Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy Prediction

Japan National Stadium, Tokyo·Koei Koya 21/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
83%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.20
SignalSTRONGModel57%SurpriseMediumGap-0.4%
Yokohama F. Marinos Rest
4 days
Tokyo Verdy Rest
4 days

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy: the result in context

Yokohama F. Marinos and Tokyo Verdy drew 2-2 in the J1 League on 21 Oct 2026. Yokohama F. Marinos had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Tokyo Verdy.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 6 meetings, with both teams scoring in 3. Yokohama F. Marinos tend to win more corners, 5.5 a game to 3.3 for Tokyo Verdy.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
57%1.86
X
27%3.38
2
16%4.38
Double Chance
1X
84%1.20
X2
43%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.95
No
52%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.83 + 0.77 = 2.60
Over 1.5
72%1.38
Over 2.5
48%2.20
Over 3.5
26%4.00
Under 1.5
28%2.83
Under 2.5
52%1.65
Under 3.5
74%1.22
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

6'Kei Chinen INRiku Yamane out
14'Kanya FujimotoFoul
23'Ryo MiyaichiAssist: Kosuke Matsumura
24'Kaito SuzukiFoul
45'Kazunari Ichimi INSoma Kanda out
50'Daiya Tono
61'Kosuke Saito INKoki Morita out
61'Kaito Suzuki INYosuke Uchida out
65'Jordy Croux INTomoki Kondo out
65'Daiya Tono INJun Amano out
65'Takuto Kimura INToichi Suzuki out
72'Cho Yu-Min INMaaya Sako out
73'Kanya FujimotoAssist: Koki Morita
79'Jun Amano INTakuya Kida out
86'Issei Kumatoriya INGoki Yamada out
90+3'Goki YamadaAssist: Shuhei Mizoguchi

Lineups

Yokohama F. Marinos
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Corica
Tokyo Verdy
3-4-2-1Coach: N. Soma
Avg rating6.64
Avg rating6.36
H. Iikura6.821H. Iikura
T. Kimura7.134T. Kimura
J. Quiñónes6.617J. Quiñónes
K. Suwama6.833K. Suwama
T. Inoue6.913T. Inoue
K. Chinen6.114K. Chinen
K. Matsumura7.241K. Matsumura
R. Miyaichi7.223R. Miyaichi
D. Tono7.57D. Tono
J. Croux6.611J. Croux
K. Tanimura6.39K. Tanimura
Matheus Vidotto5.71M. Vidotto
K. Suzuki5.815K. Suzuki
N. Hayashi6.04N. Hayashi
Cho Yu-Min6.396C. Yu-Min
K. Fujimoto6.619K. Fujimoto
K. Saito6.08K. Saito
R. Hirakawa6.316R. Hirakawa
S. Mizoguchi6.118S. Mizoguchi
Y. Arai6.540Y. Arai
I. Kumatoriya6.425I. Kumatoriya
K. Ichimi6.833K. Ichimi

Yokohama F. Marinos Substitutes

19Tevis Gabriel
28R. Yamane6'for Kei Chinen6.5
40J. Amano65'for Daiya Tono79'for Takuya Kida5.8
44T. Deng
8T. Kida79'replaced by Jun Amano6.2
24T. Kondo65'for Jordy Croux6.5
43R. Nitta
1Park Il-Gyu
25T. Suzuki65'for Takuto Kimura6.2

Tokyo Verdy Substitutes

17Kim Hyun-Woo
7Y. Matsuhashi
10K. Morita61'for Kosuke Saito6.2
21Y. Nagasawa
29M. Sako72'for Cho Yu-Min6.2
2K. Shibato
22Y. Uchida61'for Kaito Suzuki6.3
13G. Yamada86'for Issei Kumatoriya90+3'8.2
38S. Kanda45'for Kazunari Ichimi6.4

