfB StuttgartAtletico Madrid1864Elo Rating 1943
1.19Attack 1.50
2.36Defense 2.42
36%Hit Rate 73%
17.9Shots per Game 15.4
6.1Shots on Target 5.6
7.7Corners per Game 6.3
1.1Cards per Game 2.4
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.84 goals
📉Home Underperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk90%
Game State Tendencies
VfB Stuttgart- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Atletico Madrid- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Recent Form
VfB Stuttgart6W0D4L
17/10/2026
Hamburger SVVfB Stuttgart
Slovan BratislavaVfB Stuttgart
SC Paderborn 07VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
Borussia Dortmund
1899 HoffenheimVfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
VikingVfB Stuttgart
1. FC Köln
Bayern MünchenVfB Stuttgart
Hamburger SVVfB Stuttgart10
L14/10/2026Slovan BratislavaVfB Stuttgart03
W10/10/2026SC Paderborn 07VfB Stuttgart02
W01/10/2026VfB Stuttgart
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
VfB StuttgartSpVgg Greuther Fürth50
W25/09/2026VfB Stuttgart
1. FC Heidenheim
19/09/2026VfB Stuttgart1. FC Heidenheim30
WVfB StuttgartBorussia Dortmund01
L12/09/20261899 HoffenheimVfB Stuttgart21
L09/09/2026VfB StuttgartViking31
W04/09/2026VfB Stuttgart1. FC Köln41
W28/08/2026Bayern MünchenVfB Stuttgart51
LAtletico Madrid7W1D2L
17/10/2026
EspanyolAtletico MadridAtletico Madrid
Manchester United
AlavesAtletico MadridAtletico Madrid
Real MadridAtletico Madrid
Osasuna
Real SociedadAtletico Madrid
LiverpoolAtletico Madrid
Athletic ClubAtletico Madrid
SevillaAtletico MadridAtletico Madrid
Villarreal
EspanyolAtletico Madrid01
W13/10/2026Atletico MadridManchester United20
W10/10/2026AlavesAtletico Madrid12
W20/09/2026Atletico MadridReal Madrid21
W16/09/2026Atletico MadridOsasuna40
W13/09/2026Real SociedadAtletico Madrid03
W09/09/2026LiverpoolAtletico Madrid21
L05/09/2026Athletic ClubAtletico Madrid30
L29/08/2026SevillaAtletico Madrid13
W23/08/2026Atletico MadridVillarreal22
DReferee Profile
3.98Cards per match
3.84Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
23.5Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
3.98 cards a match, 0.49 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.49).
Cards come from 256 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14:5 | +9 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | +9 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 | Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:7 | +5 | 9 | WWW |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:5 | +5 | 9 | WWW |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:4 | +3 | 9 | WWW |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 7 | DWW |
| 7 |  Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 7 | DWW |
| 8 |  Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:6 | +5 | 6 | LWW |
| 9 |  Como | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | +5 | 6 | WLW |
| 10 |  Manchester City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | +4 | 6 | WLW |
| 11 |  Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | +3 | 6 | WWL |
| 12 |  Sporting CP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | +3 | 6 | LWW |
| 13 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | +1 | 6 | WLW |
| 14 | Bayern München | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | +5 | 5 | DDW |
| 15 |  AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 4 | WLD |
| 16 | Atletico Madrid | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 4 | DWL |
| 17 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 4 | LWD |
| 18 |  PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 | WLD |
| 19 | Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 3 | LWL |
| 20 | Manchester United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 21 |  Inter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 | WLL |
| 22 |  Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 | WLL |
| 23 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 3 | WLL |
| 24 |  Lask Linz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 3 | WLL |
| 25 |  Sabah FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 | LWL |
| 26 |  Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 | LWL |
| 27 |  Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 | LLW |
| 28 |  Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 | LWL |
| 29 |  AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 | LLW |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 | LWL |
| 31 |  Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:9 | -6 | 2 | DLD |
| 32 |  Slavia Praha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 | DLL |
| 33 | Viking | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 | LDL |
| 34 |  FC Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 | LLL |
| 35 |  Lille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
| 36 | Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:13 | -12 | 0 | LLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 14:5 | 9 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 3 | 12:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 3 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 3 | 10:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 3 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 7:2 | 7 |
| 7 | Arsenal | 3 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 8 | Barcelona | 3 | 11:6 | 6 |
| 9 | Como | 3 | 10:5 | 6 |
| 10 | Manchester City | 3 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 11 | Club Brugge KV | 3 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 12 | Sporting CP | 3 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 13 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 14 | Bayern München | 3 | 10:5 | 5 |
| 15 | AS Roma | 3 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 | Atletico Madrid | 3 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 17 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 18 | PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 19 | Villarreal | 3 | 8:8 | 3 |
| 20 | Manchester United | 3 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 21 | Inter | 3 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 22 | Napoli | 3 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 23 | Galatasaray | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 24 | Lask Linz | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 25 | Sabah FC | 3 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 26 | Feyenoord | 3 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 27 | Lens | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 28 | Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 29 | AEK Athens FC | 3 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 30 | RB Leipzig | 3 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 31 | Fenerbahçe | 3 | 3:9 | 2 |
| 32 | Slavia Praha | 3 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 33 | Viking | 3 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 34 | FC Porto | 3 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 | Lille | 3 | 4:10 | 0 |
| 36 | Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 1:13 | 0 |
Champions League
Bracket
Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
VikingAEK Athens FC
CelticLask Linz
Union St. GilloiseBodo/Glimt
Olympiakos Piraeus
NEC Nijmegen
Sparta Praha
LyonSlovan Bratislava
Mjallby AIF
Aarhus
Lech PoznanFenerbahçe
Gornik Zabrze
FC Thun
Dinamo Zagreb
Sturm Graz
Heart Of Midlothian
FK Crvena Zvezda
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Omonia Nicosia
CeljeVikingAEK Athens FCCelticLask LinzUnion St. GilloiseBodo/GlimtOlympiakos PiraeusNEC NijmegenSparta PrahaLyonVikingAEK Athens FCCelticLask LinzVikingAEK Athens FCCelticLask LinzUnion St. GilloiseBodo/GlimtOlympiakos PiraeusNEC NijmegenSparta PrahaLyonSlovan BratislavaMjallby AIFAarhusLech PoznanFenerbahçeGornik ZabrzeFC ThunDinamo ZagrebSturm GrazHeart Of MidlothianFK Crvena ZvezdaHapoel Beer ShevaOmonia NicosiaCeljeExplore more predictions
This match
About the VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid forecast
This is a UEFA Champions League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
VfB Stuttgart and Atletico Madrid in the UEFA Champions League table
In the UEFA Champions League table, VfB Stuttgart are 6th and Atletico Madrid 16th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: VfB Stuttgart 7-2, Atletico Madrid 4-3. The full standings are on the UEFA Champions League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
VfB Stuttgart have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. VfB Stuttgart and Atletico Madrid have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.