Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction
Netherlands · Regular Season - 5
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven: the result in context
PSV Eindhoven beat Ajax 3-1 in the Eredivisie on 5 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.5 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 8.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Ajax
Avg ratingAvg rating
1M. ter Stegen
3A. Gaaei
30A. Bouwman
15Y. Baas
12C. Henrique
18D. Klaassen
24J. Mokio
8J. Brandt
23S. Berghuis
99T. Arokodare
10O. Gloukh
32M. Kovář
8S. Dest
2L. Geertruida
4A. Obispo
17M. Júnior
24K. Sano
31N. Fernandez
5I. Perišić
20G. Til
7R. van Bommel
9R. PepiAjax Substitutes
PSV Eindhoven Substitutes
Match Stats
AjaxPSV Eindhoven Team Comparison
AjaxPSV EindhovenAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Ajax- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (2.1 vs 1.2 in first half)
PSV Eindhoven- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.8 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Ajax2Wins · 20%4Wins · 40%Previous meetings
02/05/2026AjaxPSV Eindhoven21/09/2025PSV EindhovenAjax30/03/2025PSV EindhovenAjax02/11/2024AjaxPSV Eindhoven03/02/2024AjaxPSV Eindhoven29/10/2023PSV EindhovenAjax
30/04/2023AjaxPSV Eindhoven23/04/2023PSV EindhovenAjax06/11/2022AjaxPSV Eindhoven17/04/2022PSV EindhovenAjaxRecent Form
Ajax
TelstarAjaxAjax
FC SionFC SionAjaxAjax
Heerenveen
ShelbourneAjax
PEC ZwolleAjaxAjaxShelbourne
FC VolendamAjaxAjax
VojvodinaAjax
BurnleyPSV Eindhoven
UtrechtPSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
Groningen
ExcelsiorPSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
Fortuna SittardPSV Eindhoven
AZ AlkmaarPSV Eindhoven
FC EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
VillarrealPSV Eindhoven
Union St. GilloisePSV Eindhoven
Raków CzęstochowaPSV Eindhoven
TwenteReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
3.57 cards a match, 0.26 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.31).
Cards come from 175 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV Eindhoven | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 40:15 | +25 | 26 | WWDLW |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 36:17 | +19 | 25 | LDDWW |
| 3 | Ajax | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 32:15 | +17 | 25 | DWWWD |
| 4 | Twente | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 30:12 | +18 | 24 | DWWLD |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 24:16 | +8 | 23 | WLLDL |
| 6 | Heerenveen | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 24:16 | +8 | 21 | WWWWL |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:20 | 0 | 20 | DDWDD |
| 8 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 24:27 | -3 | 17 | WLWLD |
| 9 | Groningen | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 29:28 | +1 | 15 | LLDLW |
| 10 |  Cambuur | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 25:27 | -2 | 15 | LWWDW |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 14 | WLDDD |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 21:29 | -8 | 12 | LWLWD |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:24 | -11 | 12 | DWDWL |
| 14 | Utrecht | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 21:34 | -13 | 12 | LLDWW |
| 15 | Excelsior | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16:29 | -13 | 11 | LLLLL |
| 16 | Telstar | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 18:25 | -7 | 10 | DWLLD |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16:25 | -9 | 9 | WLLWD |
| 18 |  Willem II | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11:40 | -29 | 3 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV Eindhoven | 12 | 40:15 | 26 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 12 | 36:17 | 25 |
| 3 | Ajax | 12 | 32:15 | 25 |
| 4 | Twente | 12 | 30:12 | 24 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 12 | 24:16 | 23 |
| 6 | Heerenveen | 12 | 24:16 | 21 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 20:20 | 20 |
| 8 | GO Ahead Eagles | 12 | 24:27 | 17 |
| 9 | Groningen | 12 | 29:28 | 15 |
| 10 | Cambuur | 12 | 25:27 | 15 |
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 12 | 20:21 | 14 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 21:29 | 12 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 13:24 | 12 |
| 14 | Utrecht | 12 | 21:34 | 12 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 12 | 16:29 | 11 |
| 16 | Telstar | 12 | 18:25 | 10 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | 16:25 | 9 |
| 18 | Willem II | 12 | 11:40 | 3 |
Explore more predictions
This match
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About the Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven forecast
As a derby, this Eredivisie meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Ajax and PSV Eindhoven in the Eredivisie table
This is a meeting of two top-four sides: PSV Eindhoven are 1st in the Eredivisie, 1 point ahead of Ajax in 3rd. League goal record so far: Ajax 32-15, PSV Eindhoven 40-15. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Ajax have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. PSV Eindhoven have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.