Match Stats

Yokohama F. MarinosTokyo Verdy
59%Ball Possession41%
6Corner Kicks6
0Yellow Cards2
14Total Shots12
4Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal7
10Shots Inside Box7
4Shots Outside Box5
5Blocked Shots2
13Fouls18
2Offsides8
1Goalkeeper Saves3
489Total Passes335
416Passes Accurate252
18Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos
Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy
1622Elo Rating 1464
1.21Attack 1.27
2.13Defense 1.16
34%Hit Rate 27%
12.8Shots per Game 8.3
2.6Shots on Target 3.3
5.5Corners per Game 3.3
1.3Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+159 Elo
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos3Wins · 50%
Draws117%
Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy2Wins · 33%
3.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored3 of 6
67%3+ goals4 of 6

Previous meetings

J1 League24/05/2026
Tokyo VerdyYokohama F. Marinos
06
J1 League28/02/2026
Yokohama F. MarinosTokyo Verdy
32
J1 League09/08/2025
Tokyo VerdyYokohama F. Marinos
10
J1 League05/04/2025
Yokohama F. MarinosTokyo Verdy
00
J1 League29/06/2024
Yokohama F. MarinosTokyo Verdy
12
J1 League25/02/2024
Tokyo VerdyYokohama F. Marinos
12

Recent Form

Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos
5W4D1L
17/10/2026
JEF United ChibaYokohama F. Marinos
00
D
14/10/2026
Yokohama F. MarinosShimizu S-pulse
21
W
10/10/2026
Cerezo OsakaYokohama F. Marinos
00
D
07/10/2026
Yokohama F. MarinosKyoto Sangyo University
21
W
29/09/2026
Montedio YamagataYokohama F. Marinos
12
W
19/09/2026
Yokohama F. MarinosMito Hollyhock
20
W
12/09/2026
Machida ZelviaYokohama F. Marinos
11
D
06/09/2026
Kashiwa ReysolYokohama F. Marinos
02
W
02/09/2026
Yokohama F. MarinosKyoto Sanga
11
D
29/08/2026
UrawaYokohama F. Marinos
32
L
Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy
2W2D6L
17/10/2026
Tokyo VerdyFC Tokyo
04
L
11/10/2026
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
02
L
07/10/2026
Gainare TottoriTokyo Verdy
3040
W
29/09/2026
Sagan TosuTokyo Verdy
2111
L
19/09/2026
UrawaTokyo Verdy
31
L
13/09/2026
Tokyo VerdyJEF United Chiba
11
D
09/09/2026
Biwako ShigaTokyo Verdy
01
W
06/09/2026
Cerezo OsakaTokyo Verdy
00
D
02/09/2026
Tokyo VerdyVissel Kobe
02
L
29/08/2026
Tokyo VerdyKashima
02
L

Referee Profile

Koei Koya136 matches

2.64Cards per match
2.51Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
22.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Koei Koya2.64
Other referees2.51

2.64 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (2.51).

Cards come from 91 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

J1 League 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1283130:10+2027DWWWL
2FC TokyoFC Tokyo1283127:8+1927WDWWW
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1282229:10+1926WLWWW
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1281325:19+625WDLWW
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1272318:11+723DLWLW
6Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1264225:18+722WWWLD
7UrawaUrawa1270521:23-221WWWLW
8KashimaKashima1262425:21+420LDWWD
9Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1246216:12+418DDDDW
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1251615:17-216LWLLL
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1242614:18-414DDWWL
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1235412:19-714DDLDD
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1242610:20-1014LLDWW
14V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1233615:19-412LWLDD
15Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1225514:21-711DWDLL
16Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1224615:23-810DDLLW
17Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1223712:22-109LLLLL
18Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy121569:21-128WDLLL
19Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1221913:21-87LLLWL
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1214712:24-127DLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1230:1027
2FC TokyoFC Tokyo1227:827
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1229:1026
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1225:1925
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1218:1123
6Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1225:1822
7UrawaUrawa1221:2321
8KashimaKashima1225:2120
9Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1216:1218
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1215:1716
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1214:1814
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1212:1914
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1210:2014
14V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1215:1912
15Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1214:2111
16Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1215:2310
17Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1212:229
18Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy129:218
19Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1213:217
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1212:247
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy forecast

The forecasts for this J1 League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Yokohama F. Marinos and Tokyo Verdy in the J1 League table

In the J1 League table, Yokohama F. Marinos are 9th and Tokyo Verdy 18th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Yokohama F. Marinos 16-12, Tokyo Verdy 9-21. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.