Telstar vs Ajax Prediction

Telstar
0-4
Finished
HT 0-1
Ajax
BUKO Stadion, Velsen·Dennis Higler, Netherlands 30/08/2026
TelstarTelstar
0-4
Finished
AjaxAjax

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 4.5
1.72
SignalGOODModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+12.5%
Telstar Rest
15 days
Ajax Rest
2 days

Telstar vs Ajax: result, form and history

Ajax beat Telstar 4-0 in the Eredivisie on 30 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 3 previous meetings averaged 3.0 goals, and both sides scored in 1 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
16%6.00
X
20%5.00
2
64%1.42
Double Chance
1X
35%2.80
X2
84%1.12
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.44
No
44%2.55
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.11 + 1.86 = 2.97
Over 1.5
84%1.08
Over 2.5
61%1.32
Over 3.5
34%1.86
Under 1.5
16%7.35
Under 2.5
39%3.25
Under 3.5
66%1.95
Corners
Projected Corners: 4 + 6.6 = 10.7
Over 8.5
75%1.29
Over 9.5
65%1.54
Over 10.5
57%1.91
Under 8.5
25%3.15
Under 9.5
35%2.31
Under 10.5
43%1.83
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 1.7 = 3.7
Over 3.5
46%2.22
Over 4.5
22%3.30
Under 3.5
54%1.57
Under 4.5
78%1.27

Match Events

37'D. KlaassenAssist: S. Berghuis
44'Goal Disallowed - offsideJ. Brandt
56'S. BerghuisAssist: O. Gloukh
60'T. ArokodareAssist: S. Berghuis
65'J. Hardeveld INP. Aning out
65'R. Mendes INF. Rust out
65'J. Seedorf INF. Turay out
65'D. Klaassen INA. Ouazane out
66'J. Brandt INY. Baas out
73'S. Berghuis INMarcos Leonardo out
73'O. Gloukh INO. Edvardsen out
74'G. Alders ING. Caschili out
77'M. Peersman INE. Demircan out
78'Marcos Leonardo
82'Caio Henrique INJ. Torrents out

Lineups

Telstar
3-4-2-1Coach: Henk Brugge
Ajax
4-4-1-1Coach: Michel
Avg rating6.44
Avg rating7.26
R. Koeman Jr5.71R. Koeman Jr
S. Valk6.016S. Valk
A. Soualhia6.54A. Soualhia
M. Peersman5.943M. Peersman
G. Alders6.53G. Alders
N. Rossen6.617N. Rossen
T. Owusu6.910T. Owusu
J. HardeveldC6.22J. Hardeveld
R. Mendes6.67R. Mendes
P. Brouwer7.327P. Brouwer
J. Seedorf6.59J. Seedorf
M. ter Stegen8.71M. ter Stegen
A. Gaaei6.33A. Gaaei
A. Bouwman7.530A. Bouwman
D. Janse7.936D. Janse
Caio Henrique7.512C. Henrique
S. Berghuis9.323S. Berghuis
D. KlaassenC7.618D. Klaassen
J. Mokio6.224J. Mokio
O. Gloukh7.010O. Gloukh
J. Brandt6.28J. Brandt
T. Arokodare8.399T. Arokodare

Telstar Substitutes

20D. Reiziger
13F. Mulder
18G. Caschili74'for G. Alders6.6
5P. Aning65'for J. Hardeveld6.5
15N. Nwankwo
6I. Ahmed
23N. Shenkman
19F. Rust65'for R. Mendes6.3
28R. Oudsten
14H. Kuster
21F. Turay65'for J. Seedorf6.2
8E. Demircan77'for M. Peersman6.7

Ajax Substitutes

22J. Heerkens
26M. Paes
5O. Wijndal
15Y. Baas66'for J. Brandt6.9
21J. Torrents82'for Caio Henrique6.9
68A. Ouazane65'for D. Klaassen6.7
67M. Abdalla
9K. Dolberg
20O. Edvardsen73'for O. Gloukh6.3
38Marcos Leonardo73'for S. Berghuis78'6.9

Match Stats

TelstarAjax
42%Ball Possession58%
5Corner Kicks4
11Total Shots12
4Shots on Goal9
5Shots off Goal2
9Shots Inside Box6
2Shots Outside Box6
2Blocked Shots1
11Fouls13
2Offsides2
5Goalkeeper Saves5
397Total Passes537
328Passes Accurate478
83%Pass Accuracy89%

Team Comparison

TelstarTelstar
AjaxAjax
1603Elo Rating 1906
2.25Attack 3.27
0.47Defense 2.25
27%Hit Rate 100%
18.1Shots per Game 17.0
4.8Shots on Target 6.6
5.1Corners per Game 4.9
0.8Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.97 goals
📈BTTS Trend33% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

TelstarTelstar
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 0.8 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
AjaxAjax
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.1 vs 1.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

TelstarTelstar0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
AjaxAjax3Wins · 100%
3.0Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored1 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3

Previous meetings

Eredivisie11/01/2026
TelstarAjax
23
Eredivisie10/08/2025
AjaxTelstar
20
KNVB Beker19/12/2024
AjaxTelstar
20

Recent Form

TelstarTelstar
5W1D4L
14/08/2026
TelstarSparta Rotterdam
13
L
08/08/2026
NEC NijmegenTelstar
12
W
31/07/2026
VfL WolfsburgTelstar
31
L
17/07/2026
De GraafschapTelstar
36
W
11/07/2026
Sparta RotterdamTelstar
10
L
04/07/2026
Almere City FCTelstar
21
L
17/05/2026
FC VolendamTelstar
12
W
10/05/2026
TelstarHeracles
30
W
02/05/2026
NEC NijmegenTelstar
11
D
22/04/2026
TelstarSparta Rotterdam
41
W

Referee Profile

Dennis Higler193 matches

3.42Cards per match
3.24Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
23.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Dennis Higler3.42
Other referees3.26

3.42 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.26).

Cards come from 182 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1282240:15+2526WWDLW
2FeyenoordFeyenoord1274136:17+1925LDDWW
3AjaxAjax1274132:15+1725DWWWD
4TwenteTwente1273230:12+1824DWWLD
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1272324:16+823WLLDL
6HeerenveenHeerenveen1263324:16+821WWWWL
7Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1255220:20020DDWDD
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1245324:27-317WLWLD
9GroningenGroningen1243529:28+115LLDLW
10CambuurCambuur1243525:27-215LWWDW
11UtrechtUtrecht1133519:31-1212LDWWL
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1233621:29-812LWLWD
13PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1233613:24-1112DWDWL
14NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1125417:19-211LDDDD
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1232716:29-1311LLLLL
16TelstarTelstar1224618:25-710DWLLD
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1223716:25-99WLLWD
18Willem IIWillem II1203911:40-293DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1240:1526
2FeyenoordFeyenoord1236:1725
3AjaxAjax1232:1525
4TwenteTwente1230:1224
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1224:1623
6HeerenveenHeerenveen1224:1621
7Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1220:2020
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1224:2717
9GroningenGroningen1229:2815
10CambuurCambuur1225:2715
11UtrechtUtrecht1119:3112
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1221:2912
13PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1213:2412
14NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1117:1911
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1216:2911
16TelstarTelstar1218:2510
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1216:259
18Willem IIWillem II1211:403
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Telstar vs Ajax forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Telstar and Ajax in the Eredivisie table

The table shows a wide gap: Ajax are 3rd in the Eredivisie, while Telstar sit 16th, 15 points behind. League goal record so far: Telstar 18-25, Ajax 32-15. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Ajax have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